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Alex Smart Sports- NBA Finals Game 1 Side Smash - Thurs June 1

The Golden State Warriors host the Cleveland Cavaliers in game 1 of their  NBA Final play off series this Thursday night in Oakland. Which side has the edge ?  Your 100% Guaranteed answer is just a few clicks away. Tests current 5-1 L/6 83% run and a long term 154-114 NBA side run that has made my dime players more than $31000.00 in bankroll expanding profits!  

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 26, 2017
Angels vs Marlins
Marlins
-121 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Angels RH Jesse Chavez (4-5, 4.61 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (2-3, 3.70)

The top performing Marlins starter has been right-hander Dan Straily  this season who owns a (2-3, 3.70 ERA). He  will  get the start on Friday against the banged up Angels.

Right-handed batters are hitting only .156 against Straily, with five homers in 90 at-bats. Lefty batters are hitting .173 with one homer in 81 at-bats.Marlins Park has truely been home sweet home for  Straily, who has a 1.95 ERA here as  opposed to  a 6.00 ERA in away tilts.

I know the Marlins are slumping and also banged up, but today against Jesse Chavez, I can see some light at the end of the proverbail tunnel.Chavez, the Halos starter is ranked in lower 25%  portion of my pitcher rankings, and owns sub par career record of 30-45 with a 4.55 ERA. He lost five of six decisions this year and despite o pitching better of late is still on my fade list.CHAVEZ is 0-11 L/11 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season.

Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 26, 2017
Mets vs Pirates
OVER 8 +100 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Mets RH Jacob deGrom (3-1, 3.56 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-4, 5.85)

Kuhl  the Pirates starter has registered a ugly  8.20 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in five home starts and has gone no further than five innings in six consecutive starts. I'm betting on the Mets who have averaged 6.1 rpg on the road this season, doing some more damage against him in this spot. Meanwhile, the NY Mets starter DeGrom, despite of exhibiting some over powering heat, this season, averaging 12.29 SO per game, is slowing down on that front and has only averaged 8 SO in his 4 May starts, and now goes against a Pirates team that is the best in MLB averting the strike out, with a 19% ratio. DeGrom has also done his shabbiest work on the road where he owns a 4.65 ERA in 5 starts, and has given up nine runs on 16 hits in 11 innings over his last two road starts. Today I'm also betting on the Pirates who have scored 21 runs in their L/2 tilts,  doing more than  enough  offensive damage against him  and his over used bullpen backups who own a nasty looking 7.17 ERA on the road this season.

Over is 9-0-2 in Mets last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 22-3-4 in Mets last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-3 in Kuhls last 11 home starts.

NY METS are 9-0 OVER L/9 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.NY METS are 18-3 OVER   vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season..NY METS are 22-9 OVER  when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 26, 2017
Mariners vs Red Sox
UNDER 9½ -120 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (2-4, 5.84 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (3-1, 3.10)

 Red Sox starter LH Rodriguez has tossed a career-high six straight quality starts while posting a 2.61 ERA so far this season, and now goes against a struggling Seattle offense , that has averaged just  2 rpg during a current 7 game stretch, and have averaged a lowly 3.5 rpg vs southpaws this season.  The Box Sox bullpen has also been brilliant especially at home where they own a solid 2.51 ERA. With that said, I'm betting on the Mariners offense to be muted tonight. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have shown some offensive swagger of late, but according to my power charts, are still an inconsistent offense, and seem to be a little timid with run production in night games, averaging just 4.4 rpg this season under the lights. I know Mariners starting hurler  Gollardo  may not inspire many to keep his batting opponents under control, but in games where the total has been 8.5 to 10 runs , he has seen opposing offenses average just 4.3 rpg over an extended 47 games span, with a combined average score of 8.5 rpg going on the board, for a 32-15 under conversion rate. The Mariners hurler has been his best on the road this season, allowing only 2 HRS in 4 starts. 

Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Gallardos last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

RODRIGUEZ is 9-0 UNDER L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 4.8 rpg going on the board and  is 20-7 UNDER L/27  in all games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 8.2 rpg getting scored and also 13-2 UNDER after a win with a combined average of 7 rpg getting scored.SEATTLE is 26-10 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better with an average of 7 rpg getting scored.Also an interesting anomaly SEATTLE is 7-0 UNDER when playing on Friday this season with  a combined average of 4 rpg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 26, 2017
New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm
UNDER 156 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

 My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 26, 2017
Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun
UNDER 161½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 27, 2017
Cardinals vs Rockies
Cardinals
+103 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (4-3, 4.81 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (5-2, 3.31)

The Cardinal's starter today Wainwright, is in top form after starting his season slowly. Wainwright has allowed one run and nine hits in 13 1/3 innings for a 0.68 ERA in his L/2 trips to the hill. Wainwright is 9-1 along with a stingy 1.70 ERA in 14 games (10 starts) against the Rockies. That is the lowest all-time ERA against the Rockies among opposing pitchers. He has beaten them more times than any other team outside the National League Central. At Coors Field, Wainwright is 3-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five games (four starts). Meanwhile, the Cards offense will go against Freeland a thrower, that owns a 4.58 ERA in his L/3 starts, with his biggest problem coming via control issues where he has walked 10 batters in those starts.  His two losses this season have come at home in Denver. After watching the Cardinals get clobbered by a 10-0 count yesterday, many might have a problem backing the Cards today, but in my usual contrarian fashion thats what I am recommending we do in this spot play.

Cardinals are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.Cardinals are 43-17 in Wainwrights last 60 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cardinals are 7-0 in Wainwrights last 7 starts vs. Rockies.

ST LOUIS is 11-5  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start like Freeland.ST LOUIS is 23-12 L/35 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 27, 2017
Cubs vs Dodgers
OVER 8 +100 Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Cubs RH John Lackey (4-4, 4.82 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Brandon McCarthy (4-1, 3.76)

A pair of right-handers will take the hill in the second game of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday at Dodger Stadium. John Lackey the Cubs starter owns a 4.82 ERA on the season, while allowing 12 HRS and 58 hits in 53.3 innings of action. Lackey lost to San Francisco in his last start as he gave up five runs and seven hits over five innings.He his most vulnerable in the early innings, as is evident by an ERA of 8.00 in the first inning this season and 4.15 from the second inning on. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting thrower, Mccarthy , despite of some decent numbers, owns a 5.94 ERA in his L/3 turns. I expect the Cubs hitters will be very aggressive today, after being shutout yesterday. Note: Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Both offenses are capable of big outputs, and that's what I'm betting on today as both pitchers have shown vulnerabilities this season.


CHICAGO CUBS are 17-8 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average score of 9.9 rpg getting scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-10 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, with a combined average of 10 rpg getting scored and are 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season, averaging 5.6 rpg on offense , with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.Over is 11-1-1 in Cubs last 13 Saturday games.Over is 6-1 in Lackeys last 7 road starts.Over is 11-2-2 in Lackeys last 15 starts overall.Over is 11-5-1 in umpire Gibson last 17 games behind home plate .

Home teams like the Dodgers - decent NL offensive team ( 4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA3.33 or less), after shutting out their opponent are 60-17 OVER dating back 20 seasons, for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 27, 2017
LA Sparks vs Atlanta Dream
UNDER 162 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 27, 2017
Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury
UNDER 156½ -110
Play Type: Premium

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 27, 2017
Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury
Dallas Wings
+6½ -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.