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May, 28 2008 8:30pm EST
TOTAL: Under 173.5 (-110)
LOSS for -3 unit(s)

Detroit Pistons at Boston Celtics

Take the UNDER in Detroit-Boston

Three of the four games in the Eastern Championship Series have gone UNDER the total. All three of those games had one team with an offensive efficiency rating below 100. The one game that went over had both teams shooting within 1.5% of 50% from the field. Neither team has had a game in this series with fast-break points in double-digits except Detroits loss to Boston in Game 3. While Boston has said they would like to run, they only have a total of 21 fast-break points in the four games so far. Not one game has had a pace rating of 87 or higher. As a point of reference, Detroit was the slowest paced team in the regular season at 89.9.

Eleven of the last 14 games between these two teams have gone UNDER the total. The Pistons are 29-12 UNDER against teams that commit 14 or less turnovers a game, 22-8 UNDER in the second half of the season. Detroit is 13-3 UNDER this year when the lined total is in the 170s. The UNDER is 43-19-1 in Detroits last 63 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 10-1 in Detroits last 11 games following a SU win of double digits. The UNDER is 7-1 in Bostons last 8 games following a double-digit loss.

Over the past 5 seasons plus the 2008 playoffs, Detroit is 19-4 UNDER in Round 3 of the playoffs if their previous game went UNDER the lined total. The UNDER is 15-1 in Round 3 games for Detroit if they won their previous game. If that previous game was at home, the UNDER is 10-0. In Round 3, if a team was outscored in the previous game in the second half by 11 points or more and they lost that game, the UNDER is 13-3 in their next game. Teams that scored less than 40 points in the first half and lost in Round 3 are 13-4 UNDER in their next game.

Take the UNDER!

Jim Kruger Past Picks

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 17, 2008 9:00 pm
Take Boston over LA  <p> In Game 5, the LA bigs played their best game of the series with Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom combining for 39 points, 14 of 20, and 24 rebounds.  While there ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 15, 2008 9:05 pm
The pace has remained fairly consistent in each of the first four games. Three of the four games have gone UNDER the lined total. Except for the game where Boston shot below 35%, they other two games ... read more

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Take the Celtics +7.5 over LA Either team could have legitimately won any of the first three games in this series.  Comebacks and runs have been common so far.  If you are a Laker fan or backer, ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 8, 2008 9:00 pm
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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 5, 2008 9:00 pm
Take Boston over LA Thursday The play of Kendrick Perkins against the Pistons was impressive, especially his hustle. It was helped by the excellent penetration of Rajon Rondo and the Detroit defense ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Friday May 30, 2008 8:30 pm
Take Detroit over Boston <p> Detroit is 6-0 straight-up and against-the-spread over the past 5 seasons when facing an elimination game at home.  Rip Hamilton is going to be in the line-up tonight ... read more

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San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 29, 2008 9:00 pm
Take San Antonio-LA Lakers UNDER 194 <p> San Antonio’s offense has been the main reason the Spurs are down in this series.  Three of the four games the Spurs have held the Lakers ... read more

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Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics Wednesday May 28, 2008 8:30 pm
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Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Sunday May 25, 2008 8:30 pm
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Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Saturday May 24, 2008 8:30 pm
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