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Sweet 16 Returnees
by: Marc Lawrence
With the 2011 NCAA Tournament entering the SWEET 16 round, let’s take a different perspective in analyzing the teams that have arrived. It pertains specifically to teams that are returning to the SWEET 16 for the 2nd straight year. Do they perform like a team with experience and panache, or do they execute like CEO’s looking for golden parachutes and cushy bonuses while steering a sinking ship? Let’s take a peek.
How Do You Do
According to our database, since 1991, teams making a right-back appearance in the SWEET 16 from the previous year are 56-39 SU and 42-51-1 ATS in Round Three of the tourney. The cut-line, however, is often times the pointspread.
That’s confirmed by the fact that favorites of more than 6 points are 31-2 SU and 21-12 ATS in these games. Priced at anything less (dog or favorite of 6 or fewer points), they dip drastically to 25-37 SU and 21-39-1 ATS in competitive contests.
Last year witnessed five SWEET 16 returnees, all of whom collectively managed to go 2-2-1 ATS during this round.
All Aboard
Taking a look at this year’s list of returnees, we find no less than four teams that were here last year. They include – Butler, Duke, Kentucky and Ohio State.
Looking at it from a different perspective, one major exception to the rule is that SWEET 16 returnees seem to struggle when arriving off a win of less than 10 points, going just 13-27-2 ATS.
Sayanora
Worse, when SWEET 16 returnees arrive off a single digit win after having won their opening round tournament game by fewer than 15 points they drop to 7-15 SU and 4-16-1 ATS, including 2-14-1 when facing a foe off an ATS win. FYI: The life rafts ready and standing by for Butler and Kentucky.
The bottom line is you can draw your own conclusions, if you like. But make no mistake, when it comes to handicapping teams in the SWEET 16, the winners will likely be the better-qualified teams that have ‘been there-and-done that’. Or those who know how to keep a ship afloat, if you know what I mean…
Marc Lawrence Past Articles
2011 BIG 12 Conference Football Preview
Much like the shrink-wrap used by food packagers these days, the BIG 12 shrank to 10 teams for the 2011 season with the defections of Colorado (PAC 10) ... read more
2011 Big 10 Conference Preview
It used to be that when you talked Big 10 Football you were talking Ohio State.After all, the Buckeyes won at least a share of the last six Big Ten Championships ... read more
2011 Big East Football Preview
As referenced in last year’s pre-season preview, this always-powerful basketball conference has come a long way toward establishing a football pedigree ... read more
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEW
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceAfter leading the nation the previous four years with the most players selected in the ... read more
June Good Month Pitchers
JUNE GOOD MONTH PITCHERSBy Marc Lawrence If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It’s also the time of the ... read more
All Marc Lawrence Past Articles
Marc Lawrence Past Picks
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Sunday May 20, 2012 3:30 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 529)Note: When the Heat takes on the Pacers in Game Four of their 2nd round playoff series in Indiana Sunday afternoon Miami will take the court in a killer winning situation. That's because teams in Game Four of a playoff series, off a two losses-exact ... read more
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Saturday May 19, 2012 7:15 pm
Play On: Chicago Cubs w/Dempster vs Danks (Game 926)Note: The Cubs and White Sox meet in Game Two of this Interleague cross-town rivalry Saturday evening when Ryan Dempster matches serves with John Danks at Wrigley Field. Dempster takes the mound in great KW form with 18 strikeouts ... read more
Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Indians Saturday May 19, 2012 4:05 pm
Play On: Miami Marlins w/SanchezNote: When the Marlins meet the Indians this Saturday afternoon in Game Two of this Interleague showdown in Cleveland the Fish will send the steady serves of Anibal Sanchez to the mound knowing he's posted a 1.65 ERA away from South Beach this season. ... read more
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Saturday May 19, 2012 3:30 pm
Play On: L.A. Clippers (Game 526)Note: The Clippers return home to host the super-surging Spurs in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Saturday afternoon knowing they have excelled as underdogs this season with Chris Paul in the lineup in games when playing off back-to-back ... read more
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Friday May 18, 2012 10:35 pm
Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 524)Note: The Lakers return home to host the Thunder in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Friday evening finding them in a 0-2 hole thanks to a gut-wrenching 77-75 loss at Oklahoma City Wednesday night. That sets the table for tonight's ... read more
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Thursday May 17, 2012 7:05 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 517)Note: When Miami travels to Indiana to take on the Pacers in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Thursday evening the Heat will take the court in a terrific winning situation. That's because road team in Game Three of a playoff series, ... read more
Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday May 16, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 515)Note: When the Lakers take on the Thunder in Game Two of their 2nd round playoff series in Oklahoma City Wednesday evening Los Angeles will take the court tin a powerful winning situation. That's because Game Two playoff road dogs off a loss of ... read more
Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: San Antonio (Game (506)Note: When the Spurs host the Clippers in Game One of their 2nd round playoff series Tuesday night San Antonio will take the court knowing that Game One road teams playing with one day of rest off a Game Seven win the previous series are ... read more
Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Monday May 14, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: Oklahoma City (Game (508)Note: When the Thunder host the Lakers in Game One of their 2nd round playoff series Monday night Oklahoma City will take the court knowing that Game One dogs off a Game Seven home win the previous series are 0-14 SU and 1-13 ATS if they failed to ... read more
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Sunday May 13, 2012 3:35 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 502)Note: When the Heat host the Pacers in the first game in this 2nd round playoff series Sunday afternoon Miami will take the court in powerful winning situation. That's because road teams in Game One of a series that won their previous playoff series ... read more


