Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

March, 09 2010 12:00pm EST
ATS: Depaul Blue Demons +6.5 (100)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Depaul Blue Demons at South Florida Bulls

This line opened at -6.5 and I would not be surprised to see it go up by game time. This is based on records and that people love the favorites in these games. I am a fan of momentum heading into these tournaments but we have to take a closer look at things before blindly betting these streaks. South Florida won its last three regular season games to move to 9-9 in the conference but it is still not going to be an at-large big into the NCAA Tournament no matter what the Bulls may be saying. If they get to the championship game, then they can talk. Don’t get me wring, the Bulls have had a great season and have exceeded expectations but I don’t see how a team can be favored by this many points in a conference tournament game where it is 0-1 lifetime because the other three times it was never good enough to even make it to New York. The fact that the Bulls are playing the 1-17 Blue Demons surely has something to do with that line. Let’s not forget however that DePaul was 0-18 heading into the Big East Tournament last season and it went on win its first round game over Cincinnati outright. While the Blue Demons appear only one game better on paper, they have been a lot better this season and have had some really bad luck along the way. In conference action, he Blue Demons have lost nine of their last 10 games by single-digits only and while the opposition was nothing special with the exception of Syracuse and Louisville, the Bulls fall right into that same category of average. Injuries and the loss of head coach Jerry Wainwright did not help matters early on but DePaul is healthy and playing its best basketball heading into the tournament. Despite another rough year, this team has not packed it in and it won’t go without a fight. A 9-1 ATS stretch proves that. 9* DePaul Blue Demons

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