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New York GiantsatNew England Patriots
Img_PastPicksHomeVisitor_240x16
February, 05 2012 6:30pm EST
ATS: New England Patriots -3 (100)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

New York Giants at New England Patriots

Photo_nfl 5* Super Bowl *BEST BET* on Patriots -3 (recommend buy to -2.5)
This game is all about revenge. The Giants spoiled New England's perfect season 4 years ago, and the Pats want payback.

A 24-20 loss to the Giants on Nov. 6 (it is worth noting the Pats outgained the G-Men by 77 yards in that contest) must have brought back bad memories of their Super Bowl defeat because New England has been on a tear since.

The Patriots have won 10 straight since that game by an average of 16.1 points and all of those wins have come by at least 3 points.

There's no way I would make a revenge play without good reason, and there's plenty of good reason in this case.

Under Belichick, New England is 17-3 ATS when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. If the Pats were favored by 7 points or more, this trend tightens up to a perfect 6-0 ATS with an average winning margin of 16.0 points.

New York scored with 15 seconds left to win the regular season meeting. Otherwise, the Patriots would have won by 3 points despite 4 turnovers. I'm confident New England will do a better job of taking care of the football this time around and will have its revenge as a result.
 

Jimmy Boyd NFL Football Past Picks

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NFL Football

New York Giants @ New England Patriots Sunday February 5, 2012 6:30 pm
5* Super Bowl *BEST BET* on Patriots -3 (recommend buy to -2.5) This game is all about revenge. The Giants spoiled New England's perfect season 4 years ago, and the Pats want payback. A 24-20 loss to the Giants on Nov. 6 (it is worth noting the Pats outgained the G-Men by 77 yards ... read more

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NFL Football

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Sunday January 22, 2012 6:30 pm
5* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on Giants +3 (recommend buy to key number +3 for insurance) The Giants are a better team than they were when they lost 27-20 in San Francisco on Nov. 13. That bodes well for us considering they outgained the 49ers by 90 yards in that contest. ... read more

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NFL Football

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots Sunday January 22, 2012 3:00 pm
4* AFC Championship SMASH on Ravens +7 The Patriots got whatever they wanted against the Broncos last week, but that won't be the case against the Ravens, who finished the regular season ranked third in both total and scoring defense with 288.9 yards and 16.6 points allowed per ... read more

Jimmy Boyd Bio and Picks | Articles By Jimmy Boyd

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NFL Football

New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Sunday January 15, 2012 4:30 pm
4* NFC Divisional Playoffs SMASH on Giants +7.5 The Giants are healthier, more confident and playing better football than they were when they took Green Bay down to the wire on Dec. 4. With Eli Manning, Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks, the Giants certainly have the weapons to take ... read more

Jimmy Boyd Bio and Picks | Articles By Jimmy Boyd

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NFL Football

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Sunday January 15, 2012 1:00 pm
5* Sunday NFL Playoffs *BEST BET* on Ravens -9 The Ravens are 8-0 at home, where they have won by an average of 12.5 points. One of those wins was a 29-14 rout of Houston. With it, the Ravens improved to 5-0 all-time against the Texans, winning those games by an average of 10.8 ... read more

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NFL Football

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Saturday January 14, 2012 8:00 pm
4* AFC Divisional Playoffs SMASH on Broncos +13.5 (recommend buy to key number +14 for insurance) The Broncos racked up 447 yards of offense on the NFL's top defense last week so they should be able to move the football against a New England defense ranked next-to-last with 411.1 ... read more

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NFL Football

New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers Saturday January 14, 2012 4:30 pm
5* NFL Divisional Playoffs Game of the Year on 49ers +3.5 The Saints have rattled off 9 consecutive wins SU and ATS, but only 3 of those wins came away from home where they have been vulnerable all year. The Saints have never won a playoff game on the road (0-4 all-time) and ... read more

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NFL Football

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Sunday January 8, 2012 4:30 pm
5* Wild Card Game of the Year on Broncos +9 Winning on the road isn't easy in the playoffs. We saw both home teams win impressively in Saturday's Wild Card games, and I expect home field to provide an edge for Denver here. Denver's home field has already given it an edge considering ... read more

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NFL Football

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants Sunday January 8, 2012 1:00 pm
4* NFC Wild Card SMASH on Giants -3 The Giants have basically been playing playoff games for close to a month, and that will serve them well against an Atlanta squad that hasn't won in the playoffs with Matt Ryan and typically hasn't fared as well on the road. It was the pass ... read more

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NFL Football

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Saturday January 7, 2012 8:00 pm
4* NFC Wild Card SMASH on Lions +11 I really feel the Saints are being overvalued here. They won by 14 points against Detroit a month ago, but that was a 7-point game heading into the 4th, and the Lions were playing without Suh. Consider that plays on road teams looking to avenge ... read more

Jimmy Boyd Bio and Picks | Articles By Jimmy Boyd