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July, 18 2008 7:10pm EST
RUNLINE: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+131)
LOSS for -2 unit(s)

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays

If there are teams who may have been helped by the All Star break, certainly one of these teams was Tampa Bay. The Rays even leaded their division and they were one of the strongest teams in the league a couple of weeks ago, but they lost all their last seven games before the All Star break, so this stop was great for the team. Today they will face Toronto, which has been well lately, but they have been playing at home in their last games. Today they will send to the pitch the right hander Burnett, who is 4.96 ERA and 10-8 this season. It's curious to see that this will be the second game in a row for him, as he played in the last game of the team before the All Star break against the Yankees. Burnett has an away record of 4.34 ERA and 3-5 and recently he hasn't been fortunate against the Rays, as even though he is 6-3 against Tampa Bay, his last three games against the Rays were losses for his team.

Fortunately for Tampa Bay they play at home, where they have been very strong. The team is 36-14 at home, but when the games against right pitchers, these numbers are even better: 28-9 with 4.9 runs per game and when these games are at night, the numbers go to 22-6! Today the Rays will send the pitch the also right hander Shields (3.86 ERA 7-6), who was also a victim of a slump that hit the whole team, as in his last game at Cleveland, he allowed 10 hits and 5 runs in 6 innings. Today a normal bounce back by him is expected, as he has been very well at home with a record of 5-1 with 2.13 ERA. Curiously in his career he is 3-0 2.70 ERA against Toronto. The team of Tampa Bay has been dominating Toronto this season, having won 5 of the 6 games played between the two teams. The team is 23-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season and 14-2 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. I expect a comfortable win of Tampa Bay today to get away of the slump they suffered before the All Star break. Take Tampa Bay here

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