Big Al McMordie Available Picks

January, 12 2010 9:00pm EST
ATS: Penn State Nittany Lions +9 (-110)
WIN for +2.73 unit(s)

Penn State Nittany Lions at Illinois Fighting Illini

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Illinois, as PSU falls into a 153-68 ATS system of mine that plays on certain road underdogs of more than 8 points off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Penn State dropped its previous two games (both at home) to Michigan (64-55) and Wisconsin (63-46), and is off to an 0-3 start in Big 10 play, but has been terrific over the years as road dogs off back to back SU/ATS losses (18-9 ATS since 1990).  Additionally, the Nittany Lions have dominated this series vs. Illinois of late, with a 4-1 record straight-up, and a 6-0 ATS record since March 2007 (and 9-1-1 ATS over the last 11 meetings since February 2004).  Granted, the Illini are off to a 3-0 start in Big 10 action, but they are on a poor 1-5 ATS streak, and have covered just five of their previous 19 lined games, including 0-5 ATS when they're off a win, and their foe is off a SU loss.  Last year's meeting at Assembly Hall between these two teams was one of the worst-played games in recent memory, with Penn State emerging on top, 38-33, despite the fact it shot just 28 percent for the game (Illinois wasn't much better at 30 percent).  This game will undoubtedly be at a faster pace, but I still look for another close game, and wouldn't be surprised if Penn State won for the 4th time in a row here at Assembly Hall.  Take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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