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The Best Offense is a Great Defense
by: Bryan Leonard Sports
There has been a lot of focus on offense the last few years in NFL. Two years ago the Saints and Colts were dynamite offensive teams with below average defenses and met in the Super Bowl, and last year the incredible Green Bay offense bested the Steelers dominant defense for the title. Many shrugged off the importance of defense, but that was more of an aberration: Don’t understate the importance of defense this time of the NFL season with so much at stake.
Teams in playoff races like the Jets, Steelers, Cowboys and Ravens are all in the Top 16 in total defense. Five of the ten teams at the bottom of the list (Bucs, Colts, Rams, Panthers, Bills) have long been out of the playoff hunt and one (Raiders) is terrible defensive but only fighting for a division title because the division is so awful. Like Seattle last year, if the Raiders make the postseason, they won’t be going anywhere with this defense.
Will Green Bay play its starters down the stretch? On defense they should, to improve a unit that has been suspect, in the bottom 10. Another reason to play starters down the stretch is to keep them sharp for the postseason. The Colts sat their starters late in 2006 to have them rested for the playoffs. There were many people that split on the answer, but I think we'd all aggree what the correct answer is: Play 'em! Or at least, rest any injured players, but don't bench the majority of starters the last two weeks of the regular season, even if everything is sewed up.
That was the position the Colts found themselves in after that 13-0 start. They had clinched everything: The division title, the bye week, home field for the postseason, the No. 1 spot. However, anyone who watched the loss to the Steelers saw an Indy team that was rusty for most of the game. Very rusty.
The Colts were out of sync most of the way in their 21-18 loss to the Steelers. Overall, having a bye week gives a team enough time, two weeks, to rest and prepare. It takes time and practice to get a team in sync because there are so many players that need to work together in unison: Blocking patterns, running backs hitting the proper holes, lineman pulling, receivers running patterns, quarterbacks getting the football to them on timing routes, etc.
That same season in the final regular season game for the Denver Broncos, they were 12-point dog at San Diego in a meaningless game. They had everything sewed up and needed only to stay healthy. Instead, Mike Shanahan had several starters play significant first half minutes. They also played inspired football, dominating the Chargers in an impressive performance.
I think back to the regular season finale in 2004 when the Patriots hosted the terrible 49ers at home in a meaningless game, yet Bill Belichick played the starters for three quarters. The reason was a little different, as the Patriots played a sluggish first half, tied 3-3, as a big favorite. Belichick didn't like the performance and sent the starters back out for the second half, injuries be damned! They followed the next few weeks with dominating performances on the way to winning another Super Bowl title.
Stuffing the run is a huge key to building a championship defense. Yes, the fancy offensive teams get most of the attention and Sports Center highlights, but don’t be surprised if the better defensive teams find their way into the postseason and advance.
Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles
The Zig Zag Theory
Let’s talk about zigzags. No, that’s not some ski slope maneuver. Nor is it someone who says one thing and then does another. Sports bettors ... read more
NBA Playoffs Betting
The NBA playoffs are off and running. There are a lot of ways to analyze who has the edge, from matchups, key statistics (rebounding, turnovers), spread ... read more
NBA Personnel Changes and Lineups
Like a stock broker, a good handicapper has to keep up with the changes that take place on and off the court. This is particularly true this time of year. ... read more
NBA Embarrassment
Many teams get embarrassed during an NBA season, even the playoffs, which are approaching. After all, it's a long season and even good teams get smacked ... read more
The NBA Stretch Run: Does Anybody Care?
Does anyone really care in the NBA? I'm not talking about fans, I'm referring to the players. Certainly a lot of players have pride and want to give their ... read more
All Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles
Bryan Leonard Sports Past Picks
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Sunday May 20, 2012 10:30 pm
San Antonio at Los AngelesPut a fork in em, this series is over. Teams with a 3-0 series lead dominate in game four, and no team wants to close this out more than the Spurs who will likely face the run and gun Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. The Clippers gave it all they ... read more
Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Sunday May 20, 2012 2:10 pm
Minnesota at MilwaukeeThe Twins offense has been in hibernation for most of the season so we are able to find value at a reduced price. The team is hitting well as of late producing 11, 4, 11 and 5 runs the past four games. The True Runs scored in those four contests resulted in ... read more
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 19, 2012 10:30 pm
Oklahoma City at Los AngelesThe Lakers used a late surge last night to take victory from the jaws of defeat. They shot an amazing 41 of 42 from the free throw line in doing so. Now on short rest they must duplicate that result in order to even up this series. We're betting ... read more
Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Saturday May 19, 2012 7:15 pm
Boston at PhiladelphiaJohn Lester has owned the Phillies in his career with a 0.43 ERA in 21 innings. He's currently in great form and with this very limited Philadelphia lineup we could see the talented lefty going very deep into this game. Blanton has a great deal of experience ... read more
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Friday May 18, 2012 8:05 pm
Boston at PhiladelphiaHome favorites in round 2 are a positive subset and tonight we find a solid spot to take the Sixers laying a small price. Philadelphia has matched up very well against Boston this season with depth being a key factor. Boston exploded for 52% shooting last time ... read more
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Friday May 18, 2012 2:20 pm
Chicago at ChicagoFirst inter league matchup of the season takes place at Wrigley Field this afternoon. Jeff Samardzija has a solid 5-1 true record on the season. (You can read about our True Record stat in a previous article). It's by far the best mark for any Cubs pitcher as Paul ... read more
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Thursday May 17, 2012 10:05 pm
Los Angeles at San DiegoDespite playing in pitcher friendly ballparks when facing the Padres Aaron Harang posts a mediocre 4.36 career ERA against the Padres. His 3-5 record certainly doesn't inspire confidence especially with the Dodger's all everything MVP favorite out of ... read more
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Thursday May 17, 2012 7:05 pm
Miami at IndianaThe Miami Heat are now 1 for 22 from the 3 point line in this series, yet the pairing is tied at one game apiece. The Heat have been out rebounded yet the series is tied. The loss of Bosh will hurt but Miami was such a heavy favorite in this series before the ... read more
Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
LA Clippers at San AntonioTerrible spot for the Clippers who had to go the distance with Memphis and win a short handed game on the road just to advance. The Spurs are the vastly more experienced team and they own a major rest advantage. The line is high for a reason and unlike last ... read more
Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins Monday May 14, 2012 8:10 pm
Cleveland at MinnesotaThe Twins have finally gotten to the point where they are producing value. To make Pavano a sizable home dog against the slumping offense of the Indians is simply a mistake. Pavano, a former Indian, has a career ERA of 2.83 against the Tribe. Gomez has a bright ... read more
All Bryan Leonard Sports Past Picks

