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November, 02 2009 7:55pm EST
MONEYLINE: Philadelphia Phillies -140
WIN for +3.57 unit(s)
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Yankees. With their backs against the wall and only 1 loss away from losing the World Series after winning it all last season, Philadelphia will turn to the one weapon that the Yankees seemingly have not found an answer to and that is their left-handed ace, Cliff Lee. Lee has pitched so well since joining the Phillies, that had he spent the entire season with them, he would likely be in line for his second straight Cy Young award. But individual accolades are the furthest thing from his mind right now as it is do or die for his squad tonight. However, the starter that the Phillies will be facing is no slouch in Yankee righthanded veteran AJ Burnett. Burnett had by far his best outing of his first career post-season when he shut down the Phillies in game 2 in the Bronx. The problem is that the 3 games in which he's excelled have all been at home and this will be only Burnett's second start on the road in the post-season, and the first one in Anaheim in game 5 of the ALCS did not go well at all as Burnett allowed six earned runs on eight hits in just six innings. Having been a Florida Marlin for several years, Burnett has pitched at Citizens Bank Park before, but he only has two victories (to go with three losses) in six appearances (five starts) there. Heading into this year, since 2000, six of the nine World Series have gone at least 5 games and the home team has won 5 of the 6 game 5s during that time. Take the Phillies. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
MLB Baseball Past Picks
Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Friday October 28, 2011 8:05 pm
Update -- see end of write-upOriginal pick WU follows: While neither of tonite’s SPs (Carpenter for SL and Harrison for Texas) could be considered Over pitchers TY, Rangers’ Harrison has had a significantly higher ERA TY in night starts than in day starts (4.35 at night ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Friday October 28, 2011 8:05 pm
We witnessed arguably one of the greatest baseball games ever. Unfortunately we were on the losing side as the Rangers had a three-run lead in the seventh, a two-run lead in the eighth, a two-run lead in the ninth and another two-run lead in the 10th and failed to bring home the ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Friday October 28, 2011 8:05 pm
3* World Series Game 7 SMASH on Cardinals -145 The Cards now have the momentum on their side after last night's thrilling victory. They also have history on their side. The Cardinals are 7-3 all-time in the seventh game of a World Series. Also, the home team ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
We also like the Under here, despite not getting the 7.5 totals line that we got in game two with this same pitching match-up, but not surprised since that match-up produced just a 3 run Under with both SPs pitching brilliantly, making it 1-4 to the Under in the five games of this ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
We believe that tonite’s game in SL, like games one, four and five, will again show how much difference the site of a big game like this one can make, especially given the home/road tendencies and #s of tonite’s SP for SL, Jaime Garcia, who is a decent 13-9/3.6 overall ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
The Texas Rangers come to St. Louis for game six just one game shy of their first World Series Championship. The last thing they want to do is go to a pressure packed game seven on the road, so whatever they have will be in full force tonight for this one. Colby Lewis handcuffed ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
OVER 7<P>Line dropped a half run, on the premise that the bullpens are more rested. St. Louis left 11 stranded in game 5, they have hits, but no runs. St Louis HAS to score and score plenty to win this game and extend the series. I am unclear wether they can ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
5* World Series Game 6 *BEST BET* (FOX) on Cardinals -115 I had a 4* selection going on the Cardinals yesterday, but I've bumped it to a 5* following the rainout. The extra day off takes away virtually all the momentum Texas had gained. It also allows the Cards another ... read more
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Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday October 27, 2011 8:05 pm
We won with the Rangers again in Game Five and now Game Six shifts to St. Louis for a must win game for the Cardinals. That does not mean that St. Louis will win. Texas is in excellent position to bring home the World Series as the team that wins game five in a World Series tied ... read more
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St. Louis Cardinals @ Texas Rangers Monday October 24, 2011 8:05 pm
This is another system play on the over, teams that combine to score 5 runs or less in the previous game in a playoff series, and the total in the next game is under 9, then the over has been a 70% winner. Over is the play ... read more
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