Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

February, 06 2010 10:35pm EST
ATS: Golden State Warriors +4 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors

Oklahoma City continues to push forward as it has won four straight games including a win on the road last time out. The Thunder are 15-7 in their last 22 games and they are getting a lot of attention once again from the betting market due to their 30-19 ATS record on the season. The public is all over them once again tonight with over 85 percent of the action coming in on them as of late Saturday morning. Yet, the line is going in the other direction as it opened at -4.5 in some places and has come down across the board to -4 and even -3.5 in some places. The reverse line movement is a significant factor in the NBA especially when dealing with home underdogs. The last meeting has Oklahoma City favored by 8.5 points at home and that game was just a week ago and the line movement for a switch of venue normally is four points each way so this number should be close to even which gives us excellent value tonight. Oklahoma City has won the first two meetings in this series on the season but both of those came at home which sets up a good revenge situation for the Warriors. Golden St. is playing just the opposite of the Thunder as it has lost seven straight games but it is 4-3 ATS in those games and on the season the Warriors are 27-20-1 ATS so like Oklahoma City, they have been cashing tickets. However unlike the Thunder, they are not getting the public respect due to the losing record straight up. As mentioned, this is a double-revenge situation for Golden St. and it is 32-19 ATS revenging a road loss against opponent over the last two seasons. The defense has allowed as least 110 points in its last five games but the Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing 100 points or more five straight games this season. The value also comes into play at home where Golden St. is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog this season and against teams with a winning record it is 16-8 ATS including 7-3 ATS at home. 9* Golden St. Warriors

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

NBA Basketball

Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks Friday March 12, 2010 8:35 pm
Milwaukee is red hot right now as it is on runs of 4-0, 10-1 and 16-4. Those are exceptional streaks and they have put Milwaukee into fifth place in the Eastern Conference, a spot that was never thought to happen before the season and just a month and a half ago for that matter. ... read more

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NBA Basketball

New Jersey Nets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Friday March 12, 2010 8:05 pm
Give credit to New Jersey who got off to a horrendous start this season for not completely throwing in the towel. The Nets are still a horrible 7-57 on the season but they have been more competitive of late as they have covered four straight games and the road has been especially ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Charlotte Bobcats @ Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday March 10, 2010 7:05 pm
Philadelphia is a team in turmoil right now and heading in the complete worst direction possible. There is talk about firing head coach Eddie Jordan and that type of distraction is not good for anyone on the team. The Sixers have lost six of their last seven games and are 3-9 over ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Utah Jazz @ Chicago Bulls Tuesday March 9, 2010 8:05 pm
The Bulls have lost four straight games, the last three coming at home. This is the final home game of this current homestand before a brutal roadtrip starts on Thursday at Orlando. Chicago knows it needs to come out of here with a win before it hits the road where it has been pretty ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Monday March 8, 2010 8:05 pm
This is a big time contrarian play but one that the value is squarely on our side. I have gone against Dallas in each of its last three road games and have been burnt each time. The first two were because of fourth quarter comebacks and last time out, it was able to build a big early ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Houston Rockets @ Detroit Pistons Sunday March 7, 2010 6:05 pm
Houston has to be favored in this games based on the overall record comparison of the Rockets and Pistons but I still think the value lies with the home team. Houston is coming off a win last night in Minnesota which moved it within two games of .500 on the road and that is certainly ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Dallas Mavericks @ Chicago Bulls Saturday March 6, 2010 8:05 pm
Dallas picked up another ho-hum win last night against Sacramento, its 10th straight victory. The Mavericks have now moved into second place in the Western Conference but they find themselves in a tough position tonight. This is just the third road game since February 20th and in ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Indiana Pacers @ Denver Nuggets Friday March 5, 2010 9:05 pm
We cashed a ticket with Denver on Wednesday as the Nuggets were able to bounce back from two consecutive losses at Los Angeles and at Phoenix. The game against Oklahoma City was a highly motivated one and it will be just the opposite tonight. With Indiana coming to town and a home ... read more

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NBA Basketball

New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors Friday March 5, 2010 7:05 pm
Toronto should welcome back Chris Bosh tonight and it cannot come at a better time if he is back in the lineup. He missed six straight games for the Raptors who went 2-4 over that stretch including losses in each of their last four games. Those games came against Portland, Cleveland, ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns Thursday March 4, 2010 10:45 pm
Making a very quick comparison, Denver is better than Utah but was getting a better line in Phoenix two games back than what the Jazz are getting tonight. I have not bought into this Utah team despite a recent run where it went 13-1. Solid at home once again, Utah is 24-8 on its ... read more

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