Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 25, 2017
Padres vs Dodgers
Padres
+255 at betonline
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Padres LH Travis Wood (4-6, 6.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (9-12, 3.96)


Yu Darvish the Dodgers hurler tonight is a fine pitcher ,but has not had success in these types of situations in the recent past. DARVISH is 4-9 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons and is 1-5 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season this season.DARVISH team is 7-10 when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 3-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.Dodgers are 1-4 in Darvishs last 5 starts.SAN DIEGO is 15-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season.


The Dodgers have won 3 of their L/4 but recently lost 20 of 25 games, and look like they may have exerted to much energy early on in the season and now running out of gas. I know San Diego does not instill confidence in bettors but they have pulled of big underdog wins in the past and are a value play again here this evening.

Abbots Manager GREEN is 20-15 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. .620 or better )

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 25, 2017
Mariners vs A's
A's
+105 at BMaker
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Free

The A's , feature a roster packed with promising young talent, which is evident by a current 7 game win streak and a 14-3 run over their past 17 games. The As just  completed a three-game series sweep of the Texas Rangers with an 8-1 route on Sunday afternoon at the Coliseum . The hungry looking Athletics once again look like viable candidates to deliver the cash this Monday evening vs a downtrodden Mariners team that has lost 8 of their L/9 games. I know they go against a Seattle icon in Felix Hernandez, but the former all star and Cy Young award winner, has been dealing with arthritic issues in his shoulder all season long, and has been laboring of late recording a 7.30 ERA in his L/3 starts.

OAKLAND is 7-0 L/7  against the money line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival this season winning by an average of 3.6 rpg. OAKLAND is 25-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League West.Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 8-0 in their last 8 home games.Athletics are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB team like the As - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 45-16 dating back 25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Also MLB  team like the As - after 7 or more consecutive wins, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 31-12 for a 72% conversion rate dating back 20 seasons!

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2017
Cowboys vs Cardinals
Cardinals
+3½ -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Arizona is being underestimated here in my humble opinion and listed as underdogs vs a very public Dallas side. However,  I am not totally surprised after last seasons disappointing results for the Cards, and the  top tier season that the Cowboys had. But now their seems to be decent in the Boyz locker room and side lines  with  coach  Garrett calling out RBs Elliott's hustle and or competitiveness when the RB  showed little interest in turning into a defensive player following two Dak Prescott interceptions in the Cowboys embarrassing loss at Denver last week. That kind of work ethic, tells me a story of a Dallas team that might be resting on their recent laurels and believing in their own headlines, which won't equate well in on the field performances as was the case last week . Elliott had more carries (nine) than rushing yards (eight) in that tilt and Prescott did not look like a star QB.

Despite of missing the play offs last year Bruce Arians team outstated their opponents overall, and once again look like viable post season contenders this year. It must be noted that Dallas is just 0-4 SU/ATS L/4 in this series, 0-3 SU/ATS L/3 games here in the desert losing all three as chalk. Meanwhile, Arizona is 14-1 ATS L/15 and 7-0 ATS L/7 vs NFC East opposition , and have covered 11 straight vs these teams off a victory.Arians is 6-0 ATS  L/6 as a home underdog of 3 points or less  and is 9-1 ATS  as a home underdog of 7 points or less .

Play on the Arizona Cards to cover 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.