Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

Fargo's **10** NBA ENFORCER (SWEET 17-10 NBA RUN) (Sat 8:35PM)
Matt has been simply killing it in the NBA for years and now he is on an AWESOME 17-10-1 NBA run and his...more

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Fargo's **10** C-USA GAME OF THE YEAR (61% CBB) (Sat 8:00PM)
Matt is a BLAZING 74-47-5 ATS (61.2%) L126 CBB and the streak continues on Saturday! He has gone an AWESOME 8-2 on 10* Plays the...more

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March, 10 2010 9:30pm EST
ATS: Texas Longhorns -9 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Longhorns

I have faded Texas numerous times down the stretch this season and a lot of those times it paid off as the Longhorns simply fell apart and struggled down the stretch. Because they started the season 17-0 and were ranked number one in the country at one point, they were overvalued in a lot of situations as the linesmakers had no choice but to inflate those lines based on public perception. However, I feel the value is actually on the side of Texas now and a lot of that is because of the first meeting between these two teams. The Longhorns were favored by eight points at Iowa St. less than two months back and that would have made them roughly a 12-point favorite on a neutral floor. Now Texas is favored by only nine points and while that first meeting was when Texas was playing good, this is a team no one should want to face come tournament time. Iowa St. came into the season with lofty expectations but it was another disappointing campaign as it finished 4-12 in the conference. Even though his numbers are solid, forward Craig Brackins took a step backwards and once projected as a lottery pick, that is not the case anymore. Some sources have called him lazy with the inability to make adjustments when needed. He had a very average game in the first meeting against Texas and he will likely struggle again against the solid Longhorns frontcourt. The Cyclones picked up an improbable road win at Kansas St. in their last game and while it may be a confidence boost, I do not see a repeat. The victory over the Wildcats snapped a 21-game road losing streak against ranked teams and while Texas is not ranked, I consider it right there. Texas’ depth will be a chief concern for the thin Cyclones. One of the biggest drawbacks for Texas was its ability to shoot free throws, which it simply could not do. The Longhorns have improved dramatically in that category, hitting 71.9 percent over their last five games and overall, they are hitting just 2.4 percent less than what the Cyclones are hitting from the line. The normal disadvantage is negated by the inability of Iowa St. to hit those foul shots as well. Other than that, Texas has advantages across the board, most notable offensive efficiency and overall efficiency. The Longhorns have an overall efficiency rating differential of +18.9 which is the second biggest of all of the conference games on the board today and that is a major difference. When we see a difference that big, we are usually dealing with a big double-digit line but that is not the case here. The Cyclones are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games coming off a win as an underdog and they are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as underdogs between 7.0 and 12.5 points. Texas has been a non-covering machine of late but this is the time the gas pedal is pushed to the limit. 10* Texas Longhorns

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

College Basketball

Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix @ Wright State Raiders Friday February 10, 2012 9:00 pm
This is an important game for both sides as conference tournament seedings are coming more into play as the season is winding down. In the Horizon Tournament, the top two seeds receive first round byes and while neither Green Bay nor Wright St. need to worry about that, they fall ... read more

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College Basketball

Virginia Tech Hokies @ Miami Hurricanes Thursday February 9, 2012 9:00 pm
It has been a rough season for Virginia Tech but things have been so close to being a whole lot better. The Hokies are only 2-6 in the ACC but of those six losses, four have come by four points or fewer with the other two coming at the hands of North Carolina and Duke. Virginia Tech ... read more

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College Basketball

Iowa Hawkeyes @ Northwestern Wildcats Thursday February 9, 2012 9:00 pm
Northwestern is coming off a big road win on Sunday at rival Illinois and now it is being asked to lay a big number against a team that possesses a better conference record. The Wildcats are now 4-6 in the Big Ten following two straight wins but getting that third straight victory ... read more

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College Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock Trojans @ UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Thursday February 9, 2012 8:00 pm
This is a big game in the Sun Belt Conference but the line is not telling us that. Arkansas-Little Rock leads the SBC West Division by a half-game over tonight's counterpart and that being the case, this line is off a few points in my opinion. The Trojans are riding a three-game ... read more

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College Basketball

North Carolina State Wolfpack @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Thursday February 9, 2012 7:00 pm
Here we have a very good team, NC State, trying to get some road revenge on a very bad team, Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack lost at home last month by 11 points and it really was an inexcusable loss as they were riding a six-game winning streak and had just won their ACC opener over ... read more

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College Basketball

Michigan Wolverines @ Nebraska Cornhuskers Wednesday February 8, 2012 8:30 pm
Nebraska used to own one of the better home court advantages when it was part of the Big XII Conference but the home floor has not been a very big edge this season. The Huskers were decent during the non-conference portion of their schedule but even some of those wins were suspect, ... read more

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College Basketball

Kansas Jayhawks @ Baylor Bears Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:00 pm
Kansas is coming off a tough loss on Saturday at Missouri and things will not get any easier here as it travels to Waco with first place in the Big XII on the line. The Jayhawks and Bears both trail Missouri by a half-game but this game is arguably bigger for Baylor. A loss here ... read more

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College Basketball

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Tuesday February 7, 2012 7:00 pm
First place is on the line in the SEC tonight. Even though a Florida win would still have it a half-game back from Kentucky, the all-important head-to-head win would go a lot further. The Gators have won seven straight games since a loss at Tennessee back at the start of January. ... read more

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College Basketball

Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos @ Cal State Fullerton Titans Saturday February 4, 2012 9:00 pm
Catching Long Beach St. is the Big West Conference but CS-Fullerton does have a chance at catching Santa Barbara for second place and it can do so with a win on Saturday. The Titans are coming off a lopsided victory over a decent Cal Poly team on Thursday as they won by 22 points ... read more

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College Basketball

Oregon Ducks @ Colorado Buffaloes Saturday February 4, 2012 9:00 pm
Oregon is coming off a win at Utah that was a lot tougher than expected. The Ducks were tied at halftime and actually fell behind midway through the second half but used an 11-0 run to pull away in what can be considered a misleading final score. Oregon improved to 16-6 overall including ... read more

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