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February, 09 2012 9:00pm EST
ATS: Virginia Tech Hokies +6.5 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes

It has been a rough season for Virginia Tech but things have been so close to being a whole lot better. The Hokies are only 2-6 in the ACC but of those six losses, four have come by four points or fewer with the other two coming at the hands of North Carolina and Duke. Virginia Tech is 3-6 this season in games decided in overtime or by five or fewer points so that 13-10 record is a bit skewed. The Hokies RPI is surprisingly low because of this and that it has played the 39th ranked schedule in the nation.

Miami meanwhile has come off two straight overtime victories, at home against Maryland (double OT) and on the road at Duke in its most recent game on Sunday. That gave Miami its first victory ever at Cameron Indoor Stadium and just its second win over Duke since joining the ACC. While you can argue it was a confidence builder, you can certainly argue it bringing up a letdown situation. It was the first time Duke has lost more than one home game since 2006-07 which shows it is not the same Duke team.

On the season, the Hokies are outshooting opponents by 3.2 percent from the floor while the Hurricanes are outshooting opponents by 2.3 percent from the floor and the variances get even bigger from long range, +9.2 percent to +2.5 percent in favor of the Hokies. Virginia also has a better free throw shooting percentage, a better rebounding margin and a better assist/turnover ratio margin. All of this adds up to the Hokies being a slightly better team that simply have not been able to win the close games.

Miami is back on the bubble which certainly helps avoid a possible letdown but that win over Duke has inflated this line and we are getting solid value on Virginia Tech. The Hokies have a few more opportunities for some quality wins and because of the Hurricanes win over Duke, this will now count as one as it would not have been one before. The underdog has covered six of the last eight meetings in this series as five of those have been decided within this number. 9* (737) Virginia Tech Hokies

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

College Basketball

Kansas Jayhawks @ Kentucky Wildcats Monday April 2, 2012 9:20 pm
All of the pressure is on Kentucky and head coach John Calipari and while it has handled it very well so far, this is of a different magnitude. The Wildcats are one win away from a National Championship that they are expected to win and that has been the case all season long. I think ... read more

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Ohio State Buckeyes @ Kansas Jayhawks Saturday March 31, 2012 8:49 pm
The linesmakers are have given the edge to Ohio St. in this matchup and the main reason for that is the road these two teams have taken to get here. The Buckeyes have covered three of their four tournament games with the only non-covering being by just a bucket. Kansas meanwhile ... read more

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Louisville Cardinals @ Kentucky Wildcats Saturday March 31, 2012 6:09 pm
As tempting as these points look, they won't be enough for Louisville to cover against Kentucky, let alone win it outright. The Cardinals have put a very strong run together, similar to that of Connecticut from last season as they won four games in four days to capture the Big East ... read more

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Stanford Cardinal @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Thursday March 29, 2012 7:00 pm
Matt is coming off a TREMENDOUS 3-1 Wednesday and he carries that into Thursday! In the NBA, he is on a SENSATIONAL 88-59-4 (60%) run going back to last season while riding a BLISTERING 26-16-1 ATS run since the All-Star break! TWO Winners tonight! He also extends his BLAZING 50-28 ... read more

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Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Washington Huskies Tuesday March 27, 2012 9:00 pm
Washington is showing that it is the class of the NIT and the number one seed it received was well deserved. The Huskies have cruised through its three games to get to the NIT Final Four and even though all of those took place at home, they will be just fine in this atmosphere. Washington ... read more

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Pittsburgh Panthers @ Washington State Cougars Monday March 26, 2012 10:00 pm
Pittsburgh is coming off an ugly overtime win over Butler on the road to advance to the best-of-three finals in the CBI Tournament. I believe that was their final roadblock before winning this championship. The Panthers came into this tournament with a great attitude after a very ... read more

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Florida Gators @ Louisville Cardinals Saturday March 24, 2012 4:30 pm
You have to give credit to Florida for the run it is having but there is no reason it should be favored here. The Gators are one of the two lower seeded teams that are favored Saturday and while Ohio St. is justified, Florida isn't. The Gators first two games came against lower seeded ... read more

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Indiana University Hoosiers @ Kentucky Wildcats Friday March 23, 2012 9:45 pm
This one gets ugly. Kudos for Indiana and Tom Creen and the tremendous rebuilding job that Indiana went through this season but it comes to an end tonight. The Hoosiers were pretty fortunate to escape their last game against VCU as they committed 22 turnovers, which was a season ... read more

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Florida Gators @ Marquette Golden Eagles Thursday March 22, 2012 10:17 pm
Florida has had a very easy time in getting into the Sweet 16 and it caught a very big break with Missouri going down against Norfolk St. The Gators have won their first two games by 26 and 34 points which is a rarity in this tournament, no matter the competition. The 30 ppg scoring ... read more

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Nevada Wolf Pack @ Stanford Cardinal Wednesday March 21, 2012 9:00 pm
The Wolf Pack were an NCAA Tournament bubble team yet they only received one of the four number five seeds in the NIT and they have used that as motivation along the way. Now they are a win away from their first ever NIT Final Four and while the trip to New York has not been used ... read more

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