Matt Josephs Matt Josephs
24-12-1 now in the NFL after a 3-2 week 7.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Bills vs Colts
Bills
+9 -130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

I think the Bills defense is one of the most underrated units in football and the Colts have a tremendous amount of injuries on offense. Derek Anderson starting for Buffalo will motivate them a lot more then Nathan Peterman. I just think this is a rather large number and Indy will struggle to cover it. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Rams vs 49ers
49ers
+10½ -130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

Upon first glance, this seems to be an easy win for the road team who has put up nearly 500 yards of offense per game. The 49ers have lost four straight and are starting CJ Beathard under center. If you look closer though, there are some scenarios that say the home team is a live dog. This is the Rams third straight road game after two really close wins over Seattle and Denver. They have a stretch of games coming up against Green Bay and New Orleans which are bigger tests in the scope of NFC play. LA's defense can be beaten as evidenced by the solid rushing performance by the Seahawks while three others have put up at least 295 yards passing. Kyle Shanahan's bunch went toe-to-toe with the Packers last week and have actually played several teams close this season. They lost by eight at Minnesota, by two at the Chargers and by three at Green Bay. The defensive numbers aren't the best, but they've done well against the run and have had some success against quarterbacks that aren't Aaron Rodgers. Last year LA won by two in San Francisco and lost by 21 at home to the Niners. The Rams have covered just 16 of their last 39 games. I could look really dumb when LA wins this one easily, but I think they struggle with focus and pull out a close one.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Cowboys vs Redskins
Redskins
PK -125 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Last week we had the Cowboys and they came through with flying colors. They were able to run it well enough that Dak Prescott could use the playaction game. This doesn't mean that all of a sudden Dallas is fixed and that the anemic offense is going to work. I'm actually more scared of the Cowboys defense then their O and they may get Sean Lee back on Sunday. The Redskins are coming off a 23-17 win against Carolina in which Adrian Peterson ran hard and the defense made the stops when they needed to. Injuries are still a concern with this team, but AP ran hard with a separated shoulder. I still think Washington's offense could be so much better if Alex Smith gets on the same page with his weapons. Dallas swept the Skins last year in two easy victories. This is a feel play for me as I think the Redskins can slow down Ezekiel Elliott and can get just enough points on a Dallas team who is 0-3 on the road.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Texans vs Jaguars
Texans
+5 -115 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Jacksonville was undressed by the Cowboys last week and have now lost two straight and three of their last four. The defense has given up 70 points the last two weeks at Kansas City while the offense has pitifully scored just 21. Blake Bortles has had some issues while the run game struggled without Leonard Fournette. This team has not played well this season outside of a couple of early games. Houston has won three straight since opening up the year with three losses. Deshaun Watson has played well for the most part outside of last week's headscratching performance. The defense is playing a lot better as of late and this team will be looking for revenge after two asskickings at the hands of the Jags last year. Jacksonville has covered just seven of their last 18 games at home. Give me the live road dog in this one.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Titans vs Chargers
UNDER 45½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The London game has seen several unders in it's past including the one last week that saw Seattle win 27-3 over the Raiders. Last year four of the losing teams in the overseas games scored single digit points. The Titans offense has struggled terribly as of late without a solid run game and a terrible offensive line. The good thing is that the defense has been good. I think they can matchup up alright with the Chargers offense. Tennessee has gone under in four of their five games against conference opponents. LA has gone under in 15 of their last 28 conference contests. I think this one is an under as well.

SERVICE BIO

My name is Matt. I've been handicapping sports for many years and I'm not going to dazzle you with numbers and percentages. Just know that when you buy my picks, you get someone who looks at all the angles and does the work to get you winners. When it comes to the college sports, I specialize on the mid-major/non power five games.