Freddy Wills Freddy Wills
#1 career profit leader - NCAAF! 7 of 8 winning bowl seasons, and 7-1 ATS career in the national championship game. Only $99 For the entire bowl season!
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 7 of 8 winning bowl seasons, and 7-1 ATS career in the national championship game.  Only $99 - and you'll get this week as well!

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WHAT TO EXPECT?  A yearly $10,000 investor who rolls his investment over (like you would in a 401K) has $348,411 in their account with a net profit of $268,411 over 8 seasons combined!  A $5,000 investor has a net profit of $134,205.53.  There is nobody better than Freddy out there for college football.   

Not comfortable playing 5-7 games on a Saturday. Simply play Freddy's Top Plays or POD's which have an average yearly ROI of 22.68% over 8 years with just 1 losing season of -4.92%.  CAREER 96-57 ATS ON MAX RATED PLAY OF DAYS!  THAT'S 63% AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNERS for 5.5% MAX RATING PLAYS!

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**Top 10 Basketball handicapper in 2012**

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2017
Chargers vs Chiefs
-101 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

Chiefs +100 4.5% NFL POD

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State
Middle Tennessee State
+4 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

Middle Tennessee +3.5 5.5% POD

Since 2014, Conference USA is 15-5 against the Sun Belt and 4-2 this year.  Their 2 losses came with their 2 worst teams Charlotte & UTEP facing two bowl teams from the Sun Belt.  The 4 wins all by a TD or more.  Middle Tennessee is a dog, because they only won 6 games, and Arkansas State is that sexy team with the sexy QB in Justice Hansen.  However, the Blue Raiders were picked to win C-USA by many and in game 2 they went into Syracuse and won.  The same place Clemson lost on the road later in the season.  Also worth noting is Middle Tennessee played 6 bowl teams with 3 power 5 opponents.  Arkansas State only had 2 opponents that are in bowls and played FCS and 1 power 5 opponent being Nebraska who did not get to a bowl game. 

Middle Tennessee lost their QB in after week 2 and the season really turned for the worse.  They were already without their starting RB, Terrelle West to start the year.  Both are healthy for the bowl game and when Stockstill is playing this offense ranks 36 points per game and without just 19.5.  This is a very balanced offense with West back healthy he had 170 rushing yards in their last game and they have an extra week to prepare for this game vs. what Arkansas State has. 

Before we get to Middle Tennessee State's defense let's take a look at Arkansas State.  This offense was amazing this year and Justice Hansen who threw for 3,630 yards 34 TD's and 15 interceptions.  A closer look though reveals the defenses they have faced have been trash.  An average opponent ranking 93.5 in yards per play allowed.  Hansen has gone up against some of the worst passing defenses in the nation.  8 out of his 10 opponents were 91st or worse in pass defense.  He faced Troy 65th, and lost and beat New Mexico State who ranked 52nd.  MTSU faced 6 passing offenses in the top 60.

MTSU ranked 20th in yards per play allowed with their defense really picking things up this year.  In years past it was really their weakness that kept them from bowl wins.  This year they had no choice but to play defense with Stockstill gone for most of the season.  Middle Tennessee is also 12th in yards per completion which could cause some issues for Arkansas State's passing game while the run defense has been solid all year allowing just 5.61 yards per carry.

Arkansas State's defense probably has seen one offense better and that was SMU who put 44 points up on them.  There are a lot of ways MTSU can win this game.  Arkansas State has no business being a favorite when they have turned the ball over 18 times in 6 road games this year.  They are also averaging nearly 2 more penalties per game than Middle Tennessee ranking 125th in the nation.  The one big strength their defense has that I can not deny is Ja'von Rolland-Jones who has 13 sacks in 11 games.  However, MTSU typically under Stockstill gets rid of the ball fast he took just 14 sacks a year ago.  This year the offensive line ranks 17th in sack rate on passing downs.  I think Middle Tennessee comes into this game with a bit of a chip on their shoulder having not won a bowl game since 2009.  Their leader Stockstill can lead them to a bowl game now that he's back and that's exactly what I'll predict. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Marshall vs Colorado State
OVER 58 -110 Won
Play Type: Premium

Marshall/Colorado State Over 58 3.3% play

I originally leaned Marshall out of Conference USA, but Colorado State has faced a far tougher schedule.  There was no way I could back Colorado State given their struggles during bowl season and down the stretch of the regular season.  The last 3 years in bowl games they went 0-3 SU & ATS missing the spread by 67 points combined.  Meanwhile, Marshall is 10-1 SU & ATS, but Colorado State has an extra week to prepare for this game.

That led me to the total, and in bowl games I would tend to lean towards the over.  Tackling is sure not going to be at a premium in some of these lower level games.  The weather is also setting up to be very nice 50 degrees with less than 10 mph winds.

When looking at these two teams they are both coming off some unders giving u value to the over.  We also have two teams very unfamiliar with each other playing in different conferences.  I think that benefits the offenses and speaking of offenses Marshall has not faced an offense this good all year long.  Colorado State can run the ball ranking 27th in ypc.  Marshall only faced 2 teams in the top 50 all year and they scored 30 and 28 points.  Colorado State can throw the ball ranking 12th in QB rating.  Marshall again only faced 2 teams ranked in the top 30 in passing offense and they gave up 41 and 28 points.  Colorado State goes up against the 15th ranked rushing defense which leads me to believe they will put together a game plan with more passing which typically leads  to higher scoring games.  I could see Colorado State scoring 40+ points with future NFL WR Michael Gallup having a great day.  This is an offense that put up 52 points on Boise State a few weeks back and Boise has a very balanced defense.

For Marshall's offense the key is whether or not they get the running game going.  IN games where they have 130+ rushing yards they average 29.4 points per game.  In games where they don't they average 17.75 ppg.  Marshall also has special teams capability with Keion Davis who took two kicks back for 6 in 1 game.  They will face a Colorado State defense that struggles to stop the run.  They gave up 130 yards rushing in 9 of their 12 games and rank 104th in rush defense.  To me there are a lot of things pointing to both of these teams getting into the 30's or more and with a total of 58 I like the over. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
Oregon vs Boise State
-7 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

Oregon -7 3.3% Play

In my podcast I had mentioned there would be value on Oregon because Jim Leavitt their defensive coordinator was staying.  There are still rumors that he may go to Florida State, but for now at least it seems like he's coaching for this game and that's a big deal as he dramatically improved this defense making them a top 30 unit with 5 yards per play allowed.  Last year they allowed 6.4 which would have put them 115th in the nation to put things in perspective.  Boise State's offense is not what it once was and they have been juggling QB's which I never like.  Aside from some early big scoring games they have struggled against top 50 defenses scoring just 27ppg compared to 39.2 against non-top 50.  They also scored 17 in back to back games against Fresno State.  Fresno State a very balanced defense against the run and pass much like Oregon who is also top 50 in opponent passer rating and opponent yards per rush.  I'm expecting a similar output from Boise State's offense who could be missing their best player in RB Alex Mattison who is questionable for this game.

Oregon's offense has had its ups and downs this year and are likely without RB Royce Freeman here.  Freeman is going to sit out to rest for the NFL draft.  I never agree with that, but I say they are better off and have plenty of talent behind Freeman to fill in the gap.  Justin Herbert, the QB will play in this game and if you have watched Oregon this year they are just a different offense with him in there.  With Herbert the offense averaged 52 points per game and without only 15ppg.  I paid dearly for backing Oregon a couple times without Herbert.  Boise State is very good on paper just like they always are, but in reality they haven't faced any balanced offenses.  Colorado State would be close and they put up 52 points on Boise State.  Virginia had the QB bomb away for 42 points, and they gave up 47 to Washington State and their backup QB with a one dimensional attack.

I would lean toward the over if I caught it early, but don't be surprised to see Boise State's offense really struggle here.  If I caught wind of Leavitt definitely leaving then I would like the over a lot more. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 16, 2017
North Texas vs Troy
North Texas
+7 -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

North Texas +215 2% play

Seth Littrell and his coaching staff a bit less distractions and are probably more excited to be here with a chance at a 10th win which would tie their program record.  Troy had many bigger games this year including their win against LSU on the road, but the biggest win of the year came on the road against Arkansas State to share the Sun Belt Championship.  Arkansas State had owned them previously and Troy finally got over that hump.  I'm not saying Troy won't want to win this game, but of the two I have to think North Texas is a bit more excited here.

We saw and bet against North Texas in the C-USA Championship, but it was because of the match-up.  Against Florida Atlantic whose main strength is the running game they were in a tough spot.  North Texas defense is not good against the run especially not good running games.  This is a winnable match-up for them as Troy's offense ranks 85th in rushing yards per game.  Troy's defense is also very strong ranking #27 overall in yards allowed, but their one weakness is against the pass ranking #69.  North Texas sports a balanced offense that ranked 19th in total yards, but their strength is behind their QB Mason Fine.  Troy's defense is also a bit misleading as they have only faced 4 teams inside the top 100 in yards per play.  Boise State, New Mexico State, LSU, and Arkansas State.  Every other team they had faced was ranked 115th or worse.  North Texas ranks #34 with their balanced offense.

North Texas also comes from the better conference.  Conference USA is 15-5 the last 4 years against the Sun Belt and have covered 2 of the 3 bowl games they have matched up in during that time.  North Texas a relatively big dog where we typically see CUSA a larger favorite.  I think there is very good value here in the dog and I like them to pull the upset. 


Season Awards: This network is one of the most competitive network of handicappers with over 90 professional experts.  2009 & 2011 I was the #2 handicapper for the entire year!  I also have had several top 10 finishes including, #1 NCAAF 2009, #1 NCAAF 2011, #2 MLB 2009, #5 NFL 2010, #6 NCAAF 2013, #7 NCAAB 2012, and #10 MLB 2011.   

My Promise To You: All of my information is 100% backed by a guarantee and is fully researched and supported by my in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I personally bet these plays too so it is only fair you understand my logic.

Who Am I: I have been wagering on sports for more than a decade and I've been doing it professionally for 5 years. In 2008 I started my own service and have been earning my clients an impressive return on investment which is solidified by multiple national handicapping season awards for MLB and College Football. This is something I take very seriously. That is why every single recommendation I make comes with a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I want you to know my logic behind ever one of my picks.

Best Moments: In 2011 I predicted Iowa State +28.5 over Oklahoma State on a Friday night, but not only did I predict and play the spread I also predicted Iowa State to win the game outright as a 22:1 under dog. Iowa State won in over time to shock the nation and knock Oklahoma State out of the BCS National Championship race. Aside from that I have profited in every single of every sport on my signature play of the day's (POD's).

My Motto: "The will to win is nothing without the will to prepare."