Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

February, 06 2010 10:35pm EST
ATS: Golden State Warriors +4 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors

Oklahoma City continues to push forward as it has won four straight games including a win on the road last time out. The Thunder are 15-7 in their last 22 games and they are getting a lot of attention once again from the betting market due to their 30-19 ATS record on the season. The public is all over them once again tonight with over 85 percent of the action coming in on them as of late Saturday morning. Yet, the line is going in the other direction as it opened at -4.5 in some places and has come down across the board to -4 and even -3.5 in some places. The reverse line movement is a significant factor in the NBA especially when dealing with home underdogs. The last meeting has Oklahoma City favored by 8.5 points at home and that game was just a week ago and the line movement for a switch of venue normally is four points each way so this number should be close to even which gives us excellent value tonight. Oklahoma City has won the first two meetings in this series on the season but both of those came at home which sets up a good revenge situation for the Warriors. Golden St. is playing just the opposite of the Thunder as it has lost seven straight games but it is 4-3 ATS in those games and on the season the Warriors are 27-20-1 ATS so like Oklahoma City, they have been cashing tickets. However unlike the Thunder, they are not getting the public respect due to the losing record straight up. As mentioned, this is a double-revenge situation for Golden St. and it is 32-19 ATS revenging a road loss against opponent over the last two seasons. The defense has allowed as least 110 points in its last five games but the Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing 100 points or more five straight games this season. The value also comes into play at home where Golden St. is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog this season and against teams with a winning record it is 16-8 ATS including 7-3 ATS at home. 9* Golden St. Warriors

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

NBA Basketball

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz Friday February 10, 2012 10:35 pm
We have been on the wrong side of two of Oklahoma City's games on this roadtrip, although one did result in a possible push, all because of late game bad bounces. The Thunder forced overtime in Portland only to win there and then won in the final seconds against Golden St. the next ... read more

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Indiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies Friday February 10, 2012 8:05 pm
We played against Indiana on Wednesday and that resulted in an easy win and cover for Atlanta. That was more of a play on the Hawks than it was against the Pacers however as Atlanta was coming off three straight horrible games and were likely going to be fully focused, which was ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers Friday February 10, 2012 7:05 pm
The Clippers head into Philadelphia coming off a loss in Cleveland and that was not that big of a surprise. It was their first game without Chauncey Billups who has been lost for the season with a torn Achilles and we figured there would be some rotation issues. Randy Foye didn't ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday February 9, 2012 8:05 pm
After the Lakers brought home the NBA title back in 2009-10, the Celtics went to Los Angeles in the first meeting last season and defeated the Lakers by 13 points. The Lakers then returned the favor in Boston by way of a six-point victory so last season the road team won both of ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Indiana Pacers @ Atlanta Hawks Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:35 pm
The Hawks are in a funk right now. After winning five of six games to close out January, they have lost their last three games, all of which have come at home and all were very winnable games. Losing to Memphis and Philadelphia are not horrible losses but the most recent defeat against ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:05 pm
Cleveland has played a very tough schedule since the end of January as it has faced Boston twice, Orlando, Dallas and Miami over its last five games and coming out of those at 2-3 isn't that bad. The Cavaliers are coming off a loss at Miami last night as the game was relatively close ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors Tuesday February 7, 2012 10:35 pm
Oklahoma City came away with a big overtime win last night in Portland and I expect a bit of a letdown following that. The Thunder have not alternated wins and losses in each of their last five road games and while tonight's game may seem like a relief after last night, that won't ... read more

Matt Fargo Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Matt Fargo Sports

NBA Basketball

Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday February 7, 2012 8:05 pm
Matt is coming off a tough overtime loss with Portland but is still on an AWESOME 14-7 NBA run and his streak going back to last year remains RED HOT as he is a COMMANDING 48-28-1 (63.2%) L77! He is back with a HUGE REPORT Tuesday and it is a BEAUTY that results in an EASY COVER! ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trailblazers Monday February 6, 2012 10:05 pm
The Thunder are coming off a loss on Saturday at San Antonio and while they have lost back-to-back games only once this season, being the favorite hear is a stretch. They have been the road favorite in 11 of their 13 games on the road but the two games they have not been favored ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trailblazers Saturday February 4, 2012 10:05 pm
This is the third game in three nights for the Nuggets which is the second time they have encountered this situation this season. They started off with a game in Los Angeles against the Clippers and then traveled back home to face the Lakers and are now off on the road once again ... read more

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