Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

March, 13 2010 8:05pm EST
ATS: Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies

This is not a good spot for Denver on Saturday night. The Nuggets are coming off a game at New Orleans on Friday and while the Hornets are in a down year, they played them very tough and this series has taken on some extra meaning following that playoff plastering Denver game New Orleans last season. It is far from a rivalry but there is definitely some added motivation on both sides following all of the back and forth talking that took place. As stated, the spot is not good to begin with and playing with no rest this season, Denver is 5-9-2 ATS which is bad to begin with. The real kicker however is traveling from one road game to another road game and the Nuggets are just 16 straight up and 1-5-1 ATS. Memphis is in a very rare scheduling situation in the NBA in that it is playing back-to-back home games. This is something you do not see very often and it is obviously a huge advantage when playing a team with no rest that is travelling. How rare is this situation? This is just the 10th time this season that a team is laying back-to-back home games and considering the home team is 8-2 in the second leg of the homestand, it shows how much of an advantage it really is. The record does drop to 5-3-1 ATS in those games however, we are more concerned about the straight up mark since the Grizzlies are underdogs meaning a win turns into a cover anyway. Memphis built a 21-point lead against the Knicks on Friday and went on for an easy win so a lot of energy was not used which makes the back-to-back situation even more favorable. Adding to Denver’s misery is the fact that it is 0-7 ATS this season as a road favorite of three points or fewer and 1-10 ATS this season when the line is anywhere between +3 and -3. Memphis meanwhile is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage greater than .600. 10* Memphis Grizzlies

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 17, 2010 9:05 pm
I’m going to be on the Celtics for many of the same reasons I was on them for Game Six even though that did not turn out the right way. I was very surprised to see the Celtics come out as flat as they did and I know home court mean a lot to the Lakers but Boston look very lackadaisical ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday June 15, 2010 9:05 pm
As good as this series has been in my opinion, we have yet to see a game decided by fewer than six points through the first five games which is very surprising. This is even more surprising considering both of the regular season meetings were decided by a single point. I do not play ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 13, 2010 8:05 pm
We have cashed all four games in the Finals thus far as we have gone the alternating route or the bounceback option as the Lakers and Celtics have alternated wins through the first four games. I am going to buck this trend on Sunday as the Celtics, who played solid in desperation ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 10, 2010 9:05 pm
As we have seen so far in this NBA Finals, it has been a series of bounce backs through the first three games. Boston was able to gain home court after a split in Los Angeles and then the Lakers reclaimed it by winning in Boston on Tuesday. I see the same trend continuing on Thursday ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 8, 2010 9:00 pm
It is now time for the Lakers to return the favor in Boston for Game Three. The Celtics evened the series at a game apiece and grabbed home court in the process with the next three games being played on their homecourt to add to it. I was on Boston in Game Two and was not surprised ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 6, 2010 8:05 pm
Based on the bounce, the zig-zag or whatever you want to call it, I expected this line to be lower than what we had on Thursday. Reason being is that the tendency is for bettors to go the other way and back the losing team of Game One and thus, the linesmakers have adjusted over ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 3, 2010 9:05 pm
The first game of this series is a big one for both sides for obvious reasons especially with the way the series is formatted. With it being a 2-3-2 series, the dynamics are different but the home court advantage team still has the edge, winning 19 of the 26 series since the 2-3-2 ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns Saturday May 29, 2010 8:30 pm
This has come down to be a must win situation for Phoenix as another loss and it is done for the season. I am not a huge proponent of these must win scenarios simply because the linesmakers adjust for them and also because the opposing team isn’t going to just roll over. This ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics Friday May 28, 2010 8:30 pm
Can the city of Boston be in for another playoff meltdown? After the Bruins blew a 3-0 series lead, the Celtics are halfway home to doing the same thing which would make them the first NBA ever to give up such a series lead. It is still far from a done deal but the Celtics, which ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 27, 2010 9:00 pm
Based on the fact that the home team has won and covered the first four games of this series, it comes as no surprise that the public is going to be all over the Lakers tonight. Don’t think the linesmakers haven’t taken this into consideration either. Coupled with the ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports