Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

March, 12 2010 8:35pm EST
ATS: Utah Jazz +1 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee is red hot right now as it is on runs of 4-0, 10-1 and 16-4. Those are exceptional streaks and they have put Milwaukee into fifth place in the Eastern Conference, a spot that was never thought to happen before the season and just a month and a half ago for that matter. The Bucks have beaten some really good teams along the way as well. Or have they? The last two wins have come against Boston and Cleveland which look great to the naked eye but the Celtics are in a funk right now and the Cavaliers were without LeBron James. The other only good wins during this stretch have comes against Miami (three times) and Charlotte. The other victories have comes against some of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference as Philadelphia, New York, Indiana, New Jersey, Detroit and Washington have accounted for nine of those 16 wins. It is good for Milwaukee that it has won when it needed to against the bad teams but the jury is still out on this team in my opinion. The Bucks will face off against one of the hottest teams in the Western Conference. Utah has won four straight games and is 23-5 over its last 28 games and while it has taken out some poor teams, it has also defeated some heavyweights. Victories over Phoenix (twice), Portland (twice), Denver, Dallas (twice), San Antonio and Cleveland are far more impressive than the Bucks current resume. The Jazz are just 17-14 on the road compared to the Bucks being 21-9 at home but schedules have a lot to do with that. Overall, Utah has played the eighth ranked schedule in the league while the Bucks have played a slate ranked just 26th in the NBA. Milwaukee is just 4-14 against top ten teams with the aforementioned Boston and Cleveland games included which come with an asterisk, while Utah is 14-2 against teams ranked between 11th and 16th and that is where Milwaukee resides. This includes a home win over the Bucks by 17 points and while that brings in revenge, it is a soft angle here. Utah is 11-1 ATS this season against winning teams with a winning percentage less than .600 and it is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series. 9* Utah Jazz

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

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Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday June 15, 2010 9:05 pm
As good as this series has been in my opinion, we have yet to see a game decided by fewer than six points through the first five games which is very surprising. This is even more surprising considering both of the regular season meetings were decided by a single point. I do not play ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 13, 2010 8:05 pm
We have cashed all four games in the Finals thus far as we have gone the alternating route or the bounceback option as the Lakers and Celtics have alternated wins through the first four games. I am going to buck this trend on Sunday as the Celtics, who played solid in desperation ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 10, 2010 9:05 pm
As we have seen so far in this NBA Finals, it has been a series of bounce backs through the first three games. Boston was able to gain home court after a split in Los Angeles and then the Lakers reclaimed it by winning in Boston on Tuesday. I see the same trend continuing on Thursday ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 8, 2010 9:00 pm
It is now time for the Lakers to return the favor in Boston for Game Three. The Celtics evened the series at a game apiece and grabbed home court in the process with the next three games being played on their homecourt to add to it. I was on Boston in Game Two and was not surprised ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 6, 2010 8:05 pm
Based on the bounce, the zig-zag or whatever you want to call it, I expected this line to be lower than what we had on Thursday. Reason being is that the tendency is for bettors to go the other way and back the losing team of Game One and thus, the linesmakers have adjusted over ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 3, 2010 9:05 pm
The first game of this series is a big one for both sides for obvious reasons especially with the way the series is formatted. With it being a 2-3-2 series, the dynamics are different but the home court advantage team still has the edge, winning 19 of the 26 series since the 2-3-2 ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns Saturday May 29, 2010 8:30 pm
This has come down to be a must win situation for Phoenix as another loss and it is done for the season. I am not a huge proponent of these must win scenarios simply because the linesmakers adjust for them and also because the opposing team isn’t going to just roll over. This ... read more

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Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics Friday May 28, 2010 8:30 pm
Can the city of Boston be in for another playoff meltdown? After the Bruins blew a 3-0 series lead, the Celtics are halfway home to doing the same thing which would make them the first NBA ever to give up such a series lead. It is still far from a done deal but the Celtics, which ... read more

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Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 27, 2010 9:00 pm
Based on the fact that the home team has won and covered the first four games of this series, it comes as no surprise that the public is going to be all over the Lakers tonight. Don’t think the linesmakers haven’t taken this into consideration either. Coupled with the ... read more

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