Nfl Sports Picks Matt Fargo Sports February 05, 2012 New York Giants @ New England Patriots

Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

Fargo's 10* NBA THURSDAY ENFORCER (SWEET 11-1 L12) (Thu 8:00PM)
Heading into Wednesday, Matt is on a BLAZING 6-1 NBA run! Even better, Fargo is on a SIZZLING 11-1 ATS (91.7%) run with his NBA...more

Add to cart ($40) or save more with one of Matt Fargo Sports Packages.

Available Pick Packages

COMBO

Monthly

All Sports 30 Day Package
30 days of premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!
$800 | Add to Cart

Weekly

All Sports 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!
$400 | Add to Cart

February, 05 2012 6:30pm EST
TOTAL: Over 55 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

New York Giants at New England Patriots

Photo_nfl

The Giants are coming off their second straight playoff game where they were outgained but still pulled off the win as turnovers once again played a big role. It was unfortunate the way the 49ers season ended but you still have to give credit to the Giants as the defensive intensity was once again where it needed to be as the unit is playing its best football of the season. Now comes a pretty big test for the defense and it will be a difficult challenge to slow down the Patriots offense.

New England was fortunate as well as a missed Baltimore field goal puts the Patriots back into the Super Bowl. The offense was very average as they gained just 330 total yards but that came against ones of the league's best defenses. This snapped a string of seven straight overs for the Patriots and the low scoring game will add to the value going forward. The total for the game against the Ravens was just a few points lower than what this one is and it should prove to be not enough of an adjustment based on the matchups.

Looking back at the 2008 Super Bowl showed a very low scoring game with a higher total. The next meeting did not take place until this season when New York and New England squared off in Week Nine. That game also went under the total but looking at the final score alone will not tell the true story as the teams scored all 44 points in the second half as the first half resulted in a scoreless tie. The Super Bowl total is no doubt skewed toward the over but it is not enough to make a difference here.

While both defenses picked it up in their respective championship games, these units should be less effective against these opposing offenses. Last week, the Giants played against the 26th ranked total offense during the regular season while the Patriots played against 15th ranked total offense during the regular season. The Patriots finished second in total offense while the Giants finished eighth in total offense to it certainly will be tougher this time around for both sides.

Both teams are on winning streaks and both have played high scoring games in the past as New England is 13-4 to the over after three or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons while New York is 9-1 to the over after three or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons. The Giants are 11-2 to the over against teams outscoring opponents by six or more ppg on the season and under head coach Tom Coughlin, they are 9-1 to the over against teams averaging 29 or more ppg. Also, the Patriots are 9-1 to the over against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season. 10* Over (101) New York Giants/(102) New England Patriots