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March, 13 2010 8:35pm EST
ATS: New York Knicks +11 (-110)
WIN for +2.73 unit(s)

New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks

Dallas made it 12 straight wins with a come-from-behind win over New Jersey on Wednesday as it survived another win, no cover at home. The Mavericks host the Knicks Saturday which looks like another pushover but I have a feeling New York is not going to go away easily here. The first meeting this season has something to do with that as the Knicks were absolutely embarrassed in that game on January 24th as Dallas went into MSG and built a 53-point lead before “holding on” to win it by an even 50 points. Games decided by margins like that are obviously rare in the NBA as even the bad teams are not that bad but that first meeting simply got out of control. Egos were bruised and feelings got hurt and Knicks players have not forgotten about it. With the way Dallas is playing and with the Knicks on a current 7-22 run, we have a big line and one that is filled with value. The Knicks have been big underdogs on the road of late when playing the better teams in the league and this number didn’t stray from that. Dallas can take this game one of two ways. First, it can come in pretty motivated as it will know that the Knicks are going to be after some payback. Second, it can come in lethargic and with a lack of focus knowing what happened the first time. It is hard to predict what the mental state will be but I do know that New York will be more fired up for this one than the Mavericks will be and we all know how motivation plays such a large part in the NBA. A big problem with Dallas, if you can even say the second best team in the Western Conference has problems, is that it cannot put teams away at home. The Mavericks are a horrible 8-24 ATS at home including a 7-24 ATS mark as home favorites. They win but they don’t win big. Road revenge is a tough angle in the NBA but there are exceptions and this one certainly fits. 3* New York Knicks

Matt took a hit with Oklahoma City who could not hold a big lead on the Nets. It has been another SENSATIONAL year as he is on current runs of 20-15-1 ATS (57.1%) and 75-58-3 ATS (56.4%)! His 10* ENFORCER run has solidified his BIG GAME prowess as he is a SIZZLING 14-8 ATS (63.6%) in his last 22 ENFORCER Reports! Winner #15 tonight! The MASSIVE run is extended Saturday!

Matt Fargo Sports NBA Basketball Past Picks

NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 17, 2010 9:05 pm
I’m going to be on the Celtics for many of the same reasons I was on them for Game Six even though that did not turn out the right way. I was very surprised to see the Celtics come out as flat as they did and I know home court mean a lot to the Lakers but Boston look very lackadaisical ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday June 15, 2010 9:05 pm
As good as this series has been in my opinion, we have yet to see a game decided by fewer than six points through the first five games which is very surprising. This is even more surprising considering both of the regular season meetings were decided by a single point. I do not play ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 13, 2010 8:05 pm
We have cashed all four games in the Finals thus far as we have gone the alternating route or the bounceback option as the Lakers and Celtics have alternated wins through the first four games. I am going to buck this trend on Sunday as the Celtics, who played solid in desperation ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 10, 2010 9:05 pm
As we have seen so far in this NBA Finals, it has been a series of bounce backs through the first three games. Boston was able to gain home court after a split in Los Angeles and then the Lakers reclaimed it by winning in Boston on Tuesday. I see the same trend continuing on Thursday ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 8, 2010 9:00 pm
It is now time for the Lakers to return the favor in Boston for Game Three. The Celtics evened the series at a game apiece and grabbed home court in the process with the next three games being played on their homecourt to add to it. I was on Boston in Game Two and was not surprised ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 6, 2010 8:05 pm
Based on the bounce, the zig-zag or whatever you want to call it, I expected this line to be lower than what we had on Thursday. Reason being is that the tendency is for bettors to go the other way and back the losing team of Game One and thus, the linesmakers have adjusted over ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 3, 2010 9:05 pm
The first game of this series is a big one for both sides for obvious reasons especially with the way the series is formatted. With it being a 2-3-2 series, the dynamics are different but the home court advantage team still has the edge, winning 19 of the 26 series since the 2-3-2 ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns Saturday May 29, 2010 8:30 pm
This has come down to be a must win situation for Phoenix as another loss and it is done for the season. I am not a huge proponent of these must win scenarios simply because the linesmakers adjust for them and also because the opposing team isn’t going to just roll over. This ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics Friday May 28, 2010 8:30 pm
Can the city of Boston be in for another playoff meltdown? After the Bruins blew a 3-0 series lead, the Celtics are halfway home to doing the same thing which would make them the first NBA ever to give up such a series lead. It is still far from a done deal but the Celtics, which ... read more

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NBA Basketball

Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 27, 2010 9:00 pm
Based on the fact that the home team has won and covered the first four games of this series, it comes as no surprise that the public is going to be all over the Lakers tonight. Don’t think the linesmakers haven’t taken this into consideration either. Coupled with the ... read more

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