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The Scoop on the Home Court Part 1

by: Bryan Leonard Sports

“We’ll get ‘em on our court.”

You’ll hear professional and college athletes say things like this all year, be it in basketball’s post or regular season. College basketball teams often play twice against conference opponents during the regular season, with each team splitting a game between their home court and the opponent’s. Other times, teams can meet on a neutral court during tournament play and sometimes teams meet a third time in February and March during tourney time.

What’s important to understand is that the site that a basketball game is played is extremely important, especially from a bettor’s point of view. Spend some time going through the records – straight up and against the spread – of your favorite college and pro hoops’ teams and you’ll be amazed at some of the differences.

Some teams will shoot lights out at home, averaging 78 points per game. Yet, the same players can turn into certified masons on the road averaging 59 points per game. It’s not uncommon to find college basketball teams with an overall record of 11-10. But if you dig deeper, you may find that team is 10-1 straight up at home, but 1-9 on the road. Some teams aren’t so extreme, but you’ll find many that are. Clearly, something (actually, a combination of many things) is taking place. For serious sports bettors, it’s important to identify these valuable wagering facets, apply meaning, and incorporate into your handicapping.

It’s not relegated to college hoops, either. Examine some of the home/road records of NBA teams over the years. One of the best examples I ever found was the Denver Nuggets in 2000-01. That season, the Nuggets were an average team with a 40-42 overall record. But going a step further and breaking it down, something remarkable takes shape: Denver had a winning spread record at home where they were 29-12 straight up, yet on the road, a completely different team showed up, where the Nuggets were 11-30 straight up and 16-25 against the spread! All of a sudden, that’s far from a near-.500 team, isn’t it? The Nuggets were one of the best teams in the NBA at home, and one of the worst on the road – both straight up and against the number!

Differences like this take place every basketball season, both in college and the pros. There are many reasons as to why this takes place. One is pride, which I mentioned at the beginning with the quote, “We’ll get ‘em on our court.” College basketball players at home have ten to fifteen thousand fans screaming behind them to play well, while booing the other team the entire game. In addition, professional basketball players know that at home the fans in the stands are paying their salaries, so it’s more likely pros will put forth a one-hundred percent effort to try and get a win for the home fans. It doesn’t make a lot of financial sense for players to give a lackadaisical effort and send the fans home unhappy, especially when fans are paying anywhere from $20-$200 for a ticket. That’s like someone buying a brand new car, then having it fall apart on the drive home from the dealership. That automobile company would lose its fan base – and its business – fast.

When teams go on the road they are not always inclined to give 100%, especially weak teams. Psychologically players can be thinking, “We’re not supposed to win here, so let’s just get this over with and head home.” This is why good coaches are so rare. Good ones have the capacity to motivate players to give it their all, whether they’re at home or not.


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles

The Zig Zag Theory
Let’s talk about zigzags. No, that’s not some ski slope maneuver. Nor is it someone who says one thing and then does another. Sports bettors ... read more

NBA Playoffs Betting
The NBA playoffs are off and running. There are a lot of ways to analyze who has the edge, from matchups, key statistics (rebounding, turnovers), spread ... read more

NBA Personnel Changes and Lineups
Like a stock broker, a good handicapper has to keep up with the changes that take place on and off the court. This is particularly true this time of year. ... read more

NBA Embarrassment
Many teams get embarrassed during an NBA season, even the playoffs, which are approaching. After all, it's a long season and even good teams get smacked ... read more

The NBA Stretch Run: Does Anybody Care?
Does anyone really care in the NBA? I'm not talking about fans, I'm referring to the players. Certainly a lot of players have pride and want to give their ... read more

All Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Picks

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Sunday May 20, 2012 10:30 pm
San Antonio at Los AngelesPut a fork in em, this series is over. Teams with a 3-0 series lead dominate in game four, and no team wants to close this out more than the Spurs who will likely face the run and gun Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. The Clippers gave it all they ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Sunday May 20, 2012 2:10 pm
Minnesota at MilwaukeeThe Twins offense has been in hibernation for most of the season so we are able to find value at a reduced price. The team is hitting well as of late producing 11, 4, 11 and 5 runs the past four games. The True Runs scored in those four contests resulted in ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 19, 2012 10:30 pm
 Oklahoma City at Los AngelesThe Lakers used a late surge last night to take victory from the jaws of defeat. They shot an amazing 41 of 42 from the free throw line in doing so. Now on short rest they must duplicate that result in order to even up this series. We're betting ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Saturday May 19, 2012 7:15 pm
Boston at PhiladelphiaJohn Lester has owned the Phillies in his career with a 0.43 ERA in 21 innings. He's currently in great form and with this very limited Philadelphia lineup we could see the talented lefty going very deep into this game. Blanton has a great deal of experience ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Friday May 18, 2012 8:05 pm
Boston at PhiladelphiaHome favorites in round 2 are a positive subset and tonight we find a solid spot to take the Sixers laying a small price. Philadelphia has matched up very well against Boston this season with depth being a key factor. Boston exploded for 52% shooting last time ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Friday May 18, 2012 2:20 pm
Chicago at ChicagoFirst inter league matchup of the season takes place at Wrigley Field this afternoon. Jeff Samardzija has a solid 5-1 true record on the season. (You can read about our True Record stat in a previous article). It's by far the best mark for any Cubs pitcher as Paul ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Thursday May 17, 2012 10:05 pm
 Los Angeles at San DiegoDespite playing in pitcher friendly ballparks when facing the Padres Aaron Harang posts a mediocre 4.36 career ERA against the Padres. His 3-5 record certainly doesn't inspire confidence especially with the Dodger's all everything MVP favorite out of ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Thursday May 17, 2012 7:05 pm
 Miami at IndianaThe Miami Heat are now 1 for 22 from the 3 point line in this series, yet the pairing is tied at one game apiece. The Heat have been out rebounded yet the series is tied. The loss of Bosh will hurt but Miami was such a heavy favorite in this series before the ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
LA Clippers at San AntonioTerrible spot for the Clippers who had to go the distance with Memphis and win a short handed game on the road just to advance. The Spurs are the vastly more experienced team and they own a major rest advantage. The line is high for a reason and unlike last ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins Monday May 14, 2012 8:10 pm
Cleveland at MinnesotaThe Twins have finally gotten to the point where they are producing value. To make Pavano a sizable home dog against the slumping offense of the Indians is simply a mistake. Pavano, a former Indian, has a career ERA of 2.83 against the Tribe. Gomez has a bright ... read more