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March, 09 2010 12:00pm EST
ATS: Depaul Blue Demons +6.5 (100)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Depaul Blue Demons at South Florida Bulls

This line opened at -6.5 and I would not be surprised to see it go up by game time. This is based on records and that people love the favorites in these games. I am a fan of momentum heading into these tournaments but we have to take a closer look at things before blindly betting these streaks. South Florida won its last three regular season games to move to 9-9 in the conference but it is still not going to be an at-large big into the NCAA Tournament no matter what the Bulls may be saying. If they get to the championship game, then they can talk. Don’t get me wring, the Bulls have had a great season and have exceeded expectations but I don’t see how a team can be favored by this many points in a conference tournament game where it is 0-1 lifetime because the other three times it was never good enough to even make it to New York. The fact that the Bulls are playing the 1-17 Blue Demons surely has something to do with that line. Let’s not forget however that DePaul was 0-18 heading into the Big East Tournament last season and it went on win its first round game over Cincinnati outright. While the Blue Demons appear only one game better on paper, they have been a lot better this season and have had some really bad luck along the way. In conference action, he Blue Demons have lost nine of their last 10 games by single-digits only and while the opposition was nothing special with the exception of Syracuse and Louisville, the Bulls fall right into that same category of average. Injuries and the loss of head coach Jerry Wainwright did not help matters early on but DePaul is healthy and playing its best basketball heading into the tournament. Despite another rough year, this team has not packed it in and it won’t go without a fight. A 9-1 ATS stretch proves that. 9* DePaul Blue Demons

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West Virginia Mountaineers @ Duke Blue Devils Saturday April 3, 2010 9:12 pm
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Michigan State Spartans @ Butler Bulldogs Saturday April 3, 2010 6:07 pm
Butler has to be one of the more fortunate teams in the Final Four in a very long time. Taking not much credit away from the Bulldogs for being here but they were able to catch both Syracuse and Kansas St. in arguably their worst games of the season and for anyone who watched those ... read more

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North Carolina Tar Heels @ Dayton Flyers Thursday April 1, 2010 7:00 pm
After winning the NCAA Championship a season ago, North Carolina can become the first team ever to win the NCAA Title and the NIT Title in consecutive years. If it were reversed then it may mean something but this is a first that the Tar Heels will not be proud of. Give them credit ... read more

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Virginia Commonwealth Rams @ Saint Louis Billikens Wednesday March 31, 2010 8:00 pm
The wrong team is favored here plain and simple. VCU won the first game of this best-of-three series for the CBI Championship and it looks as though that game is being taken into account too much. It was a 12-point win for the Rams but the victory was far from dominating. VCU used ... read more

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North Carolina Tar Heels @ Rhode Island Rams Tuesday March 30, 2010 9:40 pm
At the start of the NIT, the big question was how North Carolina was going to react after such a disappointing season. Those questions have been answered. Expectations were high to start the season and an 11-3 start pointed toward the Tar Heels at least making it back to the NCAA ... read more

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Pacific Tigers @ Missouri State Bears Tuesday March 30, 2010 8:00 pm
The Bears lit up the scoreboard in an 87-79 victory over Middle Tennessee St. and looked like a dominant team in a 69-40 demolition of Louisiana Tech. They then beat Creighton last Wednesday night 67-61 to advance to the title game of a national post season tournament for the first ... read more

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Baylor Bears @ Duke Blue Devils Sunday March 28, 2010 5:05 pm
Duke has had a very favorable draw so far in this tournament. Playing California presented huge matchup advantages and then came a game against Purdue which was without its best player in Robbie Hummel and the Blue Devils were able to match the physicality of the Boilermakers. This ... read more

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Tennessee Volunteers @ Michigan State Spartans Sunday March 28, 2010 2:20 pm
You have to give a lot of credit to Michigan St. for gutting out a win over Northern Iowa. Down seven at halftime, the Spartans opened the second half on a 16-5 run and were able to close the game out with some late, clutch shots. Northern Iowa’s last basket in this game came ... read more

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Butler Bulldogs @ Kansas State Wildcats Saturday March 27, 2010 4:30 pm
Regulars know I prefer going against these big streaks and we were able to cash a small ticket a week ago when Butler barely won against the Racers. Obviously it looked better than that on Thursday but I’m not sold. Watching Butler on Thursday showed me two things. The ... read more

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