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May, 11 2008 8:00pm EST
ATS: New Orleans Hornets +5.5 (-110)
LOSS for -4 unit(s)
New Orleans Hornets at San Antonio Spurs
Take New Orleans over San Antonio
In Game 3, both teams picked up the pace. San Antonio started Manu Ginobili to help jump start the offense. New Orleans was double-teaming Tim Duncan in the first two games. The Spurs offense was sputtering. The Spurs wanted to avoid Duncan being double-teamed and get Tony Parker and Ginobili more open shots. After averaging 72 field goal attempts in the first two games, the Spurs hoisted 85 shot attempts in their victory in Game 3.
The Hornets didnt want San Antonio to have time to set up their half-court defense on their home court. While New Orleans led at halftime, the Spurs didnt fold in the third quarter as they did in the games in New Orleans.
However, the Spurs defense is still not performing in its normal way. New Orleans is averaging a shade over 100 points while hitting over 49% of their field goal attempts. In the three playoff games against the Spurs, the lowest offensive efficiency rating the Hornets have had is a 108.5. During the regular season against the Spurs, New Orleans averaged 7 more points a game than San Antonio and also a very healthy overall efficiency rating of 8.25 better than the Spurs
Look for New Orleans to increase their defensive intensity. The Spurs offense has been inconsistent going back to an April 4th game against Utah. Even against the defensively-challenged Phoenix Suns, San Antonio couldnt shoot above 40% in their final two games of that series.
In Game 3 in Dallas of the first playoff series, New Orleans fell short losing by ten points. In the next game, the Hornets beat the Mavs by 13 holding Dallas to 36% shooting. I wouldnt be surprised to see the Hornets win this game outright.
Take New Orleans!
Jim Kruger Past Picks
Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 17, 2008 9:00 pm
Take Boston over LA <p> In Game 5, the LA bigs played their best game of the series with Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom combining for 39 points, 14 of 20, and 24 rebounds. While there ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 15, 2008 9:05 pm
The pace has remained fairly consistent in each of the first four games. Three of the four games have gone UNDER the lined total. Except for the game where Boston shot below 35%, they other two games ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 12, 2008 9:00 pm
Take the Celtics +7.5 over LA Either team could have legitimately won any of the first three games in this series. Comebacks and runs have been common so far. If you are a Laker fan or backer, ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 8, 2008 9:00 pm
Take the OVER in LA-Boston!<p>LA only committed 8 turnovers in Game 1. After shooting 50% in the first half, they only shot 33% on 13-39 for the rest of the game, 5 for 20 in the fourth quarter. ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 5, 2008 9:00 pm
Take Boston over LA Thursday The play of Kendrick Perkins against the Pistons was impressive, especially his hustle. It was helped by the excellent penetration of Rajon Rondo and the Detroit defense ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Friday May 30, 2008 8:30 pm
Take Detroit over Boston <p> Detroit is 6-0 straight-up and against-the-spread over the past 5 seasons when facing an elimination game at home. Rip Hamilton is going to be in the line-up tonight ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 29, 2008 9:00 pm
Take San Antonio-LA Lakers UNDER 194 <p> San Antonio’s offense has been the main reason the Spurs are down in this series. Three of the four games the Spurs have held the Lakers ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics Wednesday May 28, 2008 8:30 pm
Take the UNDER in Detroit-Boston Three of the four games in the Eastern Championship Series have gone UNDER the total. All three of those games had one team with an offensive efficiency rating below ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Sunday May 25, 2008 8:30 pm
Take San Antonio over LA
The Spurs couldnt have played a worse game in Game 2 than if they tried. They shot below 35%, allowed LA to shoot almost 55%, and had half as many trips to the free throw ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Saturday May 24, 2008 8:30 pm
Take Boston over Detroit
Everybody knows Bostons terrible road record in the playoffs. That includes the Pistons. Sure, this is the playoffs and every game counts, etc, etc, etc. However, even the ... read more
Jim Kruger Bio and Picks | Articles By Jim Kruger
