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Why Statistics Can Take You Down The Wrong Path
by: Mr East
I'm not sure if anyone has noticed something in the American League, but the Yankees, once 13-15 on the season in May, and carrying the leagues worst bullpen, has vaulted to a 38-19 mark in their last 57 games, and have caught the Red Sox. So why the turnaround? The answer is very simple, but it stands as being invisible. Noone denies the Bombers are the Bombers again, with 8 players in the lineup with 10 or more HR's, and a ninth player closing in with 8. If asked about the Yankee weakness it would be answered by most, the bullpen. When they were 13-15 they had the highest ERA of all 30 major league teams. They currently rank 20th, which still looks bad, but the real numbers are hidden.
Let's take a look at what has happened. Aceves has been solid out of the pen all season, sporting a 2.03 ERA with a 5-1 record. Phil Coke has been outstanding since June 1st with a 1.13 ERA. Robertson has been added as well, and since June 1st he has a 2.66 ERA out of the pen. Phil Hughes has taken up residence in the pen, and has pitched to a 1.15 ERA there. Then there is MR. Automatic in Mariano Rivera with just 1 blown save on the season, and since June 1st a 2.66 ERA
The 5 main cogs in the pen have combined for 107.1 innings, 64 hits allowed, 23 earned runs, just 28 walks, along with 113 strikeouts, and a 7-2 won/loss record. That is an ERA of 1.93, and a batting average against of .166. The once worst bullpen in baseball, and the weak link of the team, has become the team's strength, and is by far, over the last 6 weeks, the best bullpen in baseball.
So although the overall rank is in the bottom third of the league, over the last 6 weeks there has been no 5 man quintet in any bullpen in baseball that has been better. If the Yankees continue to get good results from the pen, and stay away from key injuries, they are going to be tough to beat.
Mr East Past Articles
The Big 12, You've Got To Be Kidding Me
Here we are a day removed from the BCS National Championship game, with the focus shifting to NCAA basketball. Before you know it the call will be coming ... read more
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
The curtain is about to come down on the NCAAF regular season, and we have 6 teams that remain unbeaten as we head into December. The amazing thing about ... read more
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
The landscape in NCAAF looks the same as it did a week ago, as the table's are getting set for the big Thursday feast across the country, so is the NCAAF ... read more
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
The season is winding down, and with it the teams that remain unbeaten, count 6, but the 1 loss teams have suffered a lot of causalties, and have now ... read more
NCAAF Title Chasers
Last week at this time there were 7 teams that had still not tasted defeat, but that number has lost a member, as the Iowa Hawkeyes, who nearly self-destructed ... read more
Mr East Past Picks
NBA Basketball
Sacramento Kings @ Portland Trailblazers Tuesday March 9, 2010 10:05 pm
The Sacramento Kings have not played much defense, especially on the road, where they have allowed 12 of their last 15 opponents to top the 100 mark. The Blazers took 20 games to score 100 points 7 times, before their recent run of 7 straight over the century mark, so this team is ... read more
NBA Basketball
Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday March 9, 2010 8:05 pm
The Boston Celtics were rolling along through 27 games, offense was scoring 100+ in 16 of those first 27 games, then the wheels fell off. It looks like this team aged overnight. They have reached the century mark in ust 9 of their last 29 games. The saving grace of late is a defense ... read more
College Basketball
Pennsylvania Quakers @ Princeton Tigers Tuesday March 9, 2010 8:00 pm
The Princeton Tigers are back as a good team in the Ivy. When they have had their good teams, totals used to be in the 90s, or low 100s, but that has not been the case this season, despite the fact the Tigers have played 13 Ivy league games with the average total points at 107.4ppg. ... read more
NBA Basketball
Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:05 pm
This game fits into a system that has been lights out over the last 3 years, as it has produced a 69-25 ATS mark based on a single condition, that is an amazing 73.4% with almost 100 games in the data set. This game will be an automatic play on whenever the situation arises for the ... read more
NBA Basketball
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Bobcats Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:05 pm
The Miami Heat have really struggled with their offense on the road. The Heat over their last 11 road games are averaging just 89.8ppg. It has led to an 8-2-1 mark to the under. Their last time in Charlotte saw them produce a woeful 65 points. The Bobcats went through a 17 game stretch ... read more
NBA Basketball
Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:05 pm
This game fits into a system that has been lights out over the last 3 years, as it has produced a 69-25 ATS mark based on a single condition, that is an amazing 73.4% with almost 100 games in the data set. This game will be an automatic play on whenever the situation arises for the ... read more
College Basketball
George Washington Colonials @ Dayton Flyers Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:00 pm
I have been impatiently waiting for the conference championship rounds to begin. I have put tons of hours into research, and have fine tuned systems with every single game played in this round by conference, by pointspread, by total, and more. What I have discovered is utilizing ... read more
College Basketball
George Washington Colonials @ Dayton Flyers Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:00 pm
I have been impatiently waiting for the conference championship rounds to begin. I have put tons of hours into research, and have fine tuned systems with every single game played in this round by conference, by pointspread, by total, and more. What I have discovered is utilizing ... read more
College Basketball
St. Joseph's Hawks @ Rhode Island Rams Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:00 pm
I have been impatiently waiting for the conference championship rounds to begin. I have put tons of hours into research, and have fine tuned systems with every single game played in this round by conference, by pointspread, by total, and more. What I have discovered is utilizing ... read more
College Basketball
Providence Friars @ Seton Hall Pirates Tuesday March 9, 2010 7:00 pm
I have been impatiently waiting for the conference championship rounds to begin. I have put tons of hours into research, and have fine tuned systems with every single game played in this round by conference, by pointspread, by total, and more. What I have discovered is utilizing ... read more
