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Arkansas State Red WolvesatNorthern Illinois Huskies
Img_PastPicksHomeVisitor_240x16
January, 08 2012 9:00pm EST
ATS: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 (-110)
LOSS for -3 unit(s)

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Northern Illinois Huskies

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3* GoDaddy Bowl SMASH (ESPN) on Arkansas State -1.5
In a matchup of two explosive offenses, I'll side with the team that has the better defense. The Red Wolves rank 21st nationally in total defense with 325.7 yards allowed per game and 14th in the country in scoring defense with 19.3 points allowed per contest. The Huskies, meanwhile, rank 89th in both total and scoring defense with 418.1 yards and 31.1 points allowed per game.

Arkansas State has been undervalued by odds makers all season and its 10-2 ATS in lined games this season as a result. It is also 6-0 ATS this season when checking into a contest with 3 covers in its last 4 games. It's also worth noting that the Red Wolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

The Huskies are a poor 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning record, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.

In a game that could very well end up being a shootout, I like the Arkansas State "D" to come up with more stops. Take the Red Wolves.  

Jimmy Boyd College Football Past Picks

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College Football

Alabama Crimson Tide @ LSU Tigers Monday January 9, 2012 8:30 pm
5* NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year (ESPN) on Alabama ML Alabama should have won the first meeting. The fact that it didn't, however, plays in our favor as the Tide will be that much more motivated. Alabama lost the first meeting 9-6 in OT but outgained LSU by 56 yards and missed 4 ... read more

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College Football

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Northern Illinois Huskies Sunday January 8, 2012 9:00 pm
3* GoDaddy Bowl SMASH (ESPN) on Arkansas State -1.5 In a matchup of two explosive offenses, I'll side with the team that has the better defense. The Red Wolves rank 21st nationally in total defense with 325.7 yards allowed per game and 14th in the country in scoring defense with ... read more

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College Football

SMU Mustangs @ Pittsburgh Panthers Saturday January 7, 2012 1:00 pm
5* Compass Bowl *BEST BET* (ESPN) on SMU +3.5 This is a difficult situation for Pittsburgh, which will be playing without coach Todd Graham, who accepted a position at ASU. The players enter this contest feeling cheated by Graham, who informed the team by text message that he was ... read more

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College Football

Kansas State Wildcats @ Arkansas Razorbacks Friday January 6, 2012 8:00 pm
5* Cotton Bowl *BEST BET* (FOX) on Arkansas -8.5 Kansas State is perhaps the most overrated team in the country, and I believe this line reflects just how overrated the books feel it is. One might expect to see a spread of 3 points on a neutral field between a pair of highly ... read more

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College Football

West Virginia Mountaineers @ Clemson Tigers Wednesday January 4, 2012 8:00 pm
5* Orange Bowl *BEST BET* (ESPN) on West Virginia +3 I'll gladly take the points with West Virginia, who is slightly better than Clemson on both sides of the football. The Mountaineers rank 17th in the nation in total offense with 459.6 yards per game while the Tigers rank 27th ... read more

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College Football

Michigan Wolverines @ Virginia Tech Hokies Tuesday January 3, 2012 8:30 pm
3* Sugar Bowl SMASH (ESPN) on Michigan -3 This is a statement game for Michigan to show the country it is back as a national power. Plenty of Wolverines were around to experience a 5-7 season in 2009 and last season's embarrassing 52-14 loss to Mississippi State in the Gator Bowl. ... read more

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College Football

Stanford Cardinal @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Monday January 2, 2012 8:30 pm
3* Fiesta Bowl SMASH (ESPN) on Oklahoma State -4 Fueled by not getting an opportunity to play in the BCS championship, expect the Cowboys to do all they can to prove they were worthy Monday night. With odds makers asking us to lay more than a field goal, they clearly want the ... read more

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College Football

Wisconsin Badgers @ Oregon Ducks Monday January 2, 2012 5:00 pm
5* Rose Bowl *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Wisconsin +5 A mediocre Auburn defense was able to stifle Oregon's high-powered offense in last year's BCS title game. With plenty of time to prepare, I expect a very good Wisconsin defense, which ranks 8th nationally with 293.0 yards allowed per ... read more

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College Football

Michigan State Spartans @ Georgia Bulldogs Monday January 2, 2012 1:00 pm
4* Outback Bowl "Total" Dominator on Michigan State/Georgia UNDER 49.5 The Spartans and Bulldogs fit into an extremely profitable "under" situation today. Consider that plays under on all teams when the total is between 49.5 and 56 in January bowl games are ... read more

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College Football

Virginia Cavaliers @ Auburn Tigers Saturday December 31, 2011 7:30 pm
3* Chick-fil-A Bowl Bailout (ESPN) on Virginia +3 This is not the same Auburn team that ran the table last season, not even close. And, in addition to the large amount of talent lost from last season's national title squad, the Tigers have been dealing with an unfavorable coaching ... read more

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