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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 21, 2018
Seton Hall vs. Providence
Providence
+1 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Don't miss ASA's 10* SEC EARLY MONEY MAKER tonight - Early tip at 6:30 PM ET!

ASA PLAY ON Providence +1 over Seton Hall, Wednesday at 6:30 PM ET

Providence has proven they can get it done at home having already beaten the top 2 teams in the Big East here (Villanova & Xavier).  The Friars only conference home losses this year came in OT to Marquette, a game Providence led by 6 with 1:17 remaining, and vs DePaul.  The 2nd loss may look bad but let’s remember the Friars had 2 starters with the flu in that game and another that was out with a concussion.  There most recent home game was last week and resulted in a 6 point win over Nova.  The Friars dominated that game as Nova’s  largest lead was just 2 points.  We expect an extra motivated Providence team here after getting whipped at Butler over the weekend (not unexpected coming off their huge win) and a game they shot a ridiculously poor 5 of 32 (11%) in the 2nd half.  This is a revenger for the host as they lost @ Seton Hall back when the Pirates were actually playing decent basketball.  That hasn’t been the case as of late for the Hall.  They’ve lost 4 of their last 5 with their only win coming by 5 points at home vs last place DePaul.  The Pirate defense has been horrendous during the 5 game stretch allowing 88 PPG while allowing their opponents to shoot over 50%.  That’s in stark contrast to a Providence team that ranks #1 in the Big East in defensive efficiency (conference games).  Both teams are on the proverbial “bubble” but we like the home team, off a bad loss, who plays much better defense.  With this number where it is, we simply need Providence to win this game at home and we think they do.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
Indiana vs Nebraska
Nebraska
-3 -102 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 8* Nebraska -3 over Indiana, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET

This one falls into a situation we always like to look at.  That is a team off a loss as a favorite (Nebraska) taking on a team off a win as an underdog (Indiana).  We don’t blindly play this situation obviously as many other things come into play but it is a starting point.  In this case, we do like Nebraska.  The Huskers are at home where they are 14-1 with their only loss coming by 1 point to Kansas.  They are 7-0 in Big Ten play at Pinnacle Bank Arena with their average win coming by 9.3 PPG.  Despite their 20-9 record (also tied for 4th in Big Ten at 11-5), the Huskers are a bubble team and many experts actually have them out of the field of 68.  Off a poor showing and loss @ Illinois, they absolutely can’t afford to lose this game.  They take on an Indiana team that has won 4 straight however we believe it’s fool’s gold as their wins have come against Rutgers, Minnesota, Illinois, and Iowa, the four lowest rated teams on the Big Ten.  The Hoosiers have 3 Big Ten road wins @ Rutgers, @ Iowa, and @ Minnesota but haven’t beaten anyone on the road not ranked in the bottom 4 of the league.  Their win @ Iowa over the weekend was by a final score of 84-82 and Indiana shot 56% overall and 58% from beyond the arc and still were barely able to win.  Off a game where they shot lights out and faced the worst defense in the Big Ten, IU now faces a Husker defense that ranks 2nd in the league in eFG% defense.  Let’s also remember that Indiana, despite their hot shooting @ Iowa, ranks 9th in the Big Ten in 2 point FG%, 9th in 3 point FG%, and dead last in FT%.  Nebraska gets the win and cover at home tonight.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
St. Louis vs Dayton
Dayton
-5 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 8* Dayton -5 over St Louis, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET - ON ESPNU!

St Louis comes into this game with a 15-12 record and they have absolutely overachieved this year.  They are in a tough spot here playing their 2nd of back to back road games coming off an upset win @ Richmond.  They will be playing their 2nd game without their top player, Jordan Goodwin (12 PPG & 7.5 RPG) who was suspended for the remainder of the season before their game @ Richmond over the weekend.  As teams often do, the Billikens rallied the troops and shot 58% to beat the Spiders on Saturday.  That was not the norm for SLU who is a poor shooting team ranking 14th and dead last in the A10 in eFG% and dead last in FT%.  We think this thin team (now only 7 players and 6 that are in the rotation) comes back to earth now playing their 2nd game without Goodwin in the lineup.  Dayton has been a solid home team all year.  Since January 7th, the Flyers are 4-1 at home with their only loss coming at the hands of Rhode Island, the top team in the A10.  They have wins here over both Davidson & St Bonnies, the only other 2 teams in the A10 ranked in the top 100.  It’s the Flyers 2nd straight home game and they are looking for revenge after losing 75-65 @ St Louis earlier in the year.  In that game, the overall stats were almost dead even with the exception of one glaring difference.  Dayton actually made on more field goal in the game (24 to 23) and the three point makes were identical at 9.  The difference was FT’s where SLU made 20 to just 8 for Dayton.  We don’t anticipate that disparity on the road tonight.  Dayton continues playing well at home and takes advantage of a thin St Louis team playing on the road again.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso
Valparaiso
-2½ +102 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 8* Valparaiso -2.5 over Northern Iowa, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET

UNI continues to fall flat in their road games.  After Saturday’s loss @ Illinois State, the Panthers are now 0-9 in true road games this season averaging only 59 PPG.  Now they travel again to Valpo who will be playing their final home game of the season.  The Crusaders have had a rough first year in the MVC but they are playing quite well right now.  They are 3-3 their last 6 games but their 3 losses have been down to the wire games on the road including vs the 1st and 2nd place teams in the conference, Loyola & Southern Illinois.  They have won 3 straight home games and are 8-3 overall at home this year.  This will be the first time the Northern Iowa players have played in Valpo where the Crusaders have a 50-7 record dating back to 2015.  Two of Valpo’s three home losses have come at the hands of the two highest rated teams in the MVC, Loyola & Missouri State (Kem Pom ratings).  If you take out those two games ,this team is 5-1 in conference play with all but one of those five wins coming by double digits.  These two met in January @ UNI with the Panthers escaping with a tight 5 point win despite making 31 FT’s to just 9 for Valpo.  There is a chance that Northern will be without their starting point guard, Juwan McCloud, who’s missed the last 2 games with a back injury.  As we mentioned Northern Iowa has simply been a terrible road team this year and also a black hole going back even further with a 15-34-2 ATS record their last 51 road games.  Lay the small number with Valparaiso here.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 20, 2018
The Citadel vs East Tennessee State
UNDER 165½ -106 Lost
$106.0
Play Type: Free

DON"T MISS ASA's DISCOUNTED PACKAGE - Get ASA's 3 rated college basketball plays for Tuesday night all in ONE PACKAGE!  It's THREE for the PRICE OF ONE! All 9:00 PM ET starts - includes Watch & Winner on ESPNU...

ASA PLAY ON Under 165.5 Points - The Citadel @ ETSU, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET

Even though The Citadel is one of the fastest paced teams in college basketball they don’t score as much as they should because of an inefficient offense that averages just 1.024 points per possession (233rd) and an EFG% offense that is 251st. Plus the Citadel will have a tough time scoring here against an ETSU defense that is one of the best statistically in the nation. East Tennessee State is 36th in defensive efficiency ratings, 19th in EFG% defense overall, 28th in 3-point percentage defenses and 31st in 2-point percentage. ETSU isn’t interested in playing fast either as they are ‘average’ when it comes to pace of play or tempo. When these same two teams met in late January they combined for just 144 total points. That’s because the better team dictates tempo which is ETSU. When The Citadel played a similar UNC Greensboro team to ETSU recently they combined for 130 total points and earlier in the season combined for 126. THE BET HERE IS UNDER THE TOTAL! Best of luck from ASA on Tuesday 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 20, 2018
Canadiens vs Flyers
Flyers
-135 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 9* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs Montreal Canadiens, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET

Big line move toward the Canadiens here and it is because the Flyers have injury issues at the goalie position. However, Lyon played very well between the pipes in relief of Neuvirth Sunday and Philadelphia's spirits are up too as they have been red hot plus picked up goalie Mrazek from the Red Wings. In other words, a downturn for the Flyers is unlikely here and they are the much hotter team entering this match-up. Philadelphia has won 6 of their last 7 games while Montreal has lost 5 straight! Also, the home team has won 9 straight meetings between these clubs. With home ice meaning so much in this series, plus the Flyers playing much better than the Habs of late, and the big money line move toward the wounded Canadiens here (physically and mentally wounded we might add), the value is clearly with Philly at a great price at home. Also, Montreal has lost 18 of 26 games versus teams with a losing record this season. The Flyers have won 38 of 62 home games with a total set at 5.5 goals by the odds makers. Lay it! Bet the Flyers on the money line in early evening action Tuesday.

SERVICE BIO

The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!