Jim Kruger Available Picks

January, 22 2012 6:30pm EST
ATS: New York Giants +2 (-110)
WIN for +4.55 unit(s)

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers

Take the NY Giants over San Francisco

This year's version of the playoffs is similar to last year's when Green Bay continuously went on the road facing better teams, statistically, but kept winning.  That is what the Giants are doing.  Whether they can make it through the 49ers is the big question.  Last week's offensive explosion late in the fourth quarter by San Fran was very surprising.  It looked like Alex Smith had channeled Joe Montana on some of his passes.  It is hard to imagine him recreating that again. 

In this game we have a team, the 49ers, whose body of work for the entire season is definitely superior to New York's.  However, if you just look at the late season surge of the Giants, that would be the team you would place your wager on. 

I like the fact that New York has gotten 17 sacks in their last 4 games with a now-healthy defensive line and that San Fran has allowed a sad 27 sacks in their last 7 games.  I'm going to go with the team with an unbelievable amount of momentum behind a quarterback I trust, one with a pedigree of success, especially in post--season action.  The Giants have Super Bowl and a vast plus of post-season experience as they still have 15 players from their 2007 Super Bowl winning team. 

Compare that to the 49ers making a postseason appearance for the first time in nine years.  Add in the fact that they won by a dramatic comeback touchdown with nine seconds left on the clock and you have to like the Giants.  Oh, don't forget the fact that the 49ers had the advantage of a +4 turnover margin against the Saints.  It also cannot be ignored the Giants ranking 28th in offensive red zone efficiency. 

And one final point to take into consideration, the method I use to evaluate strength of schedule shows the 49ers with the absolute easiest schedule in the NFL while the Giants played the third toughest. The Giants win outright. 

Take the Giants.

Jim Kruger NFL Football Past Picks

NFL Football

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Sunday January 22, 2012 6:30 pm
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Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots Sunday January 22, 2012 3:00 pm
Take Baltimore over New England A touchdown in a conference championship game is a lot to lay.  Especially against a team with as good of defense as Baltimore.  Add to the fact one team, Baltimore, struggled to win and were actually outgained in their game against Houston ... read more

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Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Sunday January 15, 2012 1:00 pm
Take Baltimore over Houston Houston has had a great season, their best in the history of the Texans.  In spite of losing their top two quarterbacks and an All-Pro defender, amongst a total of 12 injured Texans lost for the season, Houston won its first ever Division title.  ... read more

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Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Saturday January 7, 2012 4:30 pm
Take #101 Cincinnati over Houston Since starting QB Matt Schaub went down in week 10 versus Tampa Bay, the Texans have only been able to top 20 points once, the final game of the season, a 23-22 loss to Tennessee, where TJ Yates only played briefly throwing just four passes.  ... read more

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Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Sunday January 1, 2012 8:20 pm
Take the #312 NY Giants over Dallas   This is for the NFC East Division title and a playoff ticket punched.  I like Eli Manning over Tony Romo, especially Romo with a nicked-up hand.  RB Felix Jones is hurting with a hamstring issue but is listed as probable.  ... read more

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Sunday January 1, 2012 4:15 pm
Take #329 Kansas City over Denver Many of the Chiefs players had issues with departed coach Todd Halley.  Appointed interim coach was defensive coordinator Romeo Crenel, a coach who has the players' respect.  Kyle Orton is a huge upgrade at QB over Tyler Palko.  ... read more

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San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Saturday December 24, 2011 4:15 pm
#126 Seattle +2 over San Francisco We had the 49ers last week versus Pittsburgh and had an easy win.  San Fran clinched the NFC West for the first time since 2002 and would like to have the second best record in the NFC.  However, history has shown that teams needing to ... read more

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Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals Saturday December 24, 2011 1:00 pm
#109 Arizona over Cincinnati Arizona has gone under the radar in spite of winning six of the past seven games.  Oh, three of those wins were over Dallas, Philadelphia, and San Francisco.  QB John Skeleton (who?) has done enough to tally victories.  The Cards have ... read more

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Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
Take #315 Carolina over Houston If you could wish for the biggest letdown spot, you would have it for the Houston Texans.  They just clinched a division title and their first playoff spot ever.  AND, they did it with a QB with initials for a first name, T.J. Yates.  ... read more

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Tennesse Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
Take #317 Tennessee over Indianapolis Tennessee is in the playoff hunt.  They are off of a disappointing loss to the Saints that went down to the last play of the game.  The Titan running attack behind Chris Johnson with him getting 130, 153, and 190 yards in three of ... read more

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