Kendall Holiday Wagering News and Notes

by: Kendall Holiday

Hope this finds everyone doing well, as it has been a while.

Super Bowl Number…..who cares? The Patriots showed me a lot last weekend. This is the best football team I have ever seen. They get huge impact from a new player each and every week and last weekend was Kevin Faulk’s time to shine. The two catches he made may not have won the game the New England, but certainly kept San Diego from truly making a game of it, and allowed them to casually run out the clock. Randy Moss has not had a big game in the playoffs yet, but we think it could be coming next weekend against a bad Giants secondary in a controlled warm weather environment. The Pats will win this football game; it is just a matter of the pointspread, which is another big one.

College Hoops is now in full swing and we have been on fire of late and at 56% for the season including a nice little 12-3 ATS run over the past week or so. Kansas looks like the best team in the country to us right now, and it mainly comes from their abilility on the defensive end of the court. They play suffocating defense and are so athletic. Defensive ability does not go away in the tournament, and this Kansas team has everything it takes to get it done this season.

Keep an eye towards Waco and the Baylor Bears as the season continues. Scott Drew has a nice basketball team and has recruited very well over the past couple of seasons. Baylor is this seasons Texas A&M in the Big 12 and will likely have a top four finish in the conference. Big 12 teams on the rise look like Baylor, Kansas State, and Texas, though the Longhorns have not been covering the number at all this season. The teams on the decline or teams to look at fading are Colorado, Missouri, Oklahoma State, and Nebraska. A&M is an interesting team, who has been in freefall over the past week. They get Okie State on the road Saturday in a very interesting basketball game. The loser in that one is in big trouble in the conference race for the NCAA tournament.

The surprise team in the Mountain West is San Diego State, who lost their top player in Heath one year ago, but are playing better without him. While they lost at BYU on Wednesday night, they easily covered the large number and had a good shot at winning that one outright. They host UNLV on Saturday in a big game for both teams. UNLV has not been good on the road this season, hi-lited by a big loss at Air Force, who essentially has one player on offense in Anderson. Teams on the rise in the Mountain West are BYU, San Diego State, and New Mexico, while teams to fade look like Air Force on the road, Colorado State, and Wyoming, who has had a difficult time adjusting to their new coach.

College Midseason ATS numbers to be aware of as these teams are likely better than their public perception, at least to date.

Kansas: 11-5 ATS

North Carolina: 12-4 ATS

Florida: 7-3 ATS

New Mexico: 13-4-1 ATS

Baylor: 6-3 ATS

Pittsburgh: 9-4 ATS

Drake: 11-2 ATS

Ohio: 9-4-1 ATS

Miami: 8-1-1 ATS

Conversely, these teams are often overrated by Vegas and the public or just plain bad:

Villanova: 5-8 ATS

Alabama: 4-9 ATS

Maryland: 5-9 ATS

Arkansas: 4-9 ATS

New Mexico State: 5-11 ATS

NC State: 3-10-1 ATS

Iowa: 6-10 ATS

Keep in mind that as these numbers become jagged, Vegas will begin to change their numbers so look for value as well with the opponents of the teams listed above. In addition, the numbers associated with the teams on the lower list should become more favorable as the season wears on leading to some successful covers. Please keep an eye on us, as we are en fuego in College Hoops right now, just as we always are.

Kendall Holiday Past Articles

Kendall Holiday Wagering News and Notes - 2/10/08
Alright folks, we are in the thick of it now, and teams are starting to show their weary faces. As I am typing this, UCLA is struggling against a relatively ... read more

Kendall Holiday Wagering News and Notes
Hope this finds everyone doing well, as it has been a while.Super Bowl Number…..who cares? The Patriots showed me a lot last weekend. This is the ... read more

Handicapping the Bowl Games - 2007
There are many things to take into account over the next three weeks when 32 football games will be played. The bowl season always presents wonderful ... read more

Late Season NFL Handicapping - and more
Wow, what a weekend. Attending mothers 60th birthdays, and heading to the airport to pick up out of towners in for the weekend. Must be bowl season. ... read more

Seasons Greetings From Holiday Land - 12/4/07
This week was good to us overall, but it can always be better…. The BCS is a mess, but would you have it any other way? The most frustrating ... read more

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MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday June 3, 2008 10:10 pm
Gotta strike while the iron's hot here, and going against the Rockies would have made you a ton of loot over the past three weeks.  Penny has done well against Colorado in the past and he faces a lineup that is weaker than in years past tonight.  The Rockies will welcome ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Monday June 2, 2008 10:10 pm
You simply cannot side with the Colorado Rockies right now, especially on the road.  This is a lineup decimated by injury, and their starter Reynolds, walked eight in his last outing.  A nice spot for a bounce back here in Chavez Ravine but the Rockies have been losing ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs Friday May 30, 2008 2:20 pm
The dismal Rockies turn to their only bright spot this afternoon at Wrigley as Cook takes the hill facing Ted Lilly.  Colorado looked good last night until Matt Herges sprung another leak allowing the Cubs to take command of the game and get the series opening win.  Ted ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday May 28, 2008 9:40 pm
The Giants beat the first place Diamondbacks last night on the back of Benjie Molina's three run home run, which ended up being the difference. This Giants team is a shadow of their formal selves, and while the Diamondbacks bats have cooled considerably after their torrid start, ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds Wednesday May 28, 2008 7:10 pm
Now, Bruce is not going to bat 1.000 all year long but he sure looks a lot like a young Larry Walker which makes the Reds lineup downright nasty. Bronson Arroyo goes tonight and the Reds are looking for the their fourth win in their last five games. After starting slowly, Arroyo ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday May 28, 2008 7:05 pm
Have to side with the Phillies here, who are tearing the cover off the ball while the majority of Colorado's best players reside on the DL. Colorado's lineup resembles their AAA affiliate right now, and it is showing. Healthy or not, there guys are not hitting right now, and the ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

San Francisco Giants @ Florida Marlins Friday May 23, 2008 7:10 pm
Florida has been one of the surprises of the early season, but maybe we should not be so surprised. Two years ago, this team almost made the playoffs when their rookies played lights out. As often happens, rookies struggle a bit in their second season, and then rebound once again ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers Thursday May 22, 2008 1:05 pm
We side with the Tigers and the run line this afternoon as Bonderman goes and he looks to continue righting his ship, and that of the hapless Tigers. Coming into this season, there were high expectations for the Tigers and MAriners and both have failed to live up to the lofty expectations. ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies Tuesday May 20, 2008 8:35 pm
Aaron Cook has yet to lose at Coors Field this seaosn and has held hitters under .200 there as well. Colorado is finally showing some signs with Torrealba getting a big two out hit last night, something this team simply has not done to date this season. With Cook on a bounce back, ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

MLB Baseball

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Monday May 19, 2008 10:10 pm
Cincy comes into this one perhaps the hottest team in baseball, while the Dodgers have cooled considerably after their fast start. The Reds come into this series off a sweep of the Cleveland Indians in dramatic fashion as Dunn went deep to end the game yesterday. Penny has been ... read more

Kendall Holiday Bio and Picks | Articles By Kendall Holiday

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