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Fargo's 10* NBA THURSDAY ENFORCER (SWEET 11-1 L12) (Thu 8:00PM)
Heading into Wednesday, Matt is on a BLAZING 6-1 NBA run! Even better, Fargo is on a SIZZLING 11-1 ATS (91.7%) run with his NBA...more

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February, 04 2012 4:00pm EST
ATS: Denver University Pioneers 0 (-110)
WIN for +4.55 unit(s)

Middle Tenn State Blue Raiders at Denver University Pioneers

I've had this game circled for a while and we got the wish of Middle Tennessee St. coming into this contest undefeated in the Sun Belt Conference.  The Blue Raiders are off to an incredible start at 21-3 including a perfect 10-0 in the SBC which sets up a great spot for Denver on Saturday. Middle Tennessee had won 12 straight games before going into Vanderbilt and losing last Saturday. It bounced back with a win at North Texas on Thursday but it was a narrow two-point victory.

Denver fell to 6-4 in the conference with an overtime loss at Louisiana on Thursday and while that would normally lead to a possible letdown in the next game, that will not be the case here. The Pioneers have played four of their last five games on the road, two of which resulted in one point overtime losses, so the schedule has been a difficult one of late. Denver is 10-2 at home this season with a loss in overtime against Iona and a loss against West Division leader Arkansas-Little Rock.

The Pioneers are off to their best start in nearly 70 years and they have been solid in many aspects. Denver is fifth in the nation in free throw percentage at 77.5 percent, 12th in three-point field goal percentage at 40.3 percent, 20th in field goal percentage at 48.3 percent, 17th in three-pointers per game with 8.5 per game, 21st in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.28 and 24th in assists at 15.9 apg. Middle Tennessee does have edges in some of those numbers but not many and not by much.

This is one of the best home courts in the country over the past few years and the game was switched to 4:00 ET to accommodate an ESPN2 broadcast. It marks the first time ESPN2 will ever broadcast a basketball game from Magness Arena and this is just the second time Denver has ever appeared on an ESPN network. That makes this a very big home game for the Pioneers which are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning road record. 9* (614) Denver Pioneers

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

College Basketball

Kansas Jayhawks @ Kentucky Wildcats Monday April 2, 2012 9:20 pm
All of the pressure is on Kentucky and head coach John Calipari and while it has handled it very well so far, this is of a different magnitude. The Wildcats are one win away from a National Championship that they are expected to win and that has been the case all season long. I think ... read more

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College Basketball

Ohio State Buckeyes @ Kansas Jayhawks Saturday March 31, 2012 8:49 pm
The linesmakers are have given the edge to Ohio St. in this matchup and the main reason for that is the road these two teams have taken to get here. The Buckeyes have covered three of their four tournament games with the only non-covering being by just a bucket. Kansas meanwhile ... read more

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College Basketball

Louisville Cardinals @ Kentucky Wildcats Saturday March 31, 2012 6:09 pm
As tempting as these points look, they won't be enough for Louisville to cover against Kentucky, let alone win it outright. The Cardinals have put a very strong run together, similar to that of Connecticut from last season as they won four games in four days to capture the Big East ... read more

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College Basketball

Stanford Cardinal @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Thursday March 29, 2012 7:00 pm
Matt is coming off a TREMENDOUS 3-1 Wednesday and he carries that into Thursday! In the NBA, he is on a SENSATIONAL 88-59-4 (60%) run going back to last season while riding a BLISTERING 26-16-1 ATS run since the All-Star break! TWO Winners tonight! He also extends his BLAZING 50-28 ... read more

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College Basketball

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Washington Huskies Tuesday March 27, 2012 9:00 pm
Washington is showing that it is the class of the NIT and the number one seed it received was well deserved. The Huskies have cruised through its three games to get to the NIT Final Four and even though all of those took place at home, they will be just fine in this atmosphere. Washington ... read more

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College Basketball

Pittsburgh Panthers @ Washington State Cougars Monday March 26, 2012 10:00 pm
Pittsburgh is coming off an ugly overtime win over Butler on the road to advance to the best-of-three finals in the CBI Tournament. I believe that was their final roadblock before winning this championship. The Panthers came into this tournament with a great attitude after a very ... read more

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College Basketball

Florida Gators @ Louisville Cardinals Saturday March 24, 2012 4:30 pm
You have to give credit to Florida for the run it is having but there is no reason it should be favored here. The Gators are one of the two lower seeded teams that are favored Saturday and while Ohio St. is justified, Florida isn't. The Gators first two games came against lower seeded ... read more

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College Basketball

Indiana University Hoosiers @ Kentucky Wildcats Friday March 23, 2012 9:45 pm
This one gets ugly. Kudos for Indiana and Tom Creen and the tremendous rebuilding job that Indiana went through this season but it comes to an end tonight. The Hoosiers were pretty fortunate to escape their last game against VCU as they committed 22 turnovers, which was a season ... read more

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College Basketball

Florida Gators @ Marquette Golden Eagles Thursday March 22, 2012 10:17 pm
Florida has had a very easy time in getting into the Sweet 16 and it caught a very big break with Missouri going down against Norfolk St. The Gators have won their first two games by 26 and 34 points which is a rarity in this tournament, no matter the competition. The 30 ppg scoring ... read more

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College Basketball

Nevada Wolf Pack @ Stanford Cardinal Wednesday March 21, 2012 9:00 pm
The Wolf Pack were an NCAA Tournament bubble team yet they only received one of the four number five seeds in the NIT and they have used that as motivation along the way. Now they are a win away from their first ever NIT Final Four and while the trip to New York has not been used ... read more

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