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January, 24 2010 3:00pm EST
MONEYLINE: New York Jets +300
LOSS for -5 unit(s)

New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

Foresee zero intimidation in favor of Colts here, what with Jets on 5G SU/ATS Away W streak and fresh off B2B playoff upsets; ending San Diego's 11G W streak LW. They're looking reminiscent of the 2007 Giants and 2005 Steelers. An Indy W would be step #1 in #1 seeds meeting in the SB for 1st time since 1993. 1st thing to pop out is obviously the PSPR of NY -11 1/2; a 19 pt differential vs the current +7 1/2. OL of -7 the same as Week 16er that was bet down to -3; so far TW we're headed in the opposite direction. Cannot see any value in giving that many pts to a team with #2 D and #1 run O. Key matchup appears to be Manning and Co. (80% of Colt's yds L5W) vs Jet's pass D that's #1 @ 4.8 YPP. Push Score of about 23-16 and Jets have not allowed more than 15 in 8 wks. NY ran for 169 and 171 so far in playoffs vs 2 good D's designed to stop them. Given PSPR and match-ups, think the value is on Jets in a lower scoring G. NY Jets $ line and Under Parlay.

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NFL Football

New Orleans Saints @ Indianapolis Colts Sunday February 7, 2010 6:25 pm
Edge Colts, due to experience, with Saints a SB "virgin"? Maybe... teams in 1st SB vs a team with a past history are 6-11 ATS. Or maybe not... teams returning to a SB within L3Y are 1-7 ATS. Today's scenario is a repeat of LY, with the virgin Cardinals covering vs the experienced ... read more

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Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Sunday January 24, 2010 6:40 pm
Both here off blowouts sparked by key injuries; the Cardinals #1 CB and the Cowboy's LT. Saint's HFA perhaps some diminished by a dome opponent. However, while 9-0 @ H, Vikings a different story on the road. Since waxing 3 lightweights (Cle/Det/StL) in 1st 5 wks, Minny is 1-4 SU/ATS ... read more

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New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts Sunday January 24, 2010 3:00 pm
Foresee zero intimidation in favor of Colts here, what with Jets on 5G SU/ATS Away W streak and fresh off B2B playoff upsets; ending San Diego's 11G W streak LW. They're looking reminiscent of the 2007 Giants and 2005 Steelers. An Indy W would be step #1 in #1 seeds meeting in the ... read more

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Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Saturday January 16, 2010 8:15 pm
Ravens looking to carry LW momentum into TG, while Colts under pressure to prove that bailing on perfect season was the right move. Indy and Baltimore have played once a year since 2004 with Colts 6-0 SU/ATS. They also get the nod on my TO Turnaround system, but PSPR makes them +9 ... read more

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Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals Sunday January 10, 2010 4:40 pm
Last of the Week 17 rematches with LW winners 2-0 so far. Tough to go against the Pack who are a 4 1/2 PSPR Fav and on 7-0-1 ATS streak and 7-1 SU L8G with only L on last play @ Pittsburgh. However, GBP likes them @ about 75% and has taken them from +2 1/2 to -1 1/2. Fact remains ... read more

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Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots Sunday January 10, 2010 1:00 pm
3rd straight AG for Ravens, while Pats off semi-tune-up @ Houston. Rematch of Week 4 New England 27-21 HW when GBP liked Baltimore taking them from +3, +100 to +1. TG OL of +4 now +3 1/2, with Total down 1 1/2 pts from G1 closer of 45. Patriots D that was shredded @ New Orleans is ... read more

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Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets Sunday January 3, 2010 8:20 pm
Interesting dynamic here as if Jets W, these two likely to meet again next week. Says Bengal's HC Lewis, "We're going to play to win a football game. We're going to go ahead and end this thing the right way and keep this momentum we've had". Jets off Bogus W/belated Christmas ... read more

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Baltimore Ravens @ Oakland Raiders Sunday January 3, 2010 4:15 pm
W and in for Ravens as Raiders play for pride. Oakland on the road in similar position LY in week 17 and knocked Tampa Bay out of the playoffs. They're off a Bogus L LW; 389-282 yds, -2 TO. Raiders have played their best vs the best. They have 7 covers TY and 6 of them (and 4 of ... read more

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Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills Sunday January 3, 2010 1:00 pm
TG shapes up somewhat like pre-season with Indy's starters perhaps getting a little action before the battle of 3rd string QB's. Where's the value in this spread? Well... if Indy were serious, this line would probably be a TD-plus. Lines maker threw out Bills -6 and it's been taken ... read more

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Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions Sunday January 3, 2010 1:00 pm
With Bears off what was in essence their playoff G on MNF and Lions a divisional revenging HD, edge Detroit. Prior to LW, Chicago on a 7G ATS L streak. They enter TG 1-6 SU Away TY (only W @ Seattle) with L L5 scoring <8 ppg. And they are laying points! Probably thinking only ... read more

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