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Heading into Wednesday, Matt is on a BLAZING 6-1 NBA run! Even better, Fargo is on a SIZZLING 11-1 ATS (91.7%) run with his NBA...more

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February, 10 2012 8:05pm EST
ATS: Indiana Pacers +1.5 (-105)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies

We played against Indiana on Wednesday and that resulted in an easy win and cover for Atlanta. That was more of a play on the Hawks than it was against the Pacers however as Atlanta was coming off three straight horrible games and were likely going to be fully focused, which was the case. Now it is up to the Pacers which will look to rebound following a bad game and they have done that very well in the past so far this season as explained more in detailed down below.

Memphis is coming off a win in its last game at home against Minnesota but wins have been few and far between of late for the Grizzlies. After posting a seven-game winning streak in late January, they have gone just 3-7 since then with one of those wins needing overtime to accomplish. The Grizzlies are a solid home team at 8-4 and while they have played the second toughest schedule in the league, they have not fared well against the better teams, going only 6-11 against the top 16 teams in the league power ratings.

Indiana is 7-0 straight up and 6-1 ATS following a loss this season and because it is getting points here, the ATS stat is irrelevant since a win here means a cover. The more impressive fact is that five of those wins were on the road so the Pacers have not had the luxury of heading home most of the time and of those five road wins, four were right after a road loss which is the same situation we have here tonight. The Pacers won those seven games by an average of 10.4 ppg on top of it.

There is some revenge in play tonight as well as Indiana has been swept in this season series each of the last two years and all of those losses were by at least 11 points. Memphis has covered the last seven meetings and the short line very could have something to do with that. The Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games coming off a road loss while going 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The Grizzlies meanwhile are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a favorite. 9* (865) Indiana Pacers

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

NBA Basketball

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Tuesday May 22, 2012 8:00 pm
We saw something very similar last night with Boston as the home team took advantage of having a Game Five at home and thus took control of the series with a win. Miami is in the same spot tonight and after a very inspired effort on Sunday, I expect the Heat to ride that into Tuesday. ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Monday May 21, 2012 7:00 pm
This is a pivotal game for both sides as the winner of this game will have a big edge in the series with just one more win needed to advance. We had Philadelphia is Game Four and it was able to tie things up but now we will go the other way and take the Celtics which are in the best ... read more

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San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Sunday May 20, 2012 10:30 pm
We won with the Spurs on Saturday and we will go right back with them on Sunday. It was not a good day for the Staples Center home teams as the Clippers and Lakers blew a combined lead of 37 points and the former hurt the most as the Clippers are now down 3-0 in this series and you ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Sunday May 20, 2012 3:30 pm
We lost with the Heat in Game Three which was pretty much a must win spot for them and now this one turns into a definite one. A loss here and the series isn't over for Miami but it is pretty close so its needs to tie this one up before heading back home for Game Five. The Heat have ... read more

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Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 19, 2012 10:30 pm
The Lakers were able to climb back into the series last night with a win over Oklahoma City to pull to within a game. It will be short-lived though as these teams play again Saturday in the second of a back-to-back playoff set at Staples Center. It was obviously a must win for Los ... read more

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San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Saturday May 19, 2012 3:30 pm
This is a big weekend for the Clippers which would love nothing more than to sweep the two games played in Los Angeles to even up this series but it simply will not happen. They likely will not even win one of the games as they are clearly overmatched against one of the most efficient ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Friday May 18, 2012 8:05 pm
We played on the Sixers Wednesday and they certainly came up small as Boston was able to grab back the home court edge after a home split in the first two games. This makes Philadelphia in a prime situation on Friday in a chance to even up this series at home. The Sixers were embarrassed ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Thursday May 17, 2012 7:05 pm
Miami let one get away in Game Two as the Heat lost at home to the Pacers and thus, lost home court advantage in this series. They need to get it back and it needs to be done here in the first game in Indiana because being down 2-1 with the possibility of being down 3-1 is not the ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday May 16, 2012 9:35 pm
The Lakers were clearly outmatched in Game One against Oklahoma City as their grueling seven-game series against Denver took its toll. Even though there is just one day in-between games here as well, at least Los Angeles doesn't have to travel as it did prior to this series opener. ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday May 16, 2012 7:05 pm
Boston threw away a golden opportunity as it was able to snag home court advantage thanks to the Bulls series loss against Philadelphia but now gave it back to the Sixers after splitting the first two games at home. Either of those games could have gone either way so the series is ... read more

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