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San Antonio SpursatNew Orleans Hornets
Img_PastPicksHomeVisitor_240x16
May, 13 2008 9:30pm EST
ATS: New Orleans Hornets -3 (-110)
WIN for +2.73 unit(s)

San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Hornets

Photo_nba

I released this selection early because I figured the line would go up to -3.5 or -4 by game time.  Keep in mind that the Hornets won the first 2 ballgames at home in this playoff series and as noted, here are the Hornets records whenever they have played the Spurs at home this year and this playoff season:


05/05/08 NO 102 - SA 84 (18 Point New Orleans Win)
05/03/08 NO 101 - SA 82 (19 Point New Orleans Win)
03/12/08 NO 100 - SA 75 (25 Point New Orleans Win)
11/09/07 NO 85 - SA 97 (12 Point San Antonio Win)

Do you see a pattern?  The Hornets are 4-0 at home vs. the Spurs and they have won each of those games by double-digits.  Now, the Spurs did their part and won at home by double-digits in both ballgames as well.  I think it will be awfully tough for the Spurs to pull this game out on the road today as if the Spurs win this series, it will be in game 7 in New Orleans in my opinion. I expect the Hornets to make several changes and Byron Scott to ride his players awfully hard as Stan Van Gundy would have done to the Magic and I expect New Orleans to respond at home as there will truly be a great atmosphere in New Orleans today. The Spurs are 3-13 ATS as small underdogs as they are not performing well as small dogs this year and the Hornets are 8-0 ATS vs. a winning team at home as they have yet to fail to cover in the playoffs at home - after all, they beat the Mavs and covered all 3 games, they have covered both games against the Spurs to be 5-0 ATS at home and it continues today imo. 

IndianCowboy Past Picks

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 17, 2008 9:00 pm
There’s going to be a lot of adrenaline flowing in Game 6 tonight between the Celtics and the Lakers. The highest scoring game of the series was the last one in Boston. Boston should not struggle ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 15, 2008 9:05 pm
Well I thought that the Lakers would take at least 2 out of 3 on their home floor. It took a 24 point comeback for the Celtics to take a game on the Lakers home court and I don’t think they will ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday June 12, 2008 9:00 pm
I like that the spread has come down a little bit from game 3. The Lakers held court in game 3 and I look for them to do the same in game 4. While I thought 9.5 was too much in game 3, I think it would ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday June 10, 2008 9:00 pm
When I saw the spread for the game tonight I thought it had to be a joke. What have we seen from these two teams in the playoffs or regular season that justifies a spread this high for the Lakers? The ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Sunday June 8, 2008 9:00 pm
I believe there is an ebb and flow to a series. The trick is trying to figure out which way that flow’s going to go. I took the under in game one because that was how these teams seem to play in ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Thursday June 5, 2008 9:00 pm
The first games of a playoff series tend to go under as teams feel each other out a bit and play a little conservative. The Boston Celtics went under the first game in Detroit, Cleveland and Atlanta. ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers Thursday May 29, 2008 9:00 pm
The highest total in this series has been 187 when the Lakers put up 103 points in that game. Why oh why is the total so high again? Could they go over the total tonight? Sure, of course. But its a real ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics Wednesday May 28, 2008 5:35 pm
The total on the Celtics/pistons drops 3 points when they play in Boston, yet Boston was the place the highest scoring game in the series was played. Boston comes back home looking to take the lead in ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 27, 2008 9:00 pm
Where the heck are they getting a line in the 190s for this game tonight? Each of the first 3 games have gone under. They are making the totals too high in this series. They are both capable of good defensive ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy

Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Monday May 26, 2008 8:30 pm
When 2 teams have played totals in their last 3 games to 200, 174, and 167 what are you to do when the total is set at 175 for the next game? I say stay away from it. It seems dead on. Once theyve gone ... read more

IndianCowboy Bio and Picks | Articles By IndianCowboy