Nick Parsons Available Picks

November, 04 2009 7:55pm EST
RUNLINE: New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)
WIN for +2.73 unit(s)

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees

Writeup: Start spreading the news, the Yankees are going to be the 2009 World Champions! These teams have been analyzed to death at this point, but I believe the outcome in tonight's game comes down to a few simple factors:

Still chasing that elusive 27th championship, New York turns to Andy Pettitte; Pettitte has a knack for closing this time of year. He owns 17 postseason wins and five that clinched series, both big league records! Two of those clinchers came in the AL playoffs this year. He is 3-0 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts this postseason, including a Game 3 win at Philadelphia.

On the other side of the field: Veteran Pedro Martinez gets the call for Philadelphia; Pettitte and Martinez first squared off on the mound 11 years ago, but they’ve never done so in the postseason. Both pitchers are 3-3 in six matchups, all games between the Yankees and Red Sox from 1998-2003.

Bottom line: It was a valiant effort it made, but frankly if Philadelphia didn't have Cliff Lee in its lineup, it likely would not have won a single game in this series; too many factors working against the Phillies tonight (Ryan Howard is batting just .158 (3 for 19) with 12 strikeouts!); home field advantage, a superior pitcher, and a $450 million lineup are the difference here; look for the YANKEES to win this one convincingly and improve to 73-43 (+10.1 units) against right-handed starters as the Phillies bow out in six and fall to 0-3 (-3 units) as a road dog of +175 to +200 in the post-season! *8*

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