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Heading into Wednesday, Matt is on a BLAZING 6-1 NBA run! Even better, Fargo is on a SIZZLING 11-1 ATS (91.7%) run with his NBA...more

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February, 04 2012 1:45pm EST
ATS: LSU Tigers -4 (-110)
WIN for +4.55 unit(s)

Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers

LSU is coming off a loss at home against Kentucky last Saturday which was expected but what was not expected was the fact that the Tigers looked to have given up midway through the second half which is not part of the persona of this team. It was their fifth loss in six games in a rugged January stretch that included four SEC road games in five and a run of three games in a row against ranked foes. It won't be much easier here but at least there is a step down in class.

Arkansas meanwhile is coming off a home upset against Vanderbilt as it pulled away late thanks to a big run. The Razorbacks improved to 16-1 at home with that victory but now they hit the road where things have been tough all season. Arkansas is 0-5 away from home this season, covering just one of those games which was the game played last Saturday at Alabama. That was due to a 17-8 run to start the second half but it faded once again as the defense on the road remains a big liability.

The Tigers have been a lot more competitive this year than the last couple but the effort last week has head coach Trent Johnson seething. "The only thing that's disturbing to me is, forget the score, during the course of the second half, we just stopped fighting and stopped competing and that's the first time I've seen that from this group," Johnson said. "It really bothers me." With a week off since then, it is pretty certain that Johnson got into his players about that effort and it will not be duplicated this Saturday.

This is not the same as football, but this is still a big rivalry game and LSU is playing with revenge following a nine-point loss in Fayetteville last month. The Tigers went to the free throw line only 13 times while going just 3-18 from long range. LSU has won the last three meetings in Baton Rouge and is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 home meetings. The Tigers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record while Arkansas is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a spread win. 9* (552) LSU Tigers

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

College Basketball

Kansas Jayhawks @ Kentucky Wildcats Monday April 2, 2012 9:20 pm
All of the pressure is on Kentucky and head coach John Calipari and while it has handled it very well so far, this is of a different magnitude. The Wildcats are one win away from a National Championship that they are expected to win and that has been the case all season long. I think ... read more

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College Basketball

Ohio State Buckeyes @ Kansas Jayhawks Saturday March 31, 2012 8:49 pm
The linesmakers are have given the edge to Ohio St. in this matchup and the main reason for that is the road these two teams have taken to get here. The Buckeyes have covered three of their four tournament games with the only non-covering being by just a bucket. Kansas meanwhile ... read more

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College Basketball

Louisville Cardinals @ Kentucky Wildcats Saturday March 31, 2012 6:09 pm
As tempting as these points look, they won't be enough for Louisville to cover against Kentucky, let alone win it outright. The Cardinals have put a very strong run together, similar to that of Connecticut from last season as they won four games in four days to capture the Big East ... read more

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College Basketball

Stanford Cardinal @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Thursday March 29, 2012 7:00 pm
Matt is coming off a TREMENDOUS 3-1 Wednesday and he carries that into Thursday! In the NBA, he is on a SENSATIONAL 88-59-4 (60%) run going back to last season while riding a BLISTERING 26-16-1 ATS run since the All-Star break! TWO Winners tonight! He also extends his BLAZING 50-28 ... read more

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College Basketball

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Washington Huskies Tuesday March 27, 2012 9:00 pm
Washington is showing that it is the class of the NIT and the number one seed it received was well deserved. The Huskies have cruised through its three games to get to the NIT Final Four and even though all of those took place at home, they will be just fine in this atmosphere. Washington ... read more

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College Basketball

Pittsburgh Panthers @ Washington State Cougars Monday March 26, 2012 10:00 pm
Pittsburgh is coming off an ugly overtime win over Butler on the road to advance to the best-of-three finals in the CBI Tournament. I believe that was their final roadblock before winning this championship. The Panthers came into this tournament with a great attitude after a very ... read more

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College Basketball

Florida Gators @ Louisville Cardinals Saturday March 24, 2012 4:30 pm
You have to give credit to Florida for the run it is having but there is no reason it should be favored here. The Gators are one of the two lower seeded teams that are favored Saturday and while Ohio St. is justified, Florida isn't. The Gators first two games came against lower seeded ... read more

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College Basketball

Indiana University Hoosiers @ Kentucky Wildcats Friday March 23, 2012 9:45 pm
This one gets ugly. Kudos for Indiana and Tom Creen and the tremendous rebuilding job that Indiana went through this season but it comes to an end tonight. The Hoosiers were pretty fortunate to escape their last game against VCU as they committed 22 turnovers, which was a season ... read more

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College Basketball

Florida Gators @ Marquette Golden Eagles Thursday March 22, 2012 10:17 pm
Florida has had a very easy time in getting into the Sweet 16 and it caught a very big break with Missouri going down against Norfolk St. The Gators have won their first two games by 26 and 34 points which is a rarity in this tournament, no matter the competition. The 30 ppg scoring ... read more

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College Basketball

Nevada Wolf Pack @ Stanford Cardinal Wednesday March 21, 2012 9:00 pm
The Wolf Pack were an NCAA Tournament bubble team yet they only received one of the four number five seeds in the NIT and they have used that as motivation along the way. Now they are a win away from their first ever NIT Final Four and while the trip to New York has not been used ... read more

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