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February, 08 2012 7:00pm EST
ATS: Baylor Bears -1.5 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears

Kansas is coming off a tough loss on Saturday at Missouri and things will not get any easier here as it travels to Waco with first place in the Big XII on the line. The Jayhawks and Bears both trail Missouri by a half-game but this game is arguably bigger for Baylor. A loss here puts it a game behind both the Tigers and Jayhawks but it would essentially be two games behind Kansas because of the season series loss and a Big XII regular season championship would likely be gone.

Kansas still has a home game against Missouri so it still has a chance to even that series and get its payback. Baylor is looking for that now. The Bears lost in Lawrence by 18 points last month as Kansas could not miss from the floor. Baylor shot a respectable 46 percent but the Jayhawks shot 57.4 percent from the field including 54.5 percent from long range to pull away early and never look back. The Bears have not had much success against Kansas at home, going 1-7 in Big XII action, but times have changed.

After that loss in Kansas, Baylor returned home to face Missouri but lost by a point to make it two straight losses and since then has reeled off four straight victories. The Bears also have a revenge game coming up at Missouri on Saturday but we don't have to worry about a lookahead here. That home loss to the Tigers was a rare one as Baylor is 41-5 on its home floor over the last three seasons and even if we do see a close game here, the Bears are 7-1 this season in games decided by five points or fewer.

In the first meeting, Kansas overpowered Baylor behind 55 points from Thomas Robinson and Tyshawn Taylor but the Bears have the players to match up and should take advantage of that at home. The Jayhawks have not lost consecutive games in over six years but the Jayhawks are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. The recent winning streak pushed Baylor to 8-2 which is the best start in conference play through 10 games since the Bears went 10-0 in 1947-48. 10* (560) Baylor Bears

Matt Fargo Sports College Basketball Past Picks

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Louisville Cardinals @ Kentucky Wildcats Saturday March 31, 2012 6:09 pm
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Stanford Cardinal @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Thursday March 29, 2012 7:00 pm
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Pittsburgh Panthers @ Washington State Cougars Monday March 26, 2012 10:00 pm
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