Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

Fargo's **10** NBA ENFORCER (SWEET 17-10 NBA RUN) (Sat 8:35PM)
Matt has been simply killing it in the NBA for years and now he is on an AWESOME 17-10-1 NBA run and his...more

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Fargo's **10** C-USA GAME OF THE YEAR (61% CBB) (Sat 8:00PM)
Matt is a BLAZING 74-47-5 ATS (61.2%) L126 CBB and the streak continues on Saturday! He has gone an AWESOME 8-2 on 10* Plays the...more

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January, 24 2010 3:00pm EST
ATS: New York Jets +8 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

I liked the Jets last week and I like them even more this week. I believed they had a realistic shot to beat the Chargers outright and that obviously was the case and the same goes for Sunday against the Colts. New York has already gone into Indianapolis and defeated the Colts once this season so who is to say it cannot do it again? Of course we will get the argument that Indianapolis sat its starters in the third quarter which allowed the Jets to come back and win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Of course that helped but we cannot forget that the Jets were only down by five points at that point and they were playing good enough to pull off the upset anyway. We cannot use that game as a comparison but we can certainly use last week when New York completely took the Chargers offense out of their game. Philip Rivers threw for 283 yards but he threw two interceptions, only the fourth time that had happened all season long. This Jets defense is getting the respect it deserves as they have allowed 15 points or fewer in eight straight games, giving up an average of only 9.4 ppg over that stretch. Overall this season they have allowed 17 points or less in 13 of 18 games. The Colts came away with a 17-point victory against Baltimore but it was another bad game in my opinion. It may have been related to rust as the starters played for the first time in three weeks but that are issues going on. The Indianapolis offense, while still potent with Peyton Manning under center, does not look like that same wide-open, quick strike unit that we have seen in the past. It is more of a short passing attack and the fact that the Colts cannot run the ball only makes matter worse for them. What we have here is the NFL&#8217;s 30th ranked rushing offense going up against the league 4th ranked rushing defense as far as yards per carry. I will take that matchup any day of the week. We saw it last week as the Chargers, who finished the regular season ranked last in the NFL in ypc on offense, rush for only 61 yards on 18 carries (3.4 ypc). On the other side, Mark Sanchez was average once again but he is doing enough, and not making many mistakes, to win. He has the NFL&#8217;s top ranked rushing offense at his disposal as the Jets racked up 169 yards on 39 carries (4.3 ypc) last week which was far from spectacular but certainly good enough. San Diego finished the regular season ranked 20th in rushing defense and the Colts finished 24th so New York can go with the same plan once again. The Colts held the Ravens to three points but the Baltimore offense was not as bad as that indicates. The Ravens rushed for 4.6 ypc and while the passing game was hardly potent, a lot of that had to with Baltimore running only 54 plays from scrimmage compared to 69 for the Colts. Baltimore shot itself in the foot too many times with penalties and turnovers. Over the last eight games, the Jets have won the yardage battle seven times while over the 10 games, the Colts have won the yardage battle only twice. Those are good odds. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced three or more turnovers going up against an opponent after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. <b>10* New York Jets</b>

Matt Fargo Sports NFL Football Past Picks

NFL Football

New York Giants @ New England Patriots Sunday February 5, 2012 6:30 pm
The Giants are coming off their second straight playoff game where they were outgained but still pulled off the win as turnovers once again played a big role. It was unfortunate the way the 49ers season ended but you still have to give credit to the Giants as the defensive intensity ... read more

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NFL Football

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Sunday January 22, 2012 6:30 pm
Many will argue that the Packers lost last week as opposed to the Giants winning and while that is true to some degree, it is more than that. Green Bay hurt itself with turnovers and dropped passes but the New York defense had a lot to do with that. The Giants allowed 388 total yards, ... read more

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NFL Football

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots Sunday January 22, 2012 3:00 pm
We got the line we wanted and we will get this one out there early as we are over a key number. Baltimore did not look very good in winning over Houston as it was outgained although it did have chances to cover the number as a missed opportunity at the goalline proved to be the difference. ... read more

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NFL Football

New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Sunday January 15, 2012 4:30 pm
We saw the Giants take out the Falcons rather easily in the first round on Sunday and they are playing their best football of the season. This is especially true on the defensive side of the ball. New York did not allow Atlanta's offense to score as the two points came on a safety ... read more

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NFL Football

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Sunday January 15, 2012 1:00 pm
We won with Houston last week against the Bengals and while it was a dominating performance on the scoreboard, it was not so much on the field as the Texans outgained Cincinnati by only 40 total yards. It was the fourth straight game for Houston where the yardage differentials were ... read more

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NFL Football

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Saturday January 14, 2012 8:00 pm
The one big fear of playing Denver here is the letdown factor. The Broncos won as huge underdogs last week and now have to travel east less than a week later so the situation is far from ideal but that is negated by the matchup. This is the second meeting between the Broncos and ... read more

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NFL Football

New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers Saturday January 14, 2012 4:30 pm
New Orleans has won and covered nine straight games since losing in St. Louis which came right after winning that lopsided home game against the Colts. The fact that the Saints are road favorites here is no surprise at all and I actually think they should be favored by more. Taking ... read more

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NFL Football

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Sunday January 8, 2012 4:30 pm
I understand that the playoffs are different than the regular season as experience plays a big part in that. In this case Pittsburgh has it while Denver does not. But this point spread is out of control. Very rarely will you see a team favored on the road by this much in the playoffs ... read more

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NFL Football

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants Sunday January 8, 2012 1:00 pm
Just when you thought the Giants season was unraveling once again, they came through with two big wins at the end of the season to capture the NFC East and make it into the playoffs. Even though it is only two games, they are playing at a high level and last week against the Cowboys, ... read more

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NFL Football

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Saturday January 7, 2012 8:00 pm
This is a contrarian value play to the max. Everyone is expecting a shootout between Detroit and New Orleans and why not since these are two of the most potent offenses in the NFL. The linesmakers are adjusting for the influx of over money as this total has now reached 59 and by ... read more

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