Mr East NFL Football Pick Articles

Article Topics: View All Articles By Mr East | NFL | College Football | NBA | College Basketball | MLB | WNBA | NHL

Date added: 10.19.10
Mr East

Lay of the Line NFL Week 7
Another winning footabl week is now in the books, as both NCAAF and NFL football were winners for the week. We now turn to NCAAF week 8, and NFL week 7. I will present NFL week 7 as I always do, and a feature I call "Lay of the line" This takes a snapshot picture of where te money has been in the NFL over the last 25 years in terms of week ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 07.29.10
Mr East

Mr. East Reveals a 69% NFL system
The NFL is bet by more people than any other American professional sport. Most that bet on it, over 95% lose money, but they are drawn into the sea of green, that soon turns into red ink. There is a reason for that. Most have a memory that lingers for just what they saw the previous week, and forgetting everything else. All week long they watch the ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 11.04.09
Mr East

Why the Oddsmakers are Having Difficulty
This has been a year in the NFL of the have's and have nots. As we reach the midpoint of the season, it has become quite clear, that there are more than the usual share of teams that are just very bad football teams. That number is presently at 6, with those 6 teams showing none with more than 1 win, and an overall record of 5-39, and when you consider ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 10.01.09
Mr East

What You Should Know About NFL Gambling
I have been at this for about 25 years, and there is a lot that goes into handicapping a game, and there are a lot of gamblers out there that tend to make mistakes because of inexperience, or just a plain misunderstanding of math, sequences, streaks, hot, cold, pick the variable and it almost surely applies. I wanted to take the time to set the table ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 09.28.09
Mr East

Put a fork in MIA and TENN, They're Done
I'm sure if your a Titans fan, or a Dolphins fan, you may not want to hear this, but according to NFL numbers since they went to the two wildcard format in 1990, they are officially through. This is the 19th season since the playoff format change in the NFL. That means going into this season 114 AFC teams have made the playoffs. here is the breakdown ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 09.08.09
Mr East

THURSDAY NFL THE NEW MNF?
Anyone that has been around the NFL since the inception of Monday Night Football, is aware of, or has heard of the dominance by home underdogs in the early years. It was exciting for fans, and the novelty seemed to raise the level of play, inspired by the lights, and the home crowds, that were extremely enthusiastic. That fire couldn't burn forever, ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 09.07.09
Mr East

GAME 1 SUPERBOWL WINNERS AND LOSERS
There has been a lot written about fading last year's Superbowl winner, afterall, the effects of winning the ring, the big prize is the achievement, and dream of every player that puts on an NFL uniform, can be deflating entering the next season. How about the Superbowl loser? One would think this team would come out hungry as ever, after their near ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.26.09
Mr East

NFLX WEEK 3 RELATING TO REGULAR SEASON WEEK 1
It is often called the most important game, and the only important game of the entire NFLX. Some coaches may agree, or disagree, but the NFLX week 3 is a dress rehersal for week 1, as the starters get a lot of minutes, and teams find out where they stand on both sides of the ball. I decided to take a look at 2 things, as it relates to what significance ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.17.09
Mr East

NFL 2009 SEASON WINS PREDICTOR
The NFL season is closing in, and that means everyone has an opinion on who will finish where when the season concludes. Lots of which are based on what the teams did the previous year, and taking a look at what key players were added to shore up strengths and what was lost, that might become a weakness this season. The other area to look at is what ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 01.31.09
Mr East

Simply the Best Super Bowl Prop
Let me begin by saying that the 1,000s of prop bets out there are designed to suck extra money out of your pocket, and force you to wager on things you never would consider wagering on. I'm not a believer in prop bets, as I simply see marginal value in them, but I also realize the average gambler is going to be playing them. What I have done is go ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 11.03.08
Mr East

The Decline of Home-Field Advantage in the NFL
If you go back in the NFL with the inception of Monday Night Football, the rage with the novelty was the home underdog, which seemed to present blind value each time an opportunity presented itself. It has long been established that the homefield advantage was worth 3 points to the home team. How do those numbers work out today, and what is leading ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 10.20.08
Mr East

NFL Teams Ranked in the Bottom 3 on Defense
I took a long hard look at tonight's Denver at New England game. One of the things I wanted to research, is how teams ranked in the bottom 3 of the league (Denver), fared when playing on the road? I took a look at these teams from an overall ATS mark, as well as totals, and also in lined games where the pointspread was close, as it is here (currently ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 10.14.08
Mr East

POST-SCRIPT TO NFL WEEK 6
I sometimes get mail from clients regarding how I can make a pick on a certain team, and they include lots of statistical reasons why it is a bad choice. It is often the very reason many stumble when it comes to picking winners in the NFL. I guess this week serves as a case in point. The Cleveland Browns, fresh in the memory banks serves as 1 indicator. ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 09.09.08
Mr East

PLAY OR FADE AFTER THE MONDAY NIGHT BLOWOUT?
Anyone that has followed me, realizes I am big on situational handicapping, as well as fundamental handicapping. I am always on the alert to situations pertaining to a game that are meaningful, show an elongated history of performing well, and areas where an otherwise efficient market goes inefficient. So let's get into a little conversation about ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 09.01.08
Mr East

NFL: The Goose that Lays the Golden Eggs
I mentioned in many of my articles, that if you want to win in the efficient market of sports wagering, you have to continuosly search out inefficiencies within the marketplace. It is something I pride myself on, it is tedious work of countless hours, but the return is substantial. Here is one more gem that is in my arsenol, and although it yields ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.31.08
Mr East

NFL: When The Worst becomes The Best!
The NFL has many surprises, and I'm going to reveal a big one in this article. The mindset of the sports gambler is one of favorites, teams that score a bunch of points, and overs, when a good offense is on display, or better yet, when 2 offenses take the field. There is a certain comfort zone putting money on a team that performed at a high level ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.30.08
Mr East

What makes a professional handicapper good?
There are many who read this that always wonder what makes a professional handicapper different from anyone else trying to pick games in what is considered an efficient sports market. There are many reasons, but only one good one. I'll begin by identifying the marketplace for sports wagering as one that is very highly efficient. This is what I mean ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.29.08
Mr East

DID YOU EVER WONDER ABOUT A GOOD OR BAD PRESEASON?
Many have coined the NFL Preseason, as a bunch of meaningless games, that generate little interest, and is just a stage for borderline players to make a case to secure an NFL roster spot. While that may be the truth, the overall performance of teams, may very well merit some consideration of these results, because there are some longterm trends, that ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.28.08
Mr East

NFL TOTALS RESEARCH AND SYSTEM
While it is very infrequent you can sift through 20 years of data and come up with something that shows a very consistent high frequency of winning, and is based on logic, not coincidence. I'd like to share my thoughts on one such discovery, and it has proven it's validity over time. I guess the best place to start is with the mindset of both the oddsmakers, ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.28.08
Mr East

WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT BACKFITTING DATA
For those of you that have never heard the term backfitting, let me give you a descriptive idea as to what is meant by backfitting. Backfitting data takes place when added conditions are placed upon a data set to improve overall performance. As an example, let's say a data set consists of one premise: The Green Bay Packers are 74-63 ATS at home since ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.28.08
Mr East

COACHES AND THE NFL-X WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW
The NFL-X is a place where many bettors shy away from, but there are also opportunities here, just like there is in any sport. When a line is posted it is meant to consider a lot of things, and one of those things is the fact that these games are exhibition games, and what you see for lines in these games, are often in the 2,3, and 4 range, very seldom ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.28.08
Mr East

NFL PRESEASON SYSTEM
Many shy away from the NFL-X for the simple reason that since the games don't count they are too unpredictable. I have to admit, I'm not one that subscribes to that philosophy, if there is a pointspread issued, then certain things will always show value along the way. I've decided to share some very hard and fast systems and thoeries, that have been ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks

Date added: 08.14.08
Mr East

CASHING IN ON THE NFL-X
Many think their is no value playing meaningless games in the NFL Preseason, or wonder how can you base anything on teams that are experimenting with new systems, evaluating players, etc. There is some truth to the facts, but no truth to the fact there is no value in playing these games, If you look toward the right situations, the right opportunity ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks