Ryan's Quick Look at the SEC Tournament

by: John Ryan Sports

The SEC Conference Tournament

Kentucky at Mississippi 1:00 Thursday

This is by far my favorite time of the year as the excitement of the individual tournaments leeds up to Selection Sunday. All of the Tournaments will have their own individual source of game excitement and it has already started in the Big East. I started off Tourney action with TWO upset dogs who won SU. St. Johns and DePaul. Yet, this is a season that will be full of favorites living up to expectations as well as the heroic under dogs that we gravitate and cheer. None will be more filled with a sense of unpredictability then the SEC Tournament where literally EIGHT teams, and some would argue even more than that, have a solid chance to win. 

The SEC is divided into East and West and because of this there are duel seeds in essentially two brackets that lead to the Championship. LSU and Tennessee are the number ones and South Carolina and a surging Auburn team are the number 2’s. These four teams do not play a first round game and will obviously benefit from the additional rest. Looking at the first round games you can’t help to see Florida and Kentucky with their hands filled against Arkansas and Mississippi respectively. Let’s take a quick look at the Kentucky/Mississippi slated to start Thursday at 1:00 EST. 

My Ai Simulator shows a 74% probability that that Kentucky will win this game by 8 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a solid system that has hit 79% winners since 1997 for a 37-10 ATS mark. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games and is a good team with a win percentage of 60% to 80% playing a team with a winning record. This is not the “normal” Kentucky edition that has contended for National Titles in season past. In fact, they come limping into the Tournament losing 4 straight and ATS. They actually lost to Georgia SU 90-85 and were 17.5 point favorites. That clearly reflects the parity that has dominated the SEC all year. Yet, that is the type of loss coupled with a much better game against Florida in their last game that can turn the mental attitude around abruptly. They are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1997. Look for Kentucky to get out fast and win this game going away by double digits. 

The NBA 10* plays have ripped off an 11-5-1 ATS run. He is also red hot in College Hoops hitting 73% ATS winners over his last 29 releases. NHL continues to do well making over 50 units in profits spanning the past 27 days despite going 18-16 as he feasts 85% of the time on false favorites. Ryan has 16 years of Tournament experience and if you make a commitment to his program you will be very glad you did come April. Join him now. 

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