Free Basketball Picks John Ryan Sports July 29, 2010 Minnesota Lynx @ Phoenix Mercury

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July, 29 2010 10:00pm EST
ATS: Minnesota Lynx +7.5 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

Minnesota Lynx at Phoenix Mercury

Photo_wnba 15* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Phoenix set to start at 10:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-10 for 77% winners since 2004. Play against any team that is a good 3PT shooting team making >=35% facing a poor 3PT defense allowing >=35% and is a hot shooting team posting 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots. 51% of these p;ays covered the spread by 7 or more points which under score the potential for upset. <b>With that said consider placing a split wager with a 12* amount getting the points and a 3* amount on the generous money line. </b> Here is a second supporting system that has gone 47-16 ATS for 75% winners since 2004. Play on road dogs after having lost 4 of their last 5 games facing an opponent after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Phoenix last lost to top team Seattle, who has a 21-2 record on the season. What is critical from this game is that Phoenix came out firing on all cylinders and had double digit leads. Seattle then really took over the game and showed Phoenix and the league that there is no one that can play a full game against Seattle. This has a lingering effect and we wold not be surprised to see Minnesota get the upset here. Plus, Phoenix is just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season.Take Minnesota.