Sunday Basketball Preview

by: IndianCowboy

NBA Playoff Sunday Research

4 NBA POD Winners in a Row and 13-3 NBA Playoff POD Winners Last 16!

Lakers vs. Utah

You can still get the Jazz at +500 to win the series and the Lakers sit at -700 to win the series after the Jazz end up taking game 1. Remember, during the first round of the playoffs, it was tough to see some road teams doing well in game 4 situations after being up 2-1, but we are in a spot right now where it is quite apparent that the teams remaining can indeed win on the road, with the Pistons winning outright at the Magic yesterday with no Chauncey (despite having a 15 point lead dissipate), or the Lakers showing they can clearly win on the road which could become apparent today as the Hornets have shown they can win on the road at Dallas as well. Thus, do not simply assume that home teams cover at home after winning the necessary game 3 after being down 0-2, as many teams have taken 3-1 leads back home or are taking 3-1 leads back home, remember the Hornets did it against the Mavs, the Pistons are doing it now, the Spurs did it against the Suns and thus I say all this to say that this game can go either way. Keep in mind that public heavily favors the Lakers in this matchup today as over 60% are indeed riding the Lake Show, of course this has affected the line as it opened up at -3.5 in favor of the Jazz and has come down to -1.5 and -2, although there are spots of -1 out there as well. I mentioned in game 1, that an under would not surprise me if the Jazz ended up playing some defense and such was the case in game 3 in Utah, the line has come down despite roughly 60% favoring the over as well as the public is leaning Lakers and Over which is always something to be wary of. Frankly, I can see this game going either way, after all, the Jazz are still dominant at home, the Jazz were fortunate to win game 3 as the Lakers charged late, the Lakers realize that taking a 2-0 lead is useless if you give up the next 2 and they will show up with great intensity today, but I don't like the fact that the public is so in favor of the Lakers, I lean on the over if anything, but likely will stay away.

Horntes vs. Spurs

I have consistently said how much I like the Hornets as a team and the only team that I mentioned that will be able to beat them is indeed the Lakers. And, the Lakers not only come back to win the division but also secure home court advantage throughout the playoffs including the Finals if they make it thus far as the West also won the All-Star game this year, which of course is a detriment to the Celtics because they cannot win playoff games on the road, Atlanta or Cleveland, it doesn't matter, the Celtics struggle in road playoff atmosphere because Rondo wants to get his 12 shots a game and is not playing a point guard but rather 'wants his' and conseuqently it is screwing with the chemistry of this team. Rajan, understand that you are a point guard, you have Paul Piece, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett on the floor, there is no reason why your behind needs to make more shots than all of these players, as suck it up and start dishing out the ball. The last time these 2 particular teams played, the total went to 209 in a game the Spurs finally decided to show up and put some points on the board. What's interesting is the last 2 games in San Antonio have been Spurs covers and consequently overs as well. I like the Hornets here a bit today considering they won game 4 in Dallas, even in the Spurs win in game 3, it was a lot closer than what the final score indicates, I would not be surprised to see an outright Hornets win and consequently an over cashing a well here today.

Yesterday's Analysis: 1-0

Boston/Cleveland Over 176 (POD) (Winner) (Relative Easy winner Yesterday, DD cover.)

As I write this write-up for this selection, I still haven't made up my mind weather or not to take the Magic, but what I do know is that I am taking the over on this game as the POD as I had it siphoned from yesterday. After all, I've always stated that when Boston hits the road they are vulnerable and this is more true than ever today as they face the Cavs who are 2-0 against them at home, have their backs to the wall, these are still the defending Eastern Conference Champs, they have been horrible on the road scoring but more competent at home, Wally Z came on shooting in the first 2 ballgames a bit, I expect him to do better, I expect this team to get plenty of calls in their favor as Boston did in Boston, I expect this game to go over similar to the first 2 ballgames in this series in Boston that went over 200 points. Do note that Cleveland simply scores more at home and you get the low price on the total today because of the first 2 ballgames, but note that in Boston it is a different story as defense took precedence and Cleveland did not push the evenelope scoring as they will today, I expect Cleveland to take an early lead, Boston to play catch up and send this game over the posted total. Over is 5-1 when the Celtics face a team on the road with a winning home record and the over is 5-2 in Boston's last 7 road contests. 

May POD: 8-2 (1 pod per day)

5-2 POD Last Week, 5-2 POD Week Before.

Have not lost Back to Back PODs in 43 Days.

Winning 4 of 5 Weeks.

NBA Playoffs POD Summary:

13-3 NBA Playoff POD Winners (81%), Doing 1 POD per Day and 24 of 33 Winners (73%).

April POD: 21-9 (70%) (Doing 1 POD per day). The hard work in April Paid off.

*April Results: +20.08 Net Units, 8.33% Return of Investment.

*Winning 33-12 POD Run (73%) (Doing 1 POD per day). Back to Back 5-2 POD Weeks.

NBA 2007-2008 (Including Playoffs): +53.7 Units. 

IndianCowboy Past Articles

Wednesday's research:
POD #1 in the Nation:26-15 Last 40 PODs (63%)64-40-3 (61%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 107 Days) Wednesday WNBA ResearchGiven that 4 teams from the ... read more

Monday's Wnba Research:
Monday, July 14hPOD #1 in the Nation:26-15 Last 40 PODs (63%)64-40-3 (61%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 107 Days) Monday WNBA ResearchSan Antonio vs. SparksThe ... read more

IC's WNBA and MLB Saturday Preview
Oakland A's in a rout yesterday 9-2 (pod) 11 of 13 MLB Winners ( 6 dogs) and 32-17 in MLB last 53 days.Saturday MLB Research (Only AL as I only do AL ... read more

AL and wnba previews for Tuesday
Tuesday, July 8th ResearchPOD #1 in the Nation:61-36-3 (63%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 100 Days) Tuesday WNBA ResearchHouston vs. PhoenixOver 70% are ... read more

Monday AL Research
Monday, July 7th Research8 of 9 Baseball Winners and 61-36-3 (63%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 100 Days)Monday AL MLB ResearchKansas City vs. Tampa BayLight ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury Saturday July 19, 2008 10:05 pm
The Dream are 6-1ATS in their last 7 road games adn the Mercury are 0-5 ATS their last 5 Saturdays which is no surprise as Vegas makes it difficult for this public team to cover on the weekends, especially saturday, look for the Dream to do extremely well on the road today, hell, ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

LA Sparks @ Houston Comets Saturday July 19, 2008 8:35 pm
Any team going into Houston has to worry, this team is 10-12 but 7-2 at home and all their wins come of late now they have figured how to finish ballgames with the mix of new and old they have. L.A. beat this team in overtime earlier this year, back on July 9th, and Los Angeles does ... read more

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MLB Baseball

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Saturday July 19, 2008 7:10 pm
Not sure if this is the pod yet, but wanted to go ahead and plug it in the backend. The under is 7-3-1 in the Rangers last 11 road games and the under is 5-1 when the Twins face a winning team at home meaning that their pitchers show up at home against the better teams in the league: ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Connecticut Sun @ Chicago Sky Friday July 18, 2008 8:35 pm
research: Nearly 70% is riding the road team in Connecticut here and it seems the wheels might be falling off from the Sun from the recent forfeit they took at the hands of the Shock. Conn beat this team by 2 on the road last time out and of course, Chicago has revenge from that ... read more

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MLB Baseball

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Friday July 18, 2008 7:10 pm
Burnett is 5-2 over his last 7 starts, he comes off a great start at home against the Yankees where he gave up just 1 run in 8 innings for a 1.08 era, he got rocked against Tampa bay his last start for a 7.5 era as he gave up 9 hits in 6 innings and 5 runs, Shields comes off a rough ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Detroit Shock @ Washington Mystics Friday July 18, 2008 7:05 pm
Let's feed off yesterday: research: Nearly 70% are riding the Shock on the road here not suprisingly, and Detroit did cover a 9 point spread by beating this team by 13 at home earlier this yaer, that game pushed at 145 when Detroit was at home in that ballgame, Do note that Detroit ... read more

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MLB Baseball

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies Thursday July 17, 2008 9:05 pm
Research:Maholm has pitched well in his last 6 of 7 starts which has all been quality, as he has made a big come back the second half of this season, while Jiminez, had a 4.50 era against the Mets in his last start as he nearly outdueled Pedro and lost 0-3 on the road at New York. ... read more

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MLB Baseball

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals Thursday July 17, 2008 8:15 pm
Research: Normally when a pitcher pitches against a team one day, and then goes immediately his next start against that team, he struggles. Normally when a pitcher goes against the Dbacks, they struggle given that the Dbacks are a great contact hitting team, but Peavy broke both ... read more

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MLB Baseball

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds Thursday July 17, 2008 7:10 pm
Research: Santana is actually 8-7 this year but he does have a Sanatana like ERA at a 2.84 for the season. On the road, Santana is 4-4 with a 3.01 ERA, he faced the Reds earlier this year at home and despite giving up 10 hits in 6 innings, he only gave up 3 runs as the Mets went ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

Minnesota Lynx @ Houston Comets Thursday July 17, 2008 12:05 pm
The main reason for this selection is that Houston comes off 3 straight road losses, they just played this team and this is similar to a home and home for Houston who now returns home after a double-digit loss on the road in what was their last game of the road trip, they now return ... read more

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