MREAST MLB MONDAY PLAY OF THE DAY (Mon)
MREAST MLB MONDAY PLAY OF THE DAY ready to cash

$25

COMBO

Season

NBA + CBB Season Package
The remainder of the season - all remaining premium NBA and college basketball picks - guaranteed to win!

$699

NFL + CFB Season Package
ALL BOWL PICKS & NFL PICKS THROUGH THE SUPERBOWL!!! NFL SEASON: 67-42 +69.6 units NCAAF 73-46 +92.5 units Combined 140-88 +162.1 UNITS OF PURE PROFIT!!! $100.00 bettors up $16,210.00 $200.00 bettors up $32,420 dime players up $162,100.00!!! THE BEST IS YET TO COME!!!!!

$499

Monthly

All Sports 30 Day Package
30 days of premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!

$399

Weekly

All Sports 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!

$199

NFL + CFB 7 Day Package
Seven days of premium NFL and college football picks - guaranteed to win!

$179

All Sports 3 Day Package
Three days of premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!

$149

Daily

All Sports 1 Day Package
Today's premium picks for all sports - guaranteed to win!

$89

MLB

Get all my MLB premium regular season picks, which will consist of April,May, interleague play which is most of June, and September. regular price is 699.00, but since I am going to not be playing in July and August, 449.00 for the above, as well as playoffs through the World Series.
MLB Baseball Season Package
$399 | 

$399

One month of premium MLB picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
MLB Baseball 30 Day Package
$199 | 

$199

Seven days of premium MLB picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
MLB Baseball 7 Day Package
$99 | 

$99

One day of premium MLB picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
MLB Baseball 1 Day Package
$59 | 

$59

NBA

get all my NBA Playoff picks through the champioship game for 99.00, this is a special 30.00 off the regular price good until April 29th Sunday.
NBA Basketball Season Package
$99 | 

$99

WNBA

The remainder of the season of premium WNBA picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
WNBA Basketball Season Package
$399 | 

$399

Three months of premium WNBA picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
WNBA Basketball 90 Day Package
$350 | 

$350

One month of premium WNBA picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
WNBA Basketball 30 Day Package
$199 | 

$199

One full week of premium WNBA picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
WNBA Basketball 7 Day Package
$99 | 

$99

Today's premium WNBA picks and analysis - guaranteed to win!
WNBA Basketball 1 Day Package
$39 | 

$39

The Decline of Home-Field Advantage in the NFL

by: Mr East

If you go back in the NFL with the inception of Monday Night Football, the rage with the novelty was the home underdog, which seemed to present blind value each time an opportunity presented itself. It has long been established that the homefield advantage was worth 3 points to the home team. How do those numbers work out today, and what is leading to the change?

If you go back to 1983 and take into account every single game played, the home team has averaged 22.3ppg, while the visitor has averaged 19.2ppg. That equates to 3.1ppg, which is what is usually considered the standard. The team that has reigned supreme during the past 25 years is the San Francisco 49ers, who have outscored opponents by 8ppg, and most of that is due to their dominance during most of the period, except recently. The Bottom of the heap are the Arizona Cardinals who have been outscored by 2.5 points a game at home.

We now fast forward to make a comparison to the last 25 years, to the recent most 10 years. The home teams have scored 22.4ppg, while the visitors have scored 19.6ppg. The home field advantage has shrunk a bit to 2.8ppg. The best team for the last 10 years has been the Denver Broncos, who have on average outscored their opponents by 8ppg at home, while the worst team has been the Cleveland Browns, who are being outscored at home by 4.3ppg.

The next look is moving forward to just the last 5 years, where we see home teams scoring 22.5ppg, while the visitors have added 20ppg. That has shown the home field advantage moving down to 2.5ppg in the NFL over the last 5 years. The Colts have been the most dominant home team behind Peyton Manning as they have outscored their opponents at home by an amazing 10.3ppg, and at the bottom rung of the ladder over the last 5 years we see the Houston Texans being outscored by 4ppg.

Now we will narrow it down to just the last 3 years, and we see home teams scoring 22ppg, while the visitor has totalled 19.9ppg. That has now reduced the home field advantage to 2.1ppg. The best team at home has been the Indianapolis Colts once again, while the worst has been the 49ers.

We have seen the home field advantage steadily decline over the last 25 years. What has been a staple of the league of 3 points for home field has gradually eroded to 2. What might be the cause? Is it athletes in better condition, and better travel conditions? Is it the expansion of the league, that brings in teams like Cleveland and Houston, that finished negative?

It may be all of the above and more. Athletes are groomed in this day and age very young, assembling on travel teams, playing High School Football games out of state, and maybe that plays a role on taking a little notch out of the home field advantage, as players are more conditioned at a younger age to cope with life on the road. The once crowned jewel of the NFL, the home dog has gone just 16-22 ATS through 9 weeks of this season. making the road favorite now the best bet in the NFL, at 58%.

Are we now in a different era of football, where the oddsmakers have over-compensated for home field advantage? The numbers say their has been a steady and unnoticeable decline in the home field advantage. If the oddsmakers are now slipping the balance slowly towards the road team as well, another point or two, then suddenly, unknowingly, the handicapper is dealing with a new deck of cards.

It is certainly worth watching how this pans out the rest of the way, as the oddsmakers try to stay one step ahead of the handicapper. It is why every aspect of handicapping has to be an ongoing arduous process of keeping abreast of everything and anything that might be morphing wins into losses. The home field advantage is worth noting, as year by year there has been a steady very slow decline. Are the oddsmakers now taking advantage of this knowledge, and pocketing another point or two that we don't see? It costs money to buy a point, so one point doesn't seem like much, but it is certainly equatable to cash, and cost, wins, and losses. If the oddsmakers are stealing another half, or another point, we have now tipped the balance by 1.5 or 2. Many gamblers love the home team, but it may now be time to hit the road!

EAST

Mr East Past Articles

Sleepless in Denver?
A lot is made of teams playing with no rest in the NBA. The question is does it matter? Here is my latest research and findings on NBA teams playing with ... read more

March Madness: Good, Bad and the Ugly
The NCAA Tournament is right around the corner. I thought i'd take a look at who has the bet winning percentage of all time in NCAA Tournament games. ... read more

Weekly Look at CFB Title Chasers
BCS Title Chasers - We are down to five unbeaten teams in NCAAF, and 12 teams with a single loss. The Oregon Ducks are the new #1 team in the latest BCS ... read more

Lay of the Line NFL Week 7
Another winning footabl week is now in the books, as both NCAAF and NFL football were winners for the week. We now turn to NCAAF week 8, and NFL week ... read more

Good and Bad Septembers, Does it Matter?
The Major League baseball Playoffs get started on Wednesday, so I thought I'd get you tuned in, to avoid the "trap" thinking that sends many ... read more

All Mr East Past Articles

More past picks...

All Mr East Past Picks