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Alex Smart Sports- NHL Moneyline Underdog Power Play - Thurs March 30

After last nights easy winner with the St.Louis Blues, I return to the Golden Pond with another key NHL moneyline winner (UNDERDOG). Join me from now until the Stanley Cup Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof!  Tests selective 6-2 75% L/8 NHL run!

*This package includes 1 NHL Money Line pick

Alex Smart Sports- NCAA Final Four Side Smash - Sat April 1

There are two NCAA Tournament Final 4 match-ups on board this Saturday but just one game, has all the intangibles needed for me to recommend a wager on. ( North Carolina vs Oregon . ) Tests current 61% L/24 NCAA tourney conversion rate. Tips after 8:05 pm et

*This package includes 1 NCAA-B Spread pick

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*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-B pick

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 29, 2017
Blues vs Coyotes
Blues
-169 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I am not a big proponet of  consistently laying alot of lumber in moneyline matchups. But tonight the red host St.Louis Blues, winners of 10 of their L/12  look very much like soild bets , as they will primed to perform in a big way , as they are in pursuit of teams ahead of them in the standings. The Blues are one point behind Calgary for the top wild card  spot and one in back of the  Nashville Predators for third place in the Central Division entering Wednesdays games. The Blues has also dominated this series as is evident by   a 14-game point streak (13-0-1) against Arizona and has not lost in regulation to the Coyotes in nearly five years and have won 8 straight visits to the desert. Meanwhile, Arizona has lost 3 straight while scoring just one goal in those tilts, and is chalked load full of kids debuting and auditioning for rioster spots for next season. This is defintely a team that deserves to be even bigger dogs than they are tonight. 

ST LOUIS is 12-1 ATS L/13 against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year dating back to last season winning SU by an average of 2.3 gpg. 

Blues  expected starting G Jake Allen is 7-0-0 lifetime against Arizona.

Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 29, 2017
Hawks vs 76ers
Hawks
-1 -108 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Two injury-riddled teams  the  Atlanta Hawks and   Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love.  Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis  my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on   my player to player systems matchups which  centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. 

ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA teams  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia  - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.