Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

March, 10 2010 3:30pm EST
ATS: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -7 (-110)
WIN for +4.55 unit(s)

Tulane Green Wave at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Southern Mississippi enters this game on a bit of a roll with two straight comfortable wins including one over today’s opponent. It was an up and down season for the Golden Eagles who are still thinking postseason tournament albeit the NIT or CBI. They have every right to as they finished the conference season with an 8-8 record. Looking deeper into this record shows that they went 0-8 against teams that finished above them in the conference standings and all of which had at least 10 C-USA wins. They went 8-0 against the teams that finished below them in the conference standings and the scoring margins show that it was close to an even better season. Those eight wins came by an average of 10.4 ppg while those eight losses came by only 5.6 ppg. Seven of those defeats were by single digits including three by three points or fewer and remember, those were all against the upper echelon of the conference. Now playing everyone on a neutral playing field, Southern Mississippi can make some noise and it is ready to make a run and will not be looking past anyone. “One of my favorite coaches told me, ‘Anytime you get at least 17 wins, you’ve had a heck of a year,’ ” Southern Mississippi head coach Larry Eustachy said. “So we’ve had a heck of a year. We need a couple of more to get into one of these postseason tournaments. The urgency is there.” That is the kind of talk we like to hear in these spots. Tulane was miserable this season in what was supposed to be a good year. The Green Wave finished 3-13 in C-USA with two of those wins coming against last place Rice which went 1-15 in the conference. They are coming off an upset win over Houston in the regular season finale which could provide some confidence but there is no chemistry on this team. Injuries completely deflated this team as the Green Wave were forced to use 13 different starting lineups this season and that is obviously not good for team consistency. 12 different players played at least 20 games and 13 different players started and while that provided good experience, it is not an ideal situation at all. The two-game streak may not seem like much for the Golden Eagles but this has been a team that feeds off wins. They are 8-2 ATS this season away from home coming off a win and they are 13-4 ATS in all games coming off a cover. Southern Mississippi is 5-1 ATS this season as a single-digit favorite and the price is right once again. 10* Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

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