Matt Fargo Sports Available Picks

Fargo's **10** MAC TOURNAMENT **GAME OF THE YEAR** (Thu 2PM)
Matt cashed his Early 10* TOP Tourney Report on Southern Mississippi Wednesday and he comes back Thursday with another EARLY MONSTER 10* Report! Included in his...more

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Fargo's **9** CBB SUPREME ANNIHILATOR *87% ANGLES* (Thu 4PM)
Matt and his Afternoon Annihilator did not see eye to eye Wednesday as Missouri went down in flames. That is the past he looks...more

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February, 06 2010 7:00pm EST
ATS: Kent State Golden Flashes -3 (-110)
WIN for +4.55 unit(s)

Kent State Golden Flashes at Central Michigan Chippewas

I rode Kent St. to victory on Thursday over Eastern Michigan and this one should be easier. I believe we get a lot more value here based on the records of both teams and that record will have the attention of the Golden Flashes no matter what they have done of late. To be honest, this one sets up so similar to Thursday, I will almost write verbatim. Kent St. has started its run against the MAC West a perfect 4-0 and there is no reason to think it ends tonight. The Golden Flashes sit atop the MAC East with a 7-2 record and the last thing they need is to give up ground to Akron and Miami by losing to teams from the much weaker West. How much weaker? The top team in that division is Central Michigan who has a power ranking of 183rd and every team from the East has a higher ranking than that showing the distribution of power this season is clearly one-sided. Kent St. was picked to finish near the bottom of the stacked division but it truly was a wide open scenario and so far the Golden Flashes have taken advantage. This is a very experienced team with seven seniors but it has been a sophomore than has really stepped up as Justin Greene leads the team in scoring and rebounding and he is part of a deep group of nine players averaging at least 14 minutes per game. The Golden Flashes bring in a six-game winning streak and are a very solid 6-4 in true road games but most impressive is that they have won 15 straight games against MAC West opposition. Central Michigan was the preseason pick to win the MAC West and so far it has met those expectations as it leads the division with a 6-2 record. The Chippewas were picked to win the division because it is so weak and not because this is a team that is exceptionally strong. Just look at that power ranking to prove that. Central Michigan has defeated two teams from the MAC East in its last two games but those were against Buffalo and bowling Green, both of which are not at the high end of the division. The Chippewas are 4-0 at home within the conference which is solid but three wins came against Ball St., Eastern Michigan and Northern Illinois, all form the West. On the season, Central Michigan has played the nation’s 232nd ranked schedule which is extremely soft and as a result you would think some of their numbers would be inflated but that is hardly the case. The Chippewas are shooting just 40.7 percent from the floor while their offensive efficiency rating is a dismal 96.5 which is 230th in the country. This has resulted in, or resulted from, an assist/turnover ratio that sits at a putrid 0.67, which is 328th in the country. That is not going to win many games against good teams. This is a game of contrasting styles and while the defense tends to prevail the majority of the time, that should not be the case here with experience vs. youth. Kent St. is the team with the stronger offense obviously and as mentioned, the Golden Flashes are a very veteran team that knows what it takes to win, especially on the road. Kent St. has an offensive efficiency rating of 104.8 which leads the conference. Here is the real kicker however. While the Chippewas supposedly thrive with their defense, they have a 98.1 defensive efficiency rating which is sixth in the MAC. The Golden Flashes have the best rating on that side of the ball as well, posting a rating of 94.5. And this is with playing a schedule ranked nearly 100 spots higher. Central Michigan’s last regular-season victory against the Flashes came in 1997. 10* (651) Kent St. Golden Flashes

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

College Basketball

Providence Friars @ Seton Hall Pirates Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:00 pm
Providence and Seton Hall go right back after it after closing out the regular season. The Pirates won that game with ease as we cashed a ticket on it and we will go right back to the well here. The Pirates were favored by a point in that game so taking four points away for the home ... read more

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College Basketball

Montana Grizzlies @ Northern Colorado Bears Tuesday March 9, 2010 6:30 pm
So exactly why is Montana favored here? It is obviously based on name alone and not by the quality of these two teams. Northern Colorado has had a sensational season yet no one has seemed to notice with the exception of one place. The Bears are the highest ranked team in the Big ... read more

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College Basketball

Depaul Blue Demons @ South Florida Bulls Tuesday March 9, 2010 12:00 pm
This line opened at -6.5 and I would not be surprised to see it go up by game time. This is based on records and that people love the favorites in these games. I am a fan of momentum heading into these tournaments but we have to take a closer look at things before blindly betting ... read more

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College Basketball

St. Mary's Gaels @ Gonzaga Bulldogs Monday March 8, 2010 9:00 pm
Gonzaga has had St. Mary’s number over the last two seasons as the Bulldogs have won all five meetings between the rival programs. That includes a home and home sweep this season as Gonzaga went off for 89 and 80 points in those two meetings on a combined shooting effort of ... read more

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College Basketball

William & Mary Tribe @ Old Dominion Monarchs Monday March 8, 2010 7:00 pm
I have been a fan of William & Mary a lot this season and have backed the Tribe numerous times but this is one time that I have to go against them as the matchups simply are not in their favor. This is obviously a big game for both sides as the winner gets the automatic bid to ... read more

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College Basketball

Fairfield Stags @ Siena Saints Monday March 8, 2010 7:00 pm
Siena guns for its third straight MAAC Tournament Championship on its home floor. The Saints have made it to the final game without being very dominant and actually trailing at the half in the first two games of this tournament. They cannot afford to let that happen again against ... read more

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College Basketball

Portland Pilots @ St. Mary's Gaels Sunday March 7, 2010 11:20 pm
St. Mary’s has been going from inside the NCAA Tournament bubble to outside the NCAA Tournament bubble for the last few weeks and I really do not see how the Gaels can be left out of the Big Dance. Currently they have a RPI of 44 which is very solid and the biggest argument ... read more

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College Basketball

Western Carolina Catamounts @ Wofford Terriers Sunday March 7, 2010 6:00 pm
Wofford is the high-profile team in this matchup and in the conference for that matter thanks to its regular season title as well as its current 11-game winning streak. But that does not mean much this time of year when team matchups play such a strong role. The Terriers are red ... read more

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College Basketball

Wisconsin Badgers @ Illinois Fighting Illini Sunday March 7, 2010 2:00 pm
Illinois has been extremely inconsistent this season and one of the streakiest teams in the country. Looking at the streaks, the Illini started the season 8-2, lost three of four, won three straight, lost three straight, won five straight and have currently lost four of their last ... read more

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College Basketball

Northern Illinois Huskies @ Eastern Michigan Eagles Sunday March 7, 2010 2:00 pm
Eastern Michigan had a chance to win the MAC West championship at home on Thursday but it came up short against rival Central Michigan. The Eagles are now playing a first round game instead of having a bye this weekend and even though the game is at home, this is not a very good ... read more

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