Tuesday WNBA and MLB Research

by: IndianCowboy

Tuesday, June 24th.  Here is your Tuesday WNBA and MLB Research that I have on my notecard.  Best of luck:

POD #1 in the Nation:
16-7 Last 22 PODs (70%)
56-30 (65%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 88 Days)

Tuesday WNBA Research

Phoenix vs. Washington

Phoenix beat this team by just 5 on June 3rd and now will face them again today as Washington has revenge at home, keep in mind that Phoenix got drilled in their last game by an ugly manner by New York so this will be an attempted bounce-back for Phoenix as well. Phoenix has played the over in their last 3 ballgames while Washington has played the under in their last 3 contests. I would like to take Washington but given that Phoenix got beat by 30+ in their last contest, they will be coming back with a vengeance today. no thanks.

Detroit vs. Connecticut

Both teams are 10-3 and 66% favors the home team Sun here, Detroit has won the last 5 times these 2 teams have played but this is the first time these 2 face off this year. Detroit comes off pounding Atlanta which they showed up the 2nd time they played the Dream, but a play here that looks attractive is the over given that when Connecticut plays the better teams in the league they lean over and Detroit is scoring with relative ease of late.

Sacramento vs. Indiana

Indiana beat this team at home by last 8 year, do note that Sacramento comes off a nice win over Chicago easily covering their 5 point spread, breaking their 2 game losing streak, Indiana comes off back to back losses on the road and returns home irritated, but don't forget that Sacramento is the same team that went on the road to beat New York, Minny and Washington - I actually lean on Sacramento with the points here but given that Indy is coming off back to back road losses, I might be staying away.

New York vs. Minnesota

This is a revenge game for Minny who was beaten by New York by 1 point earlier this year. New York comes off a big win over Phoenix at home and could be in for a let down here and Minnesota has lost 5 in a row as they desperately look for a win here and but they have faced tough competition to their credit. This is a good spot for Minny to get back on track on a revenge game here against the Liberty at home after a terrible Houston game.

Houston at San Antonio

Houston actually beat this team by 3 earlier this year at home and the 4-8 team went on the road to defeat Minnesota as well. In fact, Houston now goes on the road to face their state nemesis of San Antonio who sits at 8-4 and 6-0 at home and who has covered 5 straight ballgames, yes, Houston played great against Minny on the road, but this is a much more experienced San Antonio team here who has revenge from an earlier loss, lean on San Antonio and their solid home record.

Seattle at Los Angeles

Seattle beat this L.A. team by 20 points at home last year but how the fortunes have changed given that L.a. was going through player turmoil last year given retirements and pregnancies to name just a few, now the West looks different with the Sparks sitting at 9-3, just come off pounding Indiana at home off their loss and L.A. continues to consistently cover at home while Seattle struggles on the road. Despite some reverse line movement I think Seattle is headed into a **** storm today.
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Tuesday MLB Research

Milwaukee vs. Atlanta

It is well known that Atlanta is playing great baseball at home, note that Bush gave a 1.13 ERA start in his last outing, he did defeat the Braves earlier this year or helped his team win 3-2 and Morton has had a 4.5 and 5.4 ERA in his last 2 starts, rather than a side here I think the Braves pick up runs by returning the favor and I believe Morton continues to give up his 3 to 4 runs in 5 innings as he is still part of the young blood of the Braves rotation and learning.

Yankees vs. Pittsburgh

Rasner finally pitched a quality start against San Diego but prior to that he had lost 4 straight and was giving up countless hits, Pitt goes with Gorzo today and keep in mind that he comes off a non-quality start as well and has pitched in 6 of 8 overs - I wouldn't be surprised to see both pitchers get roughed up in a high scoring game in pitt today like many others in Pitt have been in competitive ballgames for the Pirates.

Arizona vs. Boston

How about Old man Doug Davis, giving back to back quality starts against Oakland and the Royals, coming back from cancer rehab, and now faces the Red Sox,Justin Materson is 3-0 with less than a 3 ERA but this is quality value given that it is with the Dbacks having said that, I'm not going against the young kid in Boston, but do be wary that over 70% is backing Boston today so likely no play for me, if you have an extra pair of gonads, the Dbacks are of great value today.

St. Louis vs. Detroit

This is a high total considering that Looper has pitched 3 straight quality starts and Rogers has pitched 5 straight, for those who know, I am a big fan of Kenny Rogers (the gambler) and although I like Looper, this is a rematch from a recent world series and I think Detroit has plenty of revenge here and Rogers is pitching well and I lean towards him more than Looper who went through a rough patch prior to his 3 straight quality starts - nevertheless, the only play here that makes your money worthwhile without loading up on the juice is the run-line and by principle I typically try to avoid run-lines.

San Fran vs. Cleveland

Sanchez has pitched 2 straight non-quality starts while Laffey is on a bounce-back today, Laffey typically does not have back to back non-quality starts so I expect Cleveland to do well today and have a solid chance of hitting the run-line.

Cincy vs. Toronto

Arroyo was drilled by the Dodgers in his last start and Burnett was drilled in his last start as well on the road so I expect both pitchers to come back strong today, but with a 8.5 run total it is tough to take the under as well as the Bluejays given the juice so high on Burnett at home, but in some ways this is similar to St. Louis vs. Detroit - both teams have reasons to play well but once again the edge goes to the AL team with the better more consistent pitcher on the mound, like I say, the run-line would be good here but by principle, I typically do not play it.

Tampa Bay vs. Florida

If you're looking for a straight up pick-em game, here is your opportunity, you have a Tampa Bay team that is playing great baseball this season tacked on by the fact that Sonnanstine already defeated this team earlier this year when he faced Tucker by a score of 7-3. However, keep in mind that Olsen is on a bounce-back today and he is likely to pitch well, lean on the drays but likely staying away.

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Previous Months Recap (Winning 8 of 11 Months w/PODs)

Going for 3 Winning Months in a Row:

May POD: 18-12 (60%), +12.85 Units and 13.97% ROI.
May Overall Results: +8.1 Units and 4.05% ROI.

April POD: 21-9 (70%) (Doing 1 POD per day).
April Overall Results: +20.08 Net Units, 8.33% Return of Investment.

IndianCowboy Past Articles

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WNBA Basketball

Minnesota Lynx @ Phoenix Mercury Wednesday September 3, 2008 10:05 pm
The odds for this game have opened up at -3 for Phoenix and the first thing that strikes you is the fact is that over 80% favor Phoenix for this game.  Keep in mind that Lynx got absolutely drilled on the road last night at the Sparks.  Remember, when a team gets beat by ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Seattle Storm @ Atlanta Dream Tuesday September 2, 2008 7:05 pm
Frankly, I have no idea why this total is moving down, I thought the Seattle/Conn Total should not be moving down this past weekend but it was and I stayed away from it and it consequently went over.  Given that, it just goes to show that you should roll with the research that ... read more

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Minnesota Lynx @ LA Sparks Monday September 1, 2008 10:35 pm
Additional write-up: I just see this as a bit of a repeat from the Storm vs. Sun game and this is a game that the Lynx could very well win Outright on the road today.  I'll take the 6.5 for a possible Outright Win or the Cover as I have this at a 58% chance of cashing today. ... read more

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College Football

Tennessee Volunteers @ UCLA Bruins Monday September 1, 2008 8:00 pm
I am a fan of the SEC and biased to the SEC. Having said this, UCLA's 2 starting quarterbacks in Olson and Cowan are out. The public favors Tennessee to the tune of 60%+ here and I have never trusted UCLA football. They do have a new coach who will look to make an impression in his ... read more

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College Football

Colorado Buffaloes @ Colorado State Rams Sunday August 31, 2008 7:30 pm
Dan Hawkins has gone 8-17 in his first 2 years at Colorado, although this team did beat Oklahoma at home and note that they did beat Texas Tech twice, having said that, this team needs to get better and it will do so this year. They have a QB in Cody who is returning and will be ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Detroit Shock @ Chicago Sky Sunday August 31, 2008 6:05 pm
I just mentioned that the biggest public play on the board was Connecticut, I take it back, the biggest public play on the board is indeed Detroit - on the road as a 72% favorite over Chicago. This nearly outlines the fact that Chicago is likely to win this game outright - Remember, ... read more

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College Football

Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ UAB Blazers Saturday August 30, 2008 4:00 pm
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College Football

Utah Utes @ Michigan Wolverines Saturday August 30, 2008 3:30 pm
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College Football

Hawaii Warriors @ Florida Gators Saturday August 30, 2008 12:30 pm
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NFL Football

San Diego Chargers @ San Francisco 49ers Friday August 29, 2008 10:00 pm
San Diego beat Seattle at home 18-17, but note that they did not cover the 5.5 spread placed on them at home, they lost to St. Louis on the road 6-7, San Francisco is looking forward to this game more than San Diego this I can promise you, they come off a 7 point win at Chicago and ... read more

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