Big Al McMordie Available Picks
November, 04 2009 7:55pm EST
TOTAL: Over 9.5 (100)
WIN for +3 unit(s)
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees 'over' the total. The Phillies sent their home town fans home happy on Monday night in the last game to be played at Citizens Bank Park in 2009 with an 8-6 victory over the Yankees. The Philly bats broke out early in the game as they scored six of their eight runs in the first three innings before the Yanks came back to score four runs in the last two frames as once again the bullpen struggled. Although the Yanks should have CC Sabathia ready to go should there be a game 7 on Thursday, they certainly would prefer to end it tonight so expect the Bronx Bombers to come out swinging in front of the home fans. The weather has been in the 50s in Philadelphia for the three games played there, and it should continue to be on the warm side in the Bronx for game 6, which should definitely help with the run scoring. They are also back in an American League park, which means both teams will be using the DH tonight. Pedro Martinez gets the start for the Phillies and although he has had an illustrious career, he has struggled against the Yankees somewhat in October/November, having surrendered 21 earned runs in 40 1/3 innings against them in the post-season for a 4.69 ERA. Andy Pettitte will be pitching on 3 days' of rest, and he has had mixed results in this situation in his post-season career. In the 2003 World Series he gave up an unearned run in 8 2-3 innings in a Yankee 6-1 win over Florida, but in the 2000 AL Division Series vs. Oakland, he surrendered 5 runs in 3 2-3 innings, but the Yanks came back to win that game 7-5. Pettitte also pitched on 3 days' of rest in the 1996 and 1997 playoffs, and was great in 1996 (2 runs in 16 1-3 innings), but mediocre in 1997 (4 runs in 6 2-3 innings). It has been well-chronicled that teams have not fared so well in the Playoffs, when starting a pitcher on 3 days' of rest. Since 1999, the teams that have taken that risk, and faced an opponent who was starting a pitcher on at least 4 days' of rest, are a poor 11-29 (though 2-1 this post-season). There were also 3 games in which both starters were working on 3 days' of rest. Not surprisingly, most of these games have been high-scoring, with an average of 10.37 runs per game scored. Of the 43 games in this set, 24 produced at least 10 runs; 17 produced eight runs or less; and two produced exactly nine runs. The last five (dating back to 2007) have gone 'over' the total, including all three this post-season (Sabathia's 10-1 win over Anaheim; his 7-4 win over the Phillies; and Burnett's 8-6 loss on Monday night to the Phils). Take the 'over' in Game 6. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Big Al McMordie MLB Baseball Past Picks
MLB Baseball
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees Wednesday November 4, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees 'over' the total. The Phillies sent their home town fans home happy on Monday night in the last game to be played at Citizens Bank Park in 2009 with an 8-6 victory over the Yankees. The Philly ... read more
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New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies Monday November 2, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Yankees. With their backs against the wall and only 1 loss away from losing the World Series after winning it all last season, Philadelphia will turn to the one weapon that the Yankees seemingly have ... read more
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MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies Sunday November 1, 2009 8:20 pm
At 8:20pm our selection is on the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. There have been many big sports days in the history of Philadelphia, but today will likely be one of the biggest days in the history of the City of Brotherly Love as far as professional ... read more
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MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies Saturday October 31, 2009 7:55 pm
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MLB Baseball
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees Thursday October 29, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:55pm our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Philadelphia Phillies. Charlie Manuel's decision to start righthanded veteran Pedro Martinez may make for some good story-lines, it could also prove to be a mistake. While it's true that Martinez threw seven ... read more
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MLB Baseball
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees Wednesday October 28, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees 'under' the total. The Yankees and Phillies come into the 2009 World Series as clearly the two best teams in baseball right now with identical post-season records of 7-2. They also come into ... read more
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MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Thursday October 22, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:57pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the New York Yankees. Although it may be a foregone conclusion that the Yankees will soon appear in their unprecedented 40th World Series, the Angels would still like to leave their southern California faithful with ... read more
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MLB Baseball
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday October 21, 2009 8:05 pm
At 8:07pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Philadelphia Phillies. After the heart-breaking 5-4 bottom-of-the-ninth win on Monday night by the Phillies, the Dodgers find themselves with their backs against the wall and it may sound strange to say this, but ... read more
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MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Tuesday October 20, 2009 7:55 pm
At 7:55 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the New York Yankees. To say that lefthander Scott Kazmir has had a resurrection with the Angels this season would be an understatement. The sixth-year southpaw spent his first five seasons with the Tampa Bay ... read more
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MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Monday October 19, 2009 4:10 pm
At 4:15 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the New York Yankees. It may be too early to say that the 13-inning victory by the Yankees in game two was a back-breaker for the Angels, but it certainly has to be a huge disappointment for the team from Anaheim considering ... read more
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