Free Ncaa Basketball Predictions Matt Fargo Sports March 12, 2010 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ West Virginia Mountaineers

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March, 12 2010 9:40pm EST
ATS: West Virginia Mountaineers -5 (-110)
LOSS for -3 unit(s)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at West Virginia Mountaineers

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Notre Dame is the hottest team in the Big East right now with six straight wins but I think this run comes to an end tonight. The first couple rounds can be treated as normal games and in the Notre Dame case, it won as a small favorite and as a small underdog so nothing was totally shocking. This is where we have to start treating these games differently however. This is the third game in three nights for the Irish and fatigue can become a factor especially during the latter stage of this game. In this conferenc3e especially where nothing is easy, that fatigue can be even more prevalent. Notre Dame has gone from outside the NCAA Tournament bubble to inside the NCAA Tournament bubble to a possible high seed in a matter of just three weeks. The win during this six-game run have been outstanding including Pittsburgh twice, Georgetown and Marquette. West Virginia is playing sensational as well as it has won four straight games. A Big East Tournament win and the Mountaineers cannot be counted out for a darkhorse number one seed in the NCAA Tournament. An efficient offense and a strong defense set the tome for this team that has been outstanding away from home this season. Outside of Morgantown, the Mountaineers are 12-4 on the season and we all know winning away from home is essential in these postseason games. Notre Dame has found a way to do it of late but that was not the case all season where it started out 2-7 in its first nine games outside of South Bend. The slow down approach has benefitted the Notre Dame offense but that is actually an edge for the Mountaineers who play a similar style and will not have to try and force the tempo like other teams have tried and failed to do. The defense of West Virginia has been the backbone and in every game where it held the opposition to 68 or fewer points the Mountaineers won, going 20-0. Getting to 68 points for the Irish has been hit or miss and with the new halfcourt style, getting to that point total against this defense will be a tough challenge. West Virginia lost the lone meeting in Notre Dame this season by just a bucket and that sets it up into a great situation. Play on neutral court teams that are revenging a loss as a favorite where that opponent is now coming off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. This situation is 82-43 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1997. 3* West Virginia Mountaineers

Matt had a SOLID Thursday with an EXCEPTIONAL 4-2 card and a backdoor on UNLV thwarted and even bigger day! His 10* TOP Reports plays have been BRILLIANT all year as they are a SIZZLING 36-20-3 ATS (64.3%) YTD! It continues Friday with his 10* A-10 Tourney GOY! This MASSIVE ONSLAUGHT continues in what is to be an ATS BLOWOUT! Get this colossal evening GOY Winner!