Big Al McMordie Available Picks

December, 30 2009 4:30pm EST
ATS: Idaho Vandals -1 (-110)
PUSH

Bowling Green Falcons at Idaho Vandals

At 4:30 pm, our College Football Game of the Month is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Bowling Green, as Idaho falls into several of my best systems, which have records of 64-27, 18-9, 59-26, 76-40, and 50-25 ATS.  Bowling Green is, ostensibly, the hotter of the two clubs, as the Falcons have won and covered four straight coming into this game in Boise, Idaho.  In contrast, Idaho has lost three straight, and has failed to cover five in a row.  But two of those defeats (at Boise St on Nov. 14, and at home vs. Fresno on Nov. 7) came when Idaho was without its starting QB, Nathan Enderle.  Enderle was ranked #7 in the country this season with a 122.75 QB ranking, and Idaho's passing attack ranked 3rd in yards per attempt at 9.5, so I throw those two games out.  By doing so, that leaves Idaho with a rather impressive season.  The Vandals were 7-3 in the 10 games Enderle played, and covered seven of those games as well.  Granted, those seven pointspread wins came at the front of the schedule, and Idaho's three ATS losses with Enderle came at the end, but its last two ATS losses with Enderle were by an average of 3.5 ppg, so the Vandals were competitive.  Short-term results often create solid line value and, as I mentioned, Idaho falls into several super systems of mine.  Perhaps my favorite one plays on any team at home, or on a neutral-sited field, in a game with a pointspread less than 11, if our team is off a straight-up loss, and failed to cover its three previous games, while its foe is off three or more ATS wins.  And, if it's priced from +8 points to -1 point, then our system zooms to 17-1 ATS, 94.4%.  This game is, technically, not a home game for Idaho, as the Vandals play in Moscow, Idaho, but certainly the "neutral" Boise crowd will be rooting for the Vandals.  College Game of the Month on Idaho.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Big Al McMordie College Football Past Picks

College Football

Texas Longhorns @ Alabama Crimson Tide Thursday January 7, 2010 8:10 pm
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Alabama, as Texas falls into several of my best systems, with records of 44-14, 21-7, 82-42, 55-26, 65-26, 98-62, and 84-40 ATS.  Let's take a look at our 84-40 angle.  It goes against .500 (or better) teams ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Cincinatti Bearcats @ Florida Gators Friday January 1, 2010 8:30 pm
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats plus the points over Florida.  This is a great matchup between two teams that have a combined record of 24-1, yet the focus is more on the coaches than the players.  Urban Meyer stunned the sports world when he announced ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Florida State Seminoles @ West Virginia Mountaineers Friday January 1, 2010 1:00 pm
At 1 pm, on New Year's Day, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over West Virginia.  The "marquee" game on New Year's Day may not be the Rose Bowl between Oregon and Ohio State, or the Sugar Bowl between Cincinnati and Florida, but rather this ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Tennessee Volunteers @ Virginia Tech Hokies Thursday December 31, 2009 7:30 pm
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers plus the points over Virginia Tech, as Tennessee falls into several of my best bowl systems (which have records of 65-25, 97-61, 68-37, 36-13 and 44-13 ATS). I've believed that Virginia Tech has been overrated for much of this ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Navy Midshipmen @ Missouri Tigers Thursday December 31, 2009 3:30 pm
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on Navy + the points over Missouri.  Over the last 19 years, no team has been a better "road warrior" than Navy, as the Midshipmen are an incredible 81-38 ATS when playing away from home, including 5-1 ATS in College Bowl games.  Additionally, ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Air Force Falcons @ Houston Cougars Thursday December 31, 2009 12:00 pm
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons plus the points over Houston.  The Cougars have quarterback Case Keenum, a Davey O'Brien Award finalist, and the nation's top-rated pass offense (450 ypg), but this is the worst match-up possible for Houston, as Air Force ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Bowling Green Falcons @ Idaho Vandals Wednesday December 30, 2009 4:30 pm
At 4:30 pm, our College Football Game of the Month is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Bowling Green, as Idaho falls into several of my best systems, which have records of 64-27, 18-9, 59-26, 76-40, and 50-25 ATS.  Bowling Green is, ostensibly, the hotter of the two clubs, ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Wisconsin Badgers @ Miami Florida Hurricanes Tuesday December 29, 2009 8:00 pm
At 8 pm, in the Champs Sports Bowl, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Miami Fla.  This is a game where I don't quite understand the pointspread.  By my numbers, the game should be a PK'em, yet Wisconsin has been installed as an underdog of MORE ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

UCLA Bruins @ Temple Owls Tuesday December 29, 2009 4:30 pm
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls plus the points over UCLA, as Temple falls into a 64-26 ATS system of mine that plays on certain teams in bowl games off upset losses to end the regular season.  Also, I have a 2nd bowl system that applies to the Owls that's 77-40 ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie

College Football

Texas A&M Aggies @ Georgia Bulldogs Monday December 28, 2009 5:00 pm
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs come into this game with a porous defense that's given up over 26 ppg this year.  And that's a huge negative indicator for Bowl teams.  Indeed, since 1980, Bowl teams that ... read more

Big Al McMordie Bio and Picks | Articles By Big Al McMordie