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October, 28 2009 7:55pm EST
TOTAL: Under 7.5 (-110)
WIN for +2.73 unit(s)
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees 'under' the total. The Yankees and Phillies come into the 2009 World Series as clearly the two best teams in baseball right now with identical post-season records of 7-2. They also come into this series with by far the two best team ERAs in the 2009 post-season, and it's not even close, with the next team (the Angels) a full 0.7 runs higher than the Phillies who have an exceptional 3.04 ERA, while the Yankees are in another galaxy with an inconceivable 2.46 post-season ERA heading into tonight. Of course a big part of that is due to ALCS MVP CC Sabathia who has been about as close to un-hittable as a pitcher can be. While both the Yankees and Phillies team pitching has been outstanding, the team hitting has really been pretty average, with the exception of certain players like A-Rod and Ryan Howard. And while it may not be too surprising that the Phillies are only hitting .261 in the post-season - since they only hit .258 as a team in the regular season - it is somewhat confounding that the Yankees are hitting a full .20 points lower in the post-season (.262 vs. .283 regular season BA). The foul weather has certainly contributed to that and will likely do so again as it should be colder in the Bronx tonight than it was for Sunday's ALCS finale and although normally a hitters park, Yankee stadium becomes quite a bit larger when the temperature gets down in the 50s as should be the case this evening. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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