- Aaron Toller Snapshot
- Selective Excellence! Few plays but they are gold!
- Great across all sports
- If you want to win at a very high rate, Aaron is your guy
- Hitting 60% lifetime with Top Ten Cappers
About Aaron Toller
11-4 in my last 15 selections including a 6-2 run in baseball. For Saturday I will have an evening game in MLB.
My Handicapping and Betting Philosophy
My approach for handicapping is simple. Overall, I look for hidden value in a team or game. I also look at how teams have fared against the spread (ATS) and most important, I analyze individual game matchups. I also look into how teams have compared at home/away to see the difference in their team’s performance. I like to compare how a team has done against similar opponents and teams that play a familiar style. I also also evaluate the athletic talent at the skill positions to see who is quicker, stronger and which team has the deeper roster as well as how the coaches have performed over the years in the big games and what coaches will take chances to put their team over the top. And of course, I always look at injuries, suspensions, changes in the starting lineup, weather conditions and how these factors effect a spread.
My Handicapping Experience
Four years of handicapping professional and collegiate sports.
My Special Achievments in Handicapping
I specialize in finding hidden value.
My Most Memorable Moment
February 24, 2007 - Colorado Avalanche vs. Los Angeles Kings. Kings were down a goal with 10 seconds to play. The Kings win the face off and get a shot on goal. The shot deflects off the goalie, and Rob Blake was there for the rebound goal with three seconds left to send the game to overtime. In overtime, the Kings eventually won in a seven-round shootout 6-5. Crazy come-from-behind win to cash a $2000 play.
Biggest Win of my Career
$4000 on the Colts over the Patriots in the AFC Championship game.
Toughest Loss of my Career
$5000 Boston Bruins over Detroit Redwings.
Favorite Team(s) to Play or Fade
No particular teams that I play or fade. I feel that it is key to keep an open mind on all teams and as the season wears on, there is more evidence to hlep decide the teams to play and to fade.
What You Can Expect From Me
Why choose me? Well for starters, I will never guarantee that every game you play with me will win, but no matter the outcome you can always count on me to be hard at work, handicapping the next games looking for the best value to make you some money. These picks are more to me than just money. This is my pride on the line to prove to myself and others that I am one of the best handicappers in the world and to put my knowledge of handicapping on display for all gamblers to know how good I really am. If loosing hurts you, you can bet that loosing hurts me more when I gave you a losing pick. So if you play with me I will put all my handicapping tools together to give us the best options to win. Finishing in positive units is the only option I am interested in.
"Win, lose or push there’s always tomorrow."
Sports Betting Money Management
Money management is one of the key elements that many gamblers seem to forget or have no true understanding of its importance. ...read more
Aaron Toller Picks For Sale
COMBO
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All Sports 30 Day Package
30 days of premium picks for all sports
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All Sports 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium picks for all sports
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Today's premium picks for all sports
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MLB
MLB Baseball Season Package
Get the remainder of the MLB season with all picks through the World Series!
$350 |
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MLB Baseball 90 Day Package
Three months of premium MLB picks and analysis
$250 |
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MLB Baseball 30 Day Package
One month of premium MLB picks and analysis
$175 |
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MLB Baseball 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium MLB picks and analysis
$60 |
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MLB Baseball 3 Day Package
Three days of premium MLB picks and analysis
$45 |
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MLB Baseball 1 Day Package
One day of premium MLB picks and analysis
$20 |
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NBA
NBA Basketball Season Package
All premium NBA picks and analysis
$350 |
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NBA Basketball 30 Day Package
One month of premium NBA picks and analysis
$150 |
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NBA Basketball 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium NBA picks and analysis
$100 |
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NBA Basketball 3 Day Package
Three days of premium NBA picks and analysis
$50 |
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NBA Basketball 1 Day Package
Today's premium NBA picks and analysis
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Aaron Toller Past Picks
MLB Baseball
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants Friday May 16, 2008 10:15 pm
I really like the under 9 here tonight in San Francisco that is really good value between two pitchers we are young but are very talented. Gavin Floydhas pitch better than expectations coming into the season he almost had a no hitter 2 starts ago before it was broken up in the 9th ... read more
NBA Basketball
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers Wednesday May 14, 2008 10:30 pm
... read more
MLB Baseball
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday May 14, 2008 8:15 pm
... read more
MLB Baseball
Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds Tuesday May 13, 2008 7:10 pm
... read more
NBA Basketball
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz Sunday May 11, 2008 3:30 pm
For mother's day I like the Lakers on the money line this has been a physical series that only plans to get more aggressive leading into game 4 showdown. Lakers have been getting crushed on the boards and I don't see that changing but with the Lakers as a team playing poorly like ... read more
MLB Baseball
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres Saturday May 10, 2008 10:05 pm
The Padres have been a mess this season and there bats are as silent as a non working dish washer. Maddux takes the hill for the 5th time looking for win 350 in his lifetime. I fell this is the night he gets that luxurious win and can celebrate a feat many will never have. But in ... read more
NBA Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Thursday May 8, 2008 7:00 pm
This is an ugly series so I expect a lot of low scoring affairs where the games will be like game 1 with maybe just a tadbit more scoring but I fully expect this game to go under again. ... read more
MLB Baseball
San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday May 7, 2008 7:05 pm
I'm going with Zito tonight yeah he sucks throws batting practice but I have a strange felling he gets his first W of the year here. ... read more
MLB Baseball
St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies Monday May 5, 2008 8:35 pm
Really like the rockies here tonight ... read more
MLB Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Sunday May 4, 2008 1:35 pm
Kazmir off the DL against the hot hitting Red Sox team this is a bad spot to be making a season debut like the Sox big in this game ... read more
NBA Basketball
Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics Sunday May 4, 2008 1:00 pm
simply put the Celtics will not lose this game ... read more
NHL Hockey
Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks Friday May 2, 2008 10:00 pm
like the rockets/jazz matchup in game 5 it is tough to wim 3 games on another teams home. I expect the sharks to force a game 6. ... read more
MLB Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros Friday May 2, 2008 8:05 pm
Like the Astros tonight the brew crew is tired and a rested Oswalt at home against a tired squad looks like money to me. ... read more
NBA Basketball
Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Tuesday April 29, 2008 9:30 pm
The Rockets seem to have a little life after playing much better with the return of PG Rafer Alston. I suspect the rockets to win a tough game tonight and take the series back to Utah thus losing game 6 in Utah. With Alston back the team plays with more confidence and takes ... read more
NBA Basketball
Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks Monday April 28, 2008 8:00 pm
Boston won't lose this game. I will have plays for the NBA Tuesday ... read more
NBA Basketball
New Orleans Hornets @ Dallas Mavericks Sunday April 27, 2008 9:30 pm
Play the over should be a high scoring affair tonight in Dallas ... read more
MLB Baseball
Boston Red Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday April 27, 2008 1:40 pm
This matchup should read againts Tampa Bay website gliche. Like Beckett here scrached from his last start I expect Bostons bats to have a big game Sunday and beat Shields abd the Rays ... read more
NBA Basketball
Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz Saturday April 26, 2008 10:30 pm
Like the under thats the only way houston can play it and still have a chance ... read more
MLB Baseball
New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians Saturday April 26, 2008 3:55 pm
Lets go yanks lets go yanks. Kennedy needs to show up and with sower making his season debut lets get the yankees bats to jump on him early and blow this game open early. ... read more
NBA Basketball
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns Friday April 25, 2008 10:30 pm
Suns ML here have a hard time seeing them going down in this series 3-0. I actually fell Suns win the next 4 games but we shall see. ... read more
MLB Baseball
Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday April 23, 2008 8:05 pm
This game fells like a trap yet I am going to take the bait. Cole hammels at this price aginst a struggling D. Dush is just to good to pass on. I suspect the low line has something to do with philly traveling cross country from Colorado. The Phillies bats are hot and unless the manager ... read more
MLB Baseball
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers Tuesday April 22, 2008 7:05 pm
The price for this game has gone down with the struggles of Justin Verlander and for good reason he has sucked all season. I will take a chance on him tonight in hopes he still has something to offer this season. I have heard rumors he was on steriods last year so being off could ... read more
MLB Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Sunday April 20, 2008 1:15 pm
Horrible play on my part taking the Cards yesturday went against a hot pitcher and paid. Like the Reds Sunday with Aaron Harrang I expect him to bounce back from a poor start at Chicago. He is going againts Gallardo who is making his season debut. Look for the Reds to salvage a win ... read more
MLB Baseball
San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals Saturday April 19, 2008 1:10 pm
I'm going to take the Cardinals in this battle. Pineiro sucked in his debut but I expect him to pitch better at home. Lincecum has been solid to start the year but the offense he has behind him against a hot team like St. Louis if the Cards get a decent start out of Pineiro I don't ... read more
NHL Hockey
Calgary Flames @ San Jose Sharks Thursday April 17, 2008 10:00 pm
This series has been a lot tougher than I believe people expected. With the series tied 2-2 going back to San Jose this is the night I expect the sharks to put it on the Flames and break there spirit. San Jose has yet to put togather a complete game this postseason I see that changing ... read more