Evan Altemus Available Picks

February, 07 2010 6:25pm EST
ATS: Indianapolis Colts -5.5 (-110)
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts

The biggest reason for this selection is the game last week between the Vikings and Saints.  New Orleans was outgained by over 200 yards but Minnesota threw the game away by committing five turnovers.  New Orleans has looked very suspect against Minnesota, Dallas, and a few other teams this season.  They have also had the luxury of facing the toughest teams on their schedule at home, where they have a huge advantage.  However, this game will be played on grass and on a neutral field, so they won’t have those advantages.  Indianapolis absolutely torched a very good Jets defense in the 2nd half last week after they made the appropriate adjustments.  New Orleans defense is nowhere near as dominant, and I expect the Colts to put up close to 40 points in this game.  Meanwhile, Indianapolis’ defense has been under-rated this season.  They have been able to contain most of the offenses they have faced despite dealing with multiple injuries.  The Colts defense was able to contain New York and Baltimore the last two weeks, and I expect them to contain a Saints offense that is mostly one dimensional with their pass game.  Indianapolis’ weakness is with their rushing defense anyway, so they match-up very well against the Saints pass first offense.  Experience is also a big factor here, as several members of the Colts have playoff and Super Bowl experience, while the Saints players do not.  Peyton Manning is the best quarterback in the league, and I don’t expect him to be slowed down in this game.  Look for the Colts to win handily and cover the small point spread.

5 UNIT SELECTION

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