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July, 02 2008 9:05pm EST
TOTAL: Over 10 (-105)
LOSS for -3 unit(s)

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

I'm playing on the Padres and Rockies to finish OVER the total. After the Padres and Rockies combined for 23 runs in their opener, the offenses cooled down significantly last night. That was with Cook and Banks on the mound though. Cook is a sinker-ball pitcher who has fared very well at Coors Field this season and those two pitchers have now seen the UNDER go a combined 16-7-1 in their 24 starts. Tonight's two starters, Wolf and Jimenez have also been profitable for 'under' bettors so far this season. However, unlike Cook and Banks, they haven't been pitching particularly well.

Indeed, Jimenez is 2-8 and has a 4.78 ERA and 1.591 WHIP on the season. Wolf's 4.13 overall ERA is somewhat respectable. However, his 5.84 ERA and 1.523 WHIP on the road is not. Additionally, he's been brutal lately. In his last three starts, he's 0-3 with a 6.08 ERA and 2.326 WHIP! After allowing five walks in just 3 1/3 innings last time out, Wolf was quoted as saying: "My stuff was fine, but I just didn't have a clue where it was going. There is no way to candy-coat it."

It's true that the Padres often don't hit well and that they got blanked yesterday. However, it should also be remembered that they scored 15 runs on Monday and that they've also seen the OVER go 4-1 the last five times they were shutout in their previous game. It's also worth mentioning that they've still scored five or more runs in eight of their last 15 visits to Coors Field. Speaking of Coors Field, looking back to last season and we find that seven of the last dozen games played here in July have finished above the total. Those 12 games saw 140 combined runs scored, or an average of 11 2/3 per game. Look for this evening's game to be higher-scoring than most are expecting once again. *Blue Chip

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