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*10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ PERFECT 6-0 L6 NBA Sides

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Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 29, 2017
Blues vs Coyotes
UNDER 5 +109 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under Blues/Coyotes (10:35 ET): The eight teams that will make up the Western Conference playoffs are basically a formality at this point. Only nine teams are still in contention and the Kings (11 points back) are a real long shot. So, in that sense, St. Louis is safe despite currently being the final Wild Card. They even could still move up to third in their division and thus avoid playing the Blackhawks in the first round. Even better (probably) for them would be finishing as the top Wild Card and thus avoid the top two teams in their division entirely (Chicago. Minnesota) and instead face whomever wins the weaker Pacific. They are big favorites to get the two points tonight, but I feel the much sharper bet is on the Under. 

Arizona's postseason aspirations went away long ago. If not for Colorado, this would be the obvious choice as the league's worst team. They are 27th in goals scored and 29th in goals allowed, giving them the second worst goal differential in the league and second fewest points. They are also 0-8 the L3 seasons against the Blues. So, yes, this is not a great matchup for them. Especially considering they've lost three straight and six of their last seven. In their last five losses, they've been held to 1 goal or less. That's unlikely to change after tonight as they're facing Jake Allen, who has had their number in the past. Allen has never lost to the Coyotes in his career (7-0) includin a pair of wins this month where his save percentage is .981 (stopped 52 of 53 shots).

Allen has turned in a remarkable .951 save percentage overall this month, so we certainly don't have to worry about him. On the off-chance that HC Mike Yeo does decide to go w/ Carter Hutton between the pipes tonight, that's okay too as Hutton has a .953 save percentage his L4 starts. So, all we really need to "worry about" here is the Coyotes giving up goals. They have allowed seven in the two games vs. St. Louis here in March, but due to scoring only one themselves, both games have stayed Under. The Under is actually 7-3-3 this month for the Blues. It is 14-6 this season for the 'Yotes following a game where they scored 1 goal or less the previous game. 10* Under Blues/Coyotes

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 29, 2017
Warriors vs Spurs
+5 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Golden State (9:35 ET): The Warriors shouldn't have been underdogs last night (I played them and they won in Houston) nor should they be a dog tonight. Yes, I'm well aware that this is the second game of a back to back and the opponent is San Antonio. I have this game essentially as a Pick 'em, so naturally taking points is the way to go. The only time all season, previous to last night, that the Dubs were getting points came here in San Antonio on 3.11. But that was w/ them resting all their stars. Being that their record vs. the Spurs is 0-2 SU/ATS this season (lost by 29 to them at home on Opening NIght), I'd say this game will be treated w/ the utmost importance by the defending Western Conference Champs. After all, they only lead the Spurs by 1.5 games in the standings. Teams playing in the second game of a back to back are often undervalued and that's what we have going on here.

With last night's 113-106 win in Houston, the Warriors joined the Jordan-era Bulls as the only two teams in league history to win 200 regular season games over a three-year span. It goes w/o saying that's very impressive. I said it last night and I'll say it again here. This was the top team in the league each of the L2 years w/o Kevin Durant, so his absence doesn't bother me all that much. Last night, it was the Dubs' defense that shined, holding high-powered Houston to a season-low five three-pointers made. They led by as many as 22 in the second quarter and keep in mind Draymond Green didn't have a particularly good game. While last night was all about the defensive advantage over the Rockets (teams are 1-2 in offensive efficiency), tonight I'll tout the Warriors' offensive edge in a battle of the two most efficient defenses. While the respective defensive efficiencies are virtually dead even here, GSW is a clear 1st in the league on the offensive end. San Antonio is sixth. 

The Warriors are 11-4 SU this season when playing w/o rest, so the situation shouldn't bother them. As for San Antonio, they are off a dominant showing Monday vs. Cleveland and looking for a sixth straight win. I laid the points w/ Greg Popovich's team Monday, but that was the first time they won a game by double digits since beating the depleted Warriors roster three weeks ago. Keep in mind that Golden State has now won eight straight and six of those have been by double digits. Really impressive is that the Warriors are holding opponents to a "Spurs-like" average of 96.4 points the L5 games. Look for them to dictate the pace and cover the spread. 10* Golden State

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 29, 2017
Bucks vs Celtics
+8 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Milwaukee (7:35 ET): I thought this number was too high even before the Bucks went into Charlotte and whipped the Hornets last night, 118-108 as four-point dogs. Therefore, I'm clearly going to back them here as this is an inflated number due to the fact they're in the second game of a back to back. Often times, NBA teams are undervalued in this spot (especially on the road) and that's precisely what we have going on here. Even through the "bad times," I've been pretty consistent in preaching that this Milwaukee team is better than its record shows. Sure enough, they've won 12 of 15 here in March. Meanwhile, Boston is now the top seed in the East (Cleveland fading!), so it's probably a good time to fade them. Take the points.

The Celtics have been pretty hot in their own right, winning four in a row and seven of their last eight. But backing up the notion that it's likely a good time to "sell high" on them is the fact they are 2-13 ATS this season when off three or more consecutive SU wins. Sure enough, they failed to cover Sunday vs. Miami, winning only 112-108 as six-point home chalk. I've got Milwaukee rated as a better team than Miami, so again, this line looks off to me. The last four games for Boston have all come here at home and they've hardly been winning by dominant margins. Their biggest win came against Phoenix and that was by only 10 pts. That happened to be the game where Devin Booker went for 70 by himself. Boston's defense is not as good as it's been in past years as they allow over 105 PPG. Also, this season has seen the team go just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS when playing w/ exactly two days rest.

Aside from the obvious top four in the Eastern Conference, I like this Milwaukee team the most. They shot 62.2% from the floor last night and dominated Charlotte. They had 72 points by halftime and led by 18 going into the fourth quarter. That's despite forcing only FOUR turnovers the entire game and getting outscored 15-2 in transition. I wouldn't be too afraid of any kind of letdown here given the Bucks are 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS when coming off a SU win as a dog. In the only prior meeting this season, Milwaukee was the favorite, though at home and they lost. But given that Boston is only outscoring foes by two points more per 100 possessions than is Milwaukee, my view is that this line is simply too high. 10* Milwaukee

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 29, 2017
Thunder vs Magic
UNDER 217½ -110 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Under Thunder/Magic (7:05 ET): Recent Thunder games have not deviated much from the typical amount of scoring we see from them. They come into tonight averaging 107 points per game for the year and over the L5 games have averaged 108.8. At the same time, they're allowing a virtually identical number per game over the last five (106.1) as they do for the year (106.0). This is not the case for Orlando, however. The Magic are one of the worst offensive teams in the league, but have averaged over 110 PPG their L5 contests. They're also giving up more PPG of late than per usual. Given neither team's offensive efficiency is that good and Orlando is bound to regress anyway, I'm on the Under here.

My main point w/ the Thunder this year has been despite the wonderful individual season put together by Russell Westbrook, the team's overall offensive efficiency has declined greatly. Last year, with Kevin Durant in the fold, they ranked 2nd in the league in offensive efficiency. This year, they are down to a rather pedestrian 16th. Four of the team's past five games have stayed Under the total, including the last one where they barely escaped Dallas w/ a 92-91 win. On the road, the team's scoring average does dip several points down to 103.2 PPG. On the bright side, it was the third time in the last five games that they held their opponent below 42.5% shooting. Defensively, this team is tied for ninth in efficiency, which is a bit of a surprise. The Under is 21-11 in Thunder road games this season.

As for Orlando, we should expect a dramatic decrease in scoring rather soon. As I mentioned above, they come in averaging 110 points over the L5 games. For the season, they average just slightly over 100 and at home the number is actually slightly below triple digits. They are 29th in offensive efficiency and 28th in points per game. Don't expect many second chance points here as the Thunder are one of the top defensive rebounding teams in the league. One bit of good news though is that the Magic are also likely to start allowing fewer points per game moving forward. They were torched for 131 in a loss at Toronto Monday, but at home give up only 102.7 per game. In their last home game, they held Detroit to 87 points. Neither of these teams is very prolific from three-point range either (both under 33%). 8* Under Thunder/Magic


The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!