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April, 28 2008 7:00pm EST
TOTAL: Under 5.5 (-111)
WIN for +2.7 unit(s)

Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

I'm playing on the Canadiens and Flyers to finish UNDER the total. Despite the first two games of this series both finishing above the number, the UNDER still remains a profitable 50-37 (excluding pushes) when the Canadiens have played in April the past dozen years and an even better 70-45 (61%) when the Flyers have done so. During that stretch, the Flyers have seen the UNDER go 87-69 when playing a home game with an over/under line of 5.5 while the Canadiens have seen the UNDER go 78-56 when playing a road game with a total of 5.5. More recently, the Canadiens have seen the UNDER go 3-1-1 their last five on the road while the Flyers have seen the UNDER go 10-5 their last 15 at home. Flyers goalie Martin Biron was brilliant last time out and is playing with a ton of confidence. He was quoted as saying: goalie was quoted as saying: "You feel like you take over the whole net. When the guy comes down to shoot, he's not seeing anything..." Montreal goalie Carey Price wasn't as sharp. However, he has been excellent most of the way down the stretch. Note that the last time he gave up more than three goals (gave up 5 in Game 6 at Boston) he responded by recording a shutout in his next game. Look for the goalies to steal the show as the final combined score falls below the number.

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Montreal Canadiens @ Philadelphia Flyers Monday April 28, 2008 7:00 pm
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Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens Saturday April 26, 2008 7:00 pm
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